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darkoz
darkoz
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
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July 22nd, 2020 at 2:17:02 AM permalink
Quote: tough

It's time for some transparency and honesty. I was being genuine and telling the truth about my claims, but I am humbled with recent simulations I performed against roulette randomness. I ended up nearly in even territory after lengthy tests. Maybe I don't have such a great edge after all. I believe I still may have a slight edge vs. no zero roulette.

Also, I want to clarify my claims about winning about 1000 bets in a row. I was estimating and saying this to try to give an oversimplification of spectacular results I once achieved during simulations of no zero roulette. I didn't literally win 1,000 bets in a row. My reasoning for saying 1,000 bets in a row is because I tried to estimate the equivalency of great win streaks, while trying to hide (keep secret) the amount of numbers I am betting on at a time.



Tough, a girl, thinking it's time for some transparency.

Rambling about how you were being honest and transparent about results you once achieved.

You wouldn't happen to live in Florida by any chance and work at Walmart?
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
OnceDear
Administrator
OnceDear
Joined: Jun 1, 2014
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July 22nd, 2020 at 2:36:30 AM permalink
Quote: tough

What do all these posts mean? I honestly don't know. If you are trying to bully me, then good for you; you are such a big man bullying a girl behind your computer.

Note: I said "if". If you are not doing this to me, then this doesn't apply to you and I sincerely apologize.

This is a gibberish thread about a nonsense system. It seems perfectly on-topic when other posters post their random gibberish here, or take the Mickey out of the very concept of analysing random.
You started it.

And nobody cares about your gender.

Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed..
caralarm
caralarm
Joined: Jun 28, 2020
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July 22nd, 2020 at 3:22:44 AM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

This is a gibberish thread about a nonsense system. It seems perfectly on-topic when other posters post their random gibberish here


Tough may be on to something. Just because you donít believe something, doesnít mean people should be able to post off topic nonsense and troll. So, if you thought or think that God isnít real, and people are talking about Him, then does that make it okay for people to troll on those posts?

Just because you canít beat the maths of roulette doesnít mean you canít beat the game.

Do you have any concept of the powers of the mind and lateral thinking?

So called experts are currently wrong about things that are real, even today, e.g., telekinesis is real and is made out to be some kind of joke by the so called experts. Experts say that roulette cannot be beaten, and we are not sure if they are right.
darkoz
darkoz
Joined: Dec 22, 2009
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July 22nd, 2020 at 6:29:33 AM permalink
Quote: caralarm

Tough may be on to something. Just because you donít believe something, doesnít mean people should be able to post off topic nonsense and troll. So, if you thought or think that God isnít real, and people are talking about Him, then does that make it okay for people to troll on those posts?

Just because you canít beat the maths of roulette doesnít mean you canít beat the game.

Do you have any concept of the powers of the mind and lateral thinking?

So called experts are currently wrong about things that are real, even today, e.g., telekinesis is real and is made out to be some kind of joke by the so called experts. Experts say that roulette cannot be beaten, and we are not sure if they are right.



Give it your best shot
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
gordonm888
gordonm888
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
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July 22nd, 2020 at 9:25:36 AM permalink
Quote: caralarm

(snip)
Do you have any concept of the powers of the mind and lateral thinking?

So called experts are currently wrong about things that are real, even today, e.g., telekinesis is real and is made out to be some kind of joke by the so called experts. Experts say that roulette cannot be beaten, and we are not sure if they are right.



Telekinesis is real? Okay, I'll bite. Do you have an online source that you can provide?
So many better men, a few of them friends, were dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things lived on, and so did I.
unJon
unJon
Joined: Jul 1, 2018
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Thanks for this post from:
rawtuffgordonm888
July 22nd, 2020 at 9:31:11 AM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Telekinesis is real? Okay, I'll bite. Do you have an online source that you can provide?



I find your lack of faith disturbing.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
EvenBob
EvenBob
Joined: Jul 18, 2010
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July 22nd, 2020 at 10:01:14 AM permalink
Quote: tough

Maybe I don't have such a great edge after all.



Wow, goodbye..
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
billryan
billryan
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July 22nd, 2020 at 10:20:39 AM permalink
I once set out to beat Sic Bo. After weeks of recording my rolls, I determined one number worked best. The number paid 14-1, and the correct odds were 17-1, but I'd figured out how to overcome that by increasing my bet when the amount was overdue. Bet $2 until I'd lost $26, then raise it to $3, etc., and so on. Weeks of practice showed that a $300 BR was enough.
So I go to AC, walk up to the table at Park Place, bet on the number, and proceed to watch as sixty-three rolls produce zero wins. I know it was sixty-three because that was the maximum rolls my bankroll would last, and I found myself broke.
It's amazing how well some plans work on paper.
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
Joined: Jun 22, 2011
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July 22nd, 2020 at 10:42:50 AM permalink
I ran 200,000 sessions of flat betting a 50/50 bet until I was ahead. All 200,000 made a profit.

Here are the sessions that required 10 million bets or more, with their highest loss point (e.g the session that needed 16 billion bets was 237,810 bets behind at one point before eventually turning around and getting ahead by 1) and the session number:
# of BetsLargest LossSession #
16,248,083,329237,810126,867
8,780,024,817203,69332,375
2,378,990,66368,321188,201
795,372,65930,39138,810
377,685,56318,79319,729
372,862,70319,54189,607
252,605,57313,4605,266
190,050,05316,00481,284
183,077,51917,62015,117
173,520,85717,23027,653
160,427,49530,16683,416
119,790,81311,458131,604
100,549,20711,528173,796
62,115,6299,92667,329
61,451,6037,85127,092
57,369,53510,446167,570
51,418,45310,077125,004
47,571,1559,921143,671
44,744,9497,531182,660
41,256,1938,65817,736
32,254,4056,95775,277
32,079,8536,18094,656
31,950,5097,23048,393
29,670,7375,632114,485
29,429,46710,96343,498
27,631,4875,27156,736
26,859,7135,15118,884
25,348,3538,087138,010
25,337,3955,289114,900
22,339,2475,244148,581
22,079,7294,45360,943
21,151,4476,784117,756
20,325,5795,541154,094
19,042,1216,478169,852
17,819,8635,71555,372
16,452,6875,35843,374
16,386,0015,62074,358
15,702,2955,293141,318
15,633,7914,71794,107
14,604,0055,32539,194
14,412,8514,10457,629
14,341,3395,2604,870
14,087,4294,752116,505
11,326,7015,118171,212
11,208,5035,153144,840
10,568,9314,06546,983
10,465,3832,753125,771

The strange thing is, even with a 50/50 bet, the expected number of bets needed to win diverges (i.e. approaches infinity).
The expected number = 1/2 + the sum over all n from 1 to positive infinity of ((Combin(2n,n) - Combin(2n,n-1)) x (2n+1) / 22n+1).
rawtuff
rawtuff
Joined: Mar 15, 2013
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heatmapwaasnoday
July 22nd, 2020 at 12:37:36 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

I find your lack of faith disturbing.



I totally read this in Vader's voice and laughed out loud while in the subway train. People started giving me looks.

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