On a recent session, I ran into a spate of dealer mistakes (one of which resulted in a mid-4 figure swing in my direction after being allowed to double down on hard 16 after a 5 was exposed, and another in which the dealer mistakenly hit soft 17 and busted at a S17 table vs. my hard 14 for a $1k swing) and it really reminded me of the value of dealer mistakes.
I have read that Don Johnson figured he picks up 1 bet per hour from dealer mistakes, but I find that to be a very high estimate unless he is doing something (besides just having strippers at the table) to cause these. From my recent experience I have deduced the following tips for maximizing the odds of dealer mistakes. But are there more?
1) Play at odd-man-out tables where the rules are different than they are throughout most of the casino. The soft 17 mistake occurred at a table where the vast majority of tables are H17.
2) Don't be helpful. When the dealer was hitting her soft 17, I instinctively began trying to grab her attention with my hands. It was only through luck that she didn't notice and played out the hand. The time for calling attention to mistakes is afterward (if necessary to take advantage of it).
3) Don't signal for double or split when placing bets for them. Just put it out there, and if a mistake occurs, argue for the most advantageous outcome.
4) Play with the fastest dealers you can find. They seem most likely to make mistakes.
Are there any other major ways to maximize the odds of dealer mistakes that I am missing? I just don't see how you can get to a bet per hour (which by itself would give you an edge at most BJ tables) through dealer mistakes unless I am missing something.
Play 4 Card Poker at a table where you see a dealer who normally isn't at that game. Among the games I play this one leads to by far the most dealer errors. They miss the flush in their own hand very often.
have a detailed conversation with the dealer. also after the mistake immediately start talking, either to the dealer or to another player. this will distract them so that they don't notice that they made the mistake.
When you want to spread to playing 2 hands, sneak in the second bet before the dealer deals the cards. If the dealer sees your bet and deals both hands no harm done, if the dealer skips your second hand and deals to the player after you, he will have to deal the rest of the hands then you get a chance to pull out your bet after seeing the dealer's upcard (at least that's how they do it where I play)