Card Composition by Result
November 28th, 2012 at 10:53:20 PM
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How many of each card on average gets revieled given any given result (loss 1, loss 2+, push, win 1, win 1.5, win 2+)?
Is it possible for a betting system to accidentally stumble into advantage bet territory, and how large would the spread need to be?
Is it possible for a betting system to accidentally stumble into advantage bet territory, and how large would the spread need to be?
November 28th, 2012 at 11:52:36 PM
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A counting system exploits the anti-correlation between cards, which also translates (to a certain degree) for hands. If hand A is a winning hand, it is more likely that a different hand B is a losing hand (since hand A is more likely to consumed favourable cards).
So you would wan't to use some type of negative progression system, i.e. bet less after you win most hands, and bet more after you lose most hands.
But the effect is so small, it won't ever reach +EV regime. It will not even outperform a flat minimum bet.
So you would wan't to use some type of negative progression system, i.e. bet less after you win most hands, and bet more after you lose most hands.
But the effect is so small, it won't ever reach +EV regime. It will not even outperform a flat minimum bet.
