How often does perfect strategy result in a win?
Of course not!!
>And if you have a choice are conditions more favorable for you at a full table or a table with only one or two other players?
Number of players affects hands per hour which means that the casinos edge will relentlessly exert itself against more of your money if you play at a nearly empty table.
Quote: FleaStiffNumber of players affects hands per hour which means that the casinos edge will relentlessly exert itself against more of your money if you play at a nearly empty table.
I am also coming to believe that an empty, or near empty, BJ table has so many hands per hour that a player should only sit an hour or so in order to expect a good shot at meeting a win goal. Unlike craps, the bet is always immediately resolved. It can be deadly.
I did come across a WoO webpage that attempts to answer such questions, but it is not good for BJ, he says. I'm working on a blog post about sessions too.
Quote: odiousgambitI am also coming to believe that an empty, or near empty, BJ table has so many hands per hour that a player should only sit an hour or so in order to expect a good shot at meeting a win goal. Unlike craps, the bet is always immediately resolved. It can be deadly.
I believe its 210 hands per hour at an otherwise empty table which is three times what a five person table is estimated to be. A five person table is also the 70 hands per hour that most places use for a comp rate. So perhaps one can look at it as one hours play at an empty table is equivalent to three hours play at a fairly crowded one, but the casino will still only record you as having played for one hour.
Not enough to overcome the house edge.Quote:How often does perfect strategy result in a win?
Combine perfect strategy with card counting, then you can overcome the edge - but just slightly.
Knowing and practicing perfect strategy simply reduces the number of mistakes that are made.
Quote:18) Be wary of offering solicited advice. Add disclaimers if you do, and remind the person asking for advice that the best bets are those least likely to lose.
Quote: NareedNareed's 17th Law:
Quote:18) Be wary of offering solicited advice. Add disclaimers if you do, and remind the person asking for advice that the best bets are those least likely to lose.
wait a minute, that's your 18th law!
are you saying we should not have responded to this post?
You have to pay closer attention.Quote: odiousgambitwait a minute, that's your 18th law!
Unless I'm mistaken, like the floor numbers in a high rise, he skipped #13.
Quote: odiousgambitwait a minute, that's your 18th law!
No, that's the 17th Law. Here's the blog post with the full list:
Nareed's Laws of Vegas
Pay particular attention to the 12th Law.
Quote:are you saying we should not have responded to this post?
Only if you don't want to.
Quote: NewGamblerIf you use The Wizard's 100% correct basic strategy when playing in a land-based casino, will you win almost every hand? And if you have a choice are conditions more favorable for you at a full table or a table with only one or two other players?
You will win slightly over 43% of all hands played, lose about 48% and push about 9%. I rounded these numbers but they are very close. Your odds of winning are exactly the same regardless of the amount of players.
Before anyone asks, "bad players" do not affect you in the long run, in fact that "bad player" may just be a card counter.
Quote: NewGamblerBeing escorted out by security would be really embarrassing! I'm female so I wouldn't get street cred for that.
It wouldn't come to that unless you kept trying to play after they asked you not to.
Quote: NewGamblerI was hoping that The Wizard's strategy was all I needed because I don't want to get thrown out of a casino for counting cards. I read that even though card counting is legal the casino can ban you for doing it. Being escorted out by security would be really embarrassing! I'm female so I wouldn't get street cred for that. Thanks for your responses.
The Wizard's strategy i.e. basic strategy, will not make you a winner. If you want to learn card counting, go right ahead and do so. The last thing to worry about is being escorted out by security.
I've been flat bet and prohibited from playing blackjack my share of times , but I've never once been escorted out of a casino.
