It's far better to not understand something, and be left to ponder it, then to "understand" cool gibberish, and waste your life or the forum's life (whichever comes first) on it.
Nothing about AP gambling math in practice has been proved out.
You should take your own advice. That you believe casino advantage play isn't provably successful in practice tells me you haven't actually been paying attention for, oh, fifty years or so. There are games in casinos *right now* that yield player advantages without cheating and there have been for decades. That won't change just because you don't believe it.
It seems likely that you personally aren't playing with a mathematical advantage, but that certainly doesn't mean nobody is.
You should go back to using the chatbot. The software-generated language may have been obtuse but at least it wasn't flat-out wrong.
* Unbalanced die favor one die number or outcomes of more 7s which are mostly: 1,2,5, and 6 due to the combination of gravity and centrifical force.
* The 7 Outs heavily favor the casinos bottom line by winning more money from both the do players and don't players.
My own take away strategy using this info would be making the 'no 4 bet' or laying all the box numbers on the comeout. (Assming the unbalance does not
favor the 3 or 4.) Also, making Patrick's ricochet bet, or some form of the horn or whirl bet.
Is that anything of further value than what I have cited from pages 43 - 78? I admit to being confused because I though someone had said a good bet would be to 'buy the 4' which contradicts my idea of laying the 4.
Apart from the above, I'd like to hear your thoughts or comments.
Fwiw, I hope the following is a much improved version of my question. Same content, but perhaps a bit clearer. Cheers
So, what is the practical take away information from the Craps Smackdown: Eagleeye2 vs Random Roller?
If RR is correct, then there is no take away? If EE is correct, then one needs to be able to determine IF the dice are unbalanced and either don't play; or devise a betting strategy to take advantage of the imbalance. Any simple visualization or optics, to make a determination? What about the ritual one sees some shooters do called 'training' or teaching the dice?
Correct my thinking. Unbalanced die favor one die number appearing over another; or outcomes of more 7s. Those one die numbers are mostly: 1,2,5, and 6 due to the combination of gravity and centrifical force. The 7 Outs heavily favor the casinos bottom line by winning more money from both the do players and don't players.
My own take away strategy using this info would be making the 'no 4 bet' or laying all the box numbers on the comeout. (Assming the unbalance does not favor the 3 or 4. Favoring the 3 or 4 numbers for the 7 out would seem to favor more 6s or 8s?)
Another possible strategy might be to follow Patrick's ricochet bet. Or some Horn or Whirl bet methodology.
Thoughts or comments?
If the casino were to use unbalanced dice, they would just be offering an edge to someone since you can bet any conceivable combination if there was an edge. They're not going to do that. They win enough with the independent house edge on every bet.
If dice setting worked, they would not allow the players to touch the dice. They would be thrown mechanically or by the house from a cup or something. That they don't should mean something significant to you.
This board needs a sarcasm font.
Yep. Failing that, some use /Sarcasm to good effect.