Instanto18
Instanto18
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Joined: Oct 5, 2010
August 4th, 2011 at 6:59:16 AM permalink
What is the average number of bets I will have on the table if all I do is Pass line and Come bets, continuously.


I have been looking and all I can find is 8.5 rolls before a 7 out, and 3.7 rolls/decision. Maybe 3.7 is answer but...
guido111
guido111
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Joined: Sep 16, 2010
August 4th, 2011 at 10:22:58 AM permalink
Quote: Instanto18

What is the average number of bets I will have on the table if all I do is Pass line and Come bets, continuously.

goatcabin has nice info in this thread How Many Come Bets is Too Many?
"So, basically, if you make a come bet on every non-comeout roll, your average total of flat bets will be close to 3 1/2 times your basic amount."
added:
Distribution of number of pass/come bets working at any time from simulation. 2 being low and 7 being max.
Average ~3.97
BetsProbor lessor moreBets
223.351%23.351%100.000%2
321.206%44.556%76.649%3
418.912%63.469%55.444%4
516.040%79.509%36.531%5
612.657%92.166%20.491%6
77.834%100.000%7.834%7


Quote: Instanto18

I have been looking and all I can find is 8.5 rolls before a 7 out, and 3.7 rolls/decision. Maybe 3.7 is answer but...


The average number of rolls including the 7 out is 1671/196 or ~8.52
The number of total pass/come bets you would make would be equal to the number of rolls for the length of a shooters hand.
~50.28% one would have made 6 total bets or less.
Probability of Length of a shooters hand (50 roll table)
or moreor lessrollrelative prob
0.8888888888888811.1111111111%20.111111111
0.7721193415637822.7880658436%30.116769547
0.6673525377229033.2647462277%40.104766804
0.5761289088299542.3871091170%50.091223629
0.4972108704211750.2789129579%60.078918038
0.4290441066252157.0955893375%70.068166764
0.3701913485411762.9808651459%80.058852758
0.3193906986516068.0609301348%90.05080065
0.2755465619872972.4453438013%100.043844137
0.2377104259612976.2289574039%110.037836136
0.2050619252930679.4938074707%120.032648501
0.1768919034608582.3108096539%130.028170022
0.1525875688398484.7412431160%140.024304335
0.1316195603484686.8380439652%150.020968008
0.1135307033514388.6469296649%160.018088857
0.0979262489642390.2073751036%170.015604454
0.0844654102266191.5534589773%180.013460839
0.0728540292655792.7145970734%190.011611381
0.0628382289224993.7161771078%200.0100158
0.0541989199951094.5801080005%210.008639309
0.0467470511745295.3252948825%220.007451869
0.0403195029904095.9680497010%230.006427548
0.0347755397068296.5224460293%240.005543963
0.0299937442632397.0006255737%250.004781795
0.0258693711590397.4130628841%260.004124373
0.0223120607722797.7687939228%270.00355731
0.0192438661117798.0756133888%280.003068195
0.0165975495492598.3402450451%290.002646317
0.0143151127776998.5684887222%300.002282437
0.0123465281949798.7653471805%310.001968585
0.0106486442115298.9351355788%320.001697884
0.0091842407088799.0815759291%330.001464404
0.0079212141061899.2078785894%340.001263027
0.0068318742882399.3168125712%350.00108934
0.0058923380680299.4107661932%360.000939536
0.0050820059498099.4917994050%370.000810332
0.0043831107668899.5616889233%380.000698895
0.0037803283321599.6219671668%390.000602782
0.0032604415891999.6739558411%400.000519887
0.0028120509182899.7187949082%410.000448391
0.0024253242586499.7574675741%420.000386727
0.0020917815775499.7908218422%430.000333543
0.0018041089674499.8195891033%440.000287673
0.0015559983000399.8444001700%450.000248111
0.0013420089249499.8657991075%460.000213989
0.0011574483833099.8842551617%470.000184561
0.0009982695224799.9001730478%480.000159179
0.0008609817574299.9139018243%490.000137288
0.0007425745338299.9257425466%500.000118407
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