80K hands of Baccarat under different systems

Advanced Advantage Play - Elliot Jacobson - Nov 21, 2020
Let's Play Baccarat: 1000 Shoes [Flat Betting, Streaks, Martingale, D'Alembert, Paroli]


The HA wins all the way in this video with a couple exceptions for being ahead a little at the 10K hand mark. What I look for is winning 40-50 units ahead on a 25 unit buy-in before losing another 250 units. It's a little too difficult to see in these graphs but they're there.
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The HA:



A winning bet selection: ended Up around 300 units from the HA, so losing only 0.99% instead of 1.24%. My strategy would clearly put me up to over 2% into profit from this graph but there's no way to calculate it. Some graphs are much worse than others though. Some of these losing streaks are over 60 shoes long, and the winning streaks are much shorter, like 10 shoes if that.

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

"If you don't bet on the winner you're going to lose."

Great advice. Can't believe no one thought of it before. We should all just bet on the winner, every time.

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

"If you don't bet on the winner you're going to lose."

Great advice. Can't believe no one thought of it before. We should all just bet on the winner, every time.
link to original post

This is actually better advice than you think. If people were to concentrate on where to place their bets instead of concentrating on how to make your poor bet selections do better with some ramshackle progression, they would do a lot better in the casino. Proper bet selection is everything. You have to know when to bet, but more than that you have to know when not to bet because that's when you lose all your money. Most people can't tell the difference, they bet equally into every situation. I was playing baccarat yesterday and was up, approaching my goal, and the shoe went crazy so I quit betting. Did anybody else quit betting? Not as far as I can tell, they just kept plodding hoping along for the best.

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

"If you don't bet on the winner you're going to lose."

Great advice. Can't believe no one thought of it before. We should all just bet on the winner, every time.
link to original post

You don't have to do it all the time. Just be sure you bet more on the winning hands and less on the rest.
If you made 100 bets and won them all, the casino would find an excuse to ban you.

Quote: billryan

You don't have to do it all the time. Just be sure you bet more on the winning hands and less on the rest.
If you made 100 bets and won them all, the casino would find an excuse to ban you.

I know exactly what you're talking about

sometimes I go to a casino and I know I can hit 80% winners when "it's playing my game"

but I hold back so I won't get banned

and deliberately lose many hands for that reason

I won't allow myself to hit more than 65% winners

it's not really fair - but sometimes you have to make allowances -

so youse can keep on crushing the casino on a daily basis

.

It's so hilarious. If you're a hunter you will go into the woods knowing what your prey looks like so you just don't shoot every animal you come across. Secondly you'll make sure that you're a really good shot by getting in lots of practice before you go hunting. You will practice and practice until you can pretty much hit everything you aim at. Then you will learn all you can about the animals you're hunting, you will learn their habits, you will learn how to track them, you will become an expert.

But if you apply any of these things to a casino game people go, hahaha, what an idiot you are. Don't you know you're just supposed to throw down your money like a fool and hope for the best and use some kind of a bizarre progression so you can lose your money even faster. Why bother to learn anything to improve your game, that takes all the fun out of it. Why try to improve your chances of winning by having a better bet selection, what a waste of time that would be.

The very first thing you need to learn before you go into a casino, is how not to be a sucker. Too bad most people never learn that.

Quote: billryan

You don't have to do it all the time. Just be sure you bet more on the winning hands and less on the rest.
If you made 100 bets and won them all, the casino would find an excuse to ban you.

people like you and me are really lucky cause there are some really great teachers here
and when you get educated by one of these great lecturers -
you absolutely know for sure that the information is 100% trustworthy

.

Gambling would be like hunting if you're told there's only a 50% chance there's a deer behind a bush and yet you shoot at it the bush anyway.

Quote: EvenBob

Quote: TigerWu

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

"If you don't bet on the winner you're going to lose."

Great advice. Can't believe no one thought of it before. We should all just bet on the winner, every time.
link to original post

This is actually better advice than you think. If people were to concentrate on where to place their bets instead of concentrating on how to make your poor bet selections do better with some ramshackle progression, they would do a lot better in the casino. Proper bet selection is everything. You have to know when to bet, but more than that you have to know when not to bet because that's when you lose all your money. Most people can't tell the difference, they bet equally into every situation. I was playing baccarat yesterday and was up, approaching my goal, and the shoe went crazy so I quit betting. Did anybody else quit betting? Not as far as I can tell, they just kept plodding hoping along for the best.
link to original post

Crystal ball gambling; seriously?

Now that is truly relevant and very real.

tuttigym

You guys are what the industry calls 'casino oriented" players. When you walk through the door management is grinning ear to ear because they know they have nothing to fear from you. You believe everything you've ever heard about how the casino can't be beat and you're just there as recreational players. You're just there to give the casino your money. They will lavish comps on you, call you sir, anything to get you to come back again and again. Congrats! Job well done..

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

You should have selected this bet with your educated guess.

Quote: Mental

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

You should have selected this bet with your educated guess.
link to original post

Bob gets it wrong once again.

Quote: Mental

Quote: EvenBob

Without a winning bet selection of course they're all going to lose. Why wouldn't they.
link to original post

You should have selected this bet with your educated guess.
link to original post

Pure dumb luck is not bet selection. If that's even true, casinos love stuff like this making it up for promotions.