Craps Odds Question
Thread Rating:
October 15th, 2016 at 3:14:45 PM
permalink
What is the percentage of Don't Pass wins versus Pass Line wins in 1 million decisions?
Thanks,
Russ
Thanks,
Russ
October 15th, 2016 at 6:53:05 PM
permalink
Quote: LJDM0205What is the percentage of Don't Pass wins versus Pass Line wins in 1 million decisions?
Thanks,
Russ
The probability of a win on the Pass Line is 49.29% while the probability of a Don't Pass win is always 47.93%. The Don't Pass has a slightly lower house edge because twelve on the come out is a push and has a 2.78% chance of happening. You would simply express that as a decimal and multiply by 1,000,000:
Pass: .4929 * 1,000,000 = 492,900
Don't Pass: .4793 * 1,000,000 = 479,300 (Wins)
Don't Pass: .0278 * 1,000,000 = 27,800 (Pushes)
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
October 15th, 2016 at 6:53:13 PM
permalink
It's a little misleading.
49.293% of Pass line bets win.
Only 47.929% Don't Pass bets win, but another 2.778% of them push. Even with the "push on 12" (or "push on 2" in Reno/Tahoe) rule, the Don't Pass bet is slightly better.
49.293% of Pass line bets win.
Only 47.929% Don't Pass bets win, but another 2.778% of them push. Even with the "push on 12" (or "push on 2" in Reno/Tahoe) rule, the Don't Pass bet is slightly better.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:32:52 AM
permalink
ThatDonGuy:
I was sort of thinking that since most people bet the Pass line and when the 12 (or 2) comes up, the Pass line bettors lose 2.778% of the time and the Don't Pass player "doesn't" lose and survives to fight another battle so to speak.
I was sort of thinking that since most people bet the Pass line and when the 12 (or 2) comes up, the Pass line bettors lose 2.778% of the time and the Don't Pass player "doesn't" lose and survives to fight another battle so to speak.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:34:17 AM
permalink
Thanks Mission146:
Those were exactly the numbers I was looking for!
LJDM0205
Those were exactly the numbers I was looking for!
LJDM0205
October 16th, 2016 at 1:45:28 AM
permalink
Quote: LJDM0205Thanks Mission146:
Those were exactly the numbers I was looking for!
LJDM0205
You're welcome.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
October 16th, 2016 at 2:41:44 PM
permalink
Quote: Mission146The probability of a win on the Pass Line is 49.29% while the probability of a Don't Pass win is always 47.93%.
Is this only for the Come Out roll or is this for the bet resolving (whether on the Come Out or after the point has been established)?
October 16th, 2016 at 3:21:36 PM
permalink
Quote: BlueEagleIs this only for the Come Out roll or is this for the bet resolving (whether on the Come Out or after the point has been established)?
That's resolution based, far fewer bets will be resolved on the Come Out.
Pass Come Out Win Probability: (8/36) = .2222222
Pass Come Out Loss Probability: (4/36) = .11111111
Don't Win Probability Come Out: (3/36) = .08333333
Don't Lose Probability Come Out (8/36) = .22222222
Don't Push Probability Come Out: (1/36) = .027777777
Overall probability of Come Out resolution: (12/36) = 1/3 or .333333333
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
October 21st, 2016 at 6:22:52 PM
permalink
What is the house edge with payout odds of 16.28X for 3 /11; 4.94X for any 7; and 34.64X for 2/12?
TY for the answers.
TY for the answers.
November 1st, 2016 at 6:39:58 PM
permalink
Soft bump. Answers are very much appreciated.
November 1st, 2016 at 7:17:48 PM
permalink
Quote: YamantakaWhat is the house edge with payout odds of 16.28X for 3 /11; 4.94X for any 7; and 34.64X for 2/12?
TY for the answers.
Are these five separate one-roll bets? If so, the house edge for 2 is 1%, 3 is 4%, 7 is 1%, 11 is 4%, and 12 is 1%.
