Harrisw01
Harrisw01
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January 6th, 2021 at 7:28:44 AM permalink
What is the house edge when a player uses late surrender incorrectly?

6 deck shoe game/re-split aces one card only/ stand on soft 17 and late surrender.
GMan
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January 6th, 2021 at 7:50:57 AM permalink
Quote: Harrisw01

What is the house edge when a player uses late surrender incorrectly?

6 deck shoe game/re-split aces one card only/ stand on soft 17 and late surrender.



To ask such a stupid question, you HAVE to work for a casino!
I will answer with a question...

What's the possible costs for an insurance company if you drive your car "incorrectly" ?
G Man
sabre
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WTflushHunterhill
January 6th, 2021 at 8:58:06 AM permalink
If you surrender every hand the house edge is approximately 50%.
ChumpChange
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January 6th, 2021 at 9:08:11 AM permalink
I expect players will surrender with a 16 against a 9, 10, Ace and a 15 against a 10. However there's other strategies for other headspaces.
If I'm getting sick of the dealer having a BJ when I have a BJ, I'll take insurance too just to win the hand.
DRich
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January 6th, 2021 at 9:28:59 AM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange


If I'm getting sick of the dealer having a BJ when I have a BJ, I'll take insurance too just to win the hand.



Obviously a bad strategy unless you are counting and the count is positive. Doesn't insuring a BJ cost about 7%?
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
fantom
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January 6th, 2021 at 9:32:35 AM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

I expect players will surrender with a 16 against a 9, 10, Ace and a 15 against a 10. However there's other strategies for other headspaces.
If I'm getting sick of the dealer having a BJ when I have a BJ, I'll take insurance too just to win the hand.



What exactly does "incorrectly" mean? If the casino allows it - many don't - you can surrender any two card hand if the dealer does not have blackjack. Surrendering the hands ChumpChange lists above is correct using basic strategy, and in a H17 game, BS also says you should surrender a hard 17 against a dealer ace, although that's a move sure to garner more than a bit of comment. Any other surrender move is technically incorrect, but it's more than incorrect to surrender, lets say, an eleven against a dealer six. That's called Unconditional Surrender. But in that case you would get to keep your sword, if you have one.
ChumpChange
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January 6th, 2021 at 9:33:44 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Obviously a bad strategy unless you are counting and the count is positive. Doesn't insuring a BJ cost about 7%?



I'm trying to run a 7 in a row progression, so advancing on the progression takes a little more importance to me.
heatmap
heatmap
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January 6th, 2021 at 2:24:14 PM permalink
sometimes i surrender on 17
sabre
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heatmap
January 6th, 2021 at 2:36:00 PM permalink
I like tacos
heatmap
heatmap
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January 6th, 2021 at 2:56:27 PM permalink
Quote: sabre

I like tacos



ive been trying to get tacos on the menu for more than once every two months thats how much i love tacos. on a side note taco bell is not tacos nor do they sell bells
ssho88
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WTflush
January 6th, 2021 at 5:45:59 PM permalink
Quote: Harrisw01

What is the house edge when a player uses late surrender incorrectly?

6 deck shoe game/re-split aces one card only/ stand on soft 17 and late surrender.




A player uses late surrender incorrectly = player surrender every single hand ?

Then house edge = -50% !
Hunterhill
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January 6th, 2021 at 6:39:41 PM permalink
The best surrender play I ever saw was a new dealer paying players half of their bet but not taking their original bet. It only lasted about 2 hours.People got too greedy and were surrendering way to many hands.
Happy days are here again
ChesterDog
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January 6th, 2021 at 7:41:20 PM permalink
Quote: Hunterhill

The best surrender play I ever saw was a new dealer paying players half of their bet but not taking their original bet. It only lasted about 2 hours.People got too greedy and were surrendering way to many hands.



I saw a lady at Spanish 21 dealing that way, too. I knew the players were all new to the game when one of them complained to the man who was the relief dealer that he was not doing it right.
DogHand
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January 7th, 2021 at 12:47:38 PM permalink
Quote: ChumpChange

I'm trying to run a 7 in a row progression, so advancing on the progression takes a little more importance to me.



ChumpChange,

This implies that a surrender does not break the win streak. If so, then rather than the usual "EV-maximizing" Basic Strategy, you could try a "Lose-minimizing" B.S.

Naturally, the proper B.S. depends on a number of factors:

1. How much is the progression worth compared to your BJ wager?
2. How close are you to reaching the 7 in a row? You would naturally be more aggressive if you are at 6 than at 1.
3. How are split hands counted in the streak?
4. What are the house rules?
5. Are you facing a time limit?
6. If the dealer shows an Ace, you take insurance, and the dealer has a BJ, does that count as a non-loss?

Hope this helps!

Dog Hand
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
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January 8th, 2021 at 12:14:32 AM permalink
Surrender is a loss and a reset of the progression.
Taking insurance with a BJ against an Ace is a win, but not a 3:2 win, but rather a 1:1 win.
Winning splits and double downs count as one win in the progression unless it covers two equal bets in the progression, then it counts for 2 bets. A regular BJ counts as one win in the progression, but the next bet may be 50% higher anyway.
Splitting and winning one and losing the other is a push.
Splitting and winning a double down on one and losing a single bet on the other is a win and advances the progression.
I have to win the first two hands to be even with flat betting wins on two hands, so unless I'm gonna run into a much longer win streak, I'll be losing kinda fast.

I'm not expecting any time limit. I could play for 2 hours, take a half hour break, and come back where I left off until I hit one of my win goals or lose my original buy-in. I've gotta figure seats at a casino are nowhere near as comfortable as what I'm used to at home and I'll need to take breaks. A one buy-in session could last anywhere from 7 to 700 hands, depends on my luck.

Not really sweating house rules unless it says 6:5 BJ, then I'll avoid that table.
Now I could limit double downs at higher bets especially if they're not coming through for me at the time. I get to 5 times my base bet and I may just avoid doubling down, but it's not quite a rule for me yet. Cards have a funny way of making me bet on 4 splits with 3 double downs with too much money out and my fingers are crossed the dealer busts.
Last edited by: ChumpChange on Jan 8, 2021
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