Just another System

Hi,

Just wanted to through this to the experts here a system my friend is using.

Choose a side Banker or Player and Flat bet 1 unit for 5 hands(Neglect the Tie) For example if he chooses Banker at the end of 5 hands P/L varies between -1 to -5 or +1 to +5 units.

If there is a Loss after 5 hands, he increases the bet and places 2 unit for another 5 hands or to the point where he breaks even and reset back to 1 unit.

1 1 1 1 1 if this ends in loss he goes 22222 unit bets.
by this even when a 10 streak comes to haunt , we are basically down 15 units .Any thoughts

I'll say the same thing I say when anybody else proposes a system; the more you bet overall, the more you expose to the house edge.

Questions:

1. When you start betting 2 and catch up, do you start over with a new set of 5 bets of 1, or do you finish the current 5 bets?
For example, let's say your first five bets are LLWLL, so you are -3, but you win your first two bets of 2, putting you +1. Do you make 3 bets of 1, or start over with 5 bets of 1?

2. What do you do after 10 bets if you are still behind?

only way i know to reduce the house edge in baccarat is always bet banker according to mike

1.No, i dont make 3 bets of 1 unit. I again start over with 5 bets of 1 unit.

2.If 10 bets behind. I go to the next step 33333 . 3units of 5 bets to get back to positive.if i win 1 unit in 3 unit bet say, my overall loss is -7.i continue the same 3 units of 5 bets.

Quote: rajbhah89

1.No, i dont make 3 bets of 1 unit. I again start over with 5 bets of 1 unit.

2.If 10 bets behind. I go to the next step 33333 . 3units of 5 bets to get back to positive.if i win 1 unit in 3 unit bet say, my overall loss is -7.i continue the same 3 units of 5 bets.

do you know how to program computers?

I did some simulating, and here is what I got:

If you limit each session to 1000 hands or when you first make a profit, the average loss per session is about 2.7 units.
If you increase the limit to 2000 hands, the average loss is about 5 units.

Click on the button to see a breakdown of how many hands it took to make a profit (or how many times it reached the 1000-hand limit with a loss) in about 125 million sessions:





Update: here is a list of what the probability is of losing a session, as well as the average loss per session, for various maximum numbers of hands per session
(important: the average loss per session includes all of the winning sessions - for example, if you limit your session to 100 hands, you will lose only once in 83.6795 sessions, but your losses will be so large that your average loss per session is 0.4424)

Max # Of Hands	Prob of Losing Session	Avg Loss Per Session
100	1 / 83.6795	0.4424
200	1 / 195.2774	0.7521
300	1 / 314.5525	1.036
400	1 / 441.3063	1.2673
500	1 / 565.6876	1.5261
600	1 / 694.8498	1.7501
700	1 / 816.86	1.9898
800	1 / 937.9807	2.2445
900	1 / 1060.5803	2.4586
1000	1 / 1168.2789	2.7531
1100	1 / 1314.475	2.846
1200	1 / 1408.8476	3.1808
1300	1 / 1527.1839	3.3817
1400	1 / 1641.7126	3.5783
1500	1 / 1724.1379	3.9023
1600	1 / 1869.4384	4.0003
1700	1 / 1934.236	4.4031
1800	1 / 2049.5163	4.5841
1900	1 / 2098.1956	4.9742
2000	1 / 2233.3393	5.0439

Thanks for the Analysis Don.

Can this betting system be used for Casino war?.