nickolay411
nickolay411
Joined: Sep 7, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:19:19 PM permalink
SOOPOO March 11th sounds good to me.
MathExtremist
MathExtremist
Joined: Aug 31, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:24:41 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

You are on! I am available any time on March 11, 12, or 13. So just to be clear.....

You will roll 200 times. All rolls will be tossed in the air, and will hit the back wall. Any roll that does not will be called a no roll.
I will put up $125. You will put up $250. If you roll 30 or fewer 7's you win. Any amount of wager is worth it to me.
As the expected number of 7's is 33.3, I am surmising a random roller would succeed around a third of the time.


It's almost exactly 30% under the assumption of uniform die faces. You win 2 units 70% of the time, he wins 1 unit 30% of the time, so you have roughly a 110% edge if the dice are unbiased.
"In my own case, when it seemed to me after a long illness that death was close at hand, I found no little solace in playing constantly at dice." -- Girolamo Cardano, 1563
CrapsForever
CrapsForever
Joined: Mar 6, 2012
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  • Posts: 517
January 18th, 2013 at 2:30:27 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


I will be rooting for you to beat me! Then we can go and take down Vegas after!



Smartest comment I have ever read on the forum!
Craps is the most "Jekyll and Hyde" casino game ever invented!
nickolay411
nickolay411
Joined: Sep 7, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:31:38 PM permalink
My hand will be tired. Might need a 2 hour break before we go and do that...
MakingBook
MakingBook
Joined: Sep 19, 2011
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:34:19 PM permalink
Hey, anyone think we should see if Keyser wants to bet on this?
"I am a man devoured by the passion for gambling." --Dostoevsky, 1871
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:39:31 PM permalink
Quote: MathExtremist

It's almost exactly 30% under the assumption of uniform die faces. You win 2 units 70% of the time, he wins 1 unit 30% of the time, so you have roughly a 110% edge if the dice are unbiased.



Your assumption also assumes he has no ability to control the dice! Nikolay will disagree, and is willing to put his money where his mouth is!
Thanks for the mathematical analysis, MathExtremist.
Regardless of outcome, this is going to be fun!
sodawater
sodawater
Joined: May 14, 2012
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:48:53 PM permalink
nickolay... if you want any more action, I will bet $25 vs your $50 under the same terms as soopoo.
sodawater
sodawater
Joined: May 14, 2012
  • Threads: 63
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January 18th, 2013 at 2:52:52 PM permalink
Quote: MathExtremist

if the dice are unbiased.



SOOPOO,

what measures will you be taking to ensure fair dice?
Ahigh
Ahigh
Joined: May 19, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 3:05:08 PM permalink
The dice will be fair. I will use my Paulson dice never used before (uncancelled) and I'll even break out the caliper.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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January 18th, 2013 at 3:06:37 PM permalink
Quote: sodawater

SOOPOO,

what measures will you be taking to ensure fair dice?



I will trust Aaron.

(he told me they would be made of tungsten........ just teasing)

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