The Adventures of MDawg
Three shoes. On the first shoe I got up quickly, but ended more or less even. Second shoe too, caught a nice Bank run, pressed into it to as high as 3500, got ahead about six grand, but had some difficulty towards beginning of the third shoe, went all the way back to -2000. Did a 6000 case bet on Bank, drew a 4, Player 3, face card drawn, winner!
Ended the third shoe exactly +5800 decided to end it there for the day.
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
Quote: MDawgDay 31 play
Three shoes. On the first shoe I got up quickly, but ended more or less even. Second shoe too, caught a nice Bank run, pressed into it to as high as 3500, got ahead about six grand, but had some difficulty towards beginning of the third shoe, went all the way back to -2000. Did a 6000 case bet on Bank, drew a 4, Player 3, face card drawn, winner!
Ended the third shoe exactly +5800 decided to end it there for the day.
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
Sharon Stone has already tipped most of the staff as she entered the casinos for information as to your whereabouts.
Be careful! DeNiro has the hammer ready
Quote: darkozQuote: MDawgDay 31 play
Three shoes. On the first shoe I got up quickly, but ended more or less even. Second shoe too, caught a nice Bank run, pressed into it to as high as 3500, got ahead about six grand, but had some difficulty towards beginning of the third shoe, went all the way back to -2000. Did a 6000 case bet on Bank, drew a 4, Player 3, face card drawn, winner!
Ended the third shoe exactly +5800 decided to end it there for the day.
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
Sharon Stone has already tipped most of the staff as she entered the casinos for information as to your whereabouts.
Be careful! DeNiro has the hammer ready
Ace Rothstein: I'm just curious. I saw you shuffling your checks with your right hand. Can you do that with both hands?
Signaller: No.
Ace: Can't do it with both hands?
Signaller: No, sir.
Ace: Can you do it with your left hand?
Signaller: Well, I... I never tried.
Ace: So you're a righty?
Signaller: Yeah.
One of the guards starts to repeatedly bang the signaller's right hand with a hammer.
Ace: Now you're gonna have to learn with your left hand!
Quote: mwalz9Agree.
How does 1 winning session prove anything?
I used to feel like this forum was full of some of the smartest, most intelligent, logically thinking brains in the country.
Now you have me even second guessing myself.
I've said it many times and will say it again...
You CANNOT consistently win at an -EV game without cheating, "card counting", "edge sorting", etc...
I feel that MDAWG just one way or another has more money than most of us, whether it be inheritance, hard work, or some other activity, and he just brags about his wins and never about his losses!
As I said before I bought into my local casino at craps and/or blackjack for 30 days in a row with a $500 buy in. I left all 30 days in a row with a profit of at least $50, some days more. Yes...this can happen! I bragged about it, told everyone I talked to.
I have also bought in for $500 and lost every single dime before being up 1 penny! I didn't tell too many people about that one, obviously.
I also have become a DIAMOND member at my casino by playing this way. I'm not a whale by any means. I don't make a killing at the casino. I play for fun. I play for comps. I lose, surprisingly, about the house edge! I chalk it up as entertainment expense because I enjoy playing.
That's the MATH and the TRUTH!
I'm sure you're being truthful about YOUR HISTORY!
Maybe MD wins legitimately? What you've written above does not in any way disprove this! How you feel or perceive things is irrelevant to what actually happens.
Quote: MDawgThese gentlemen should have stuck to brunettes....
Woman accused of stealing watches valued at $82K from men on Strip
I mentioned this incident I read about in the LV Review Journal to my wife.
“Well, she must have let them have their way with her first, before she robbed them.”
“What makes you think that?”
“Well, they had fun, they were relaxed, they went to sleep, and she went to work.”
Hmm.
In any case, if you haven’t had a hooker steal or try to steal your Rolex, then you haven’t truly high rolled in Vegas.
Looks like blondie has more victims out there.
Woman accused of stealing watches from men on Strip arrested again
She looks a little worse for wear in her latest booking photo (or maybe this is just another of the first).
but she's cracking a smile...maybe hoping she'll get off because they apparently have no tangible evidence and she hasn't admitted to the crime yet. Still, 3 independent victims all claiming their watches were stolen should be enough for a jury, if it gets to that point and she doesn't plead out.
Nowadays selling a stolen watch isn't as easy as it might have been years ago. I wonder where those three high end timepieces are?
Obviously not in her vagina.
Corrections officers find stolen Rolex watches in suspect’s vagina
Which, actually, that one got off when the victim declined to press charges....
Florida woman who hid stolen Rolexes in vagina beats charge. What happens to the watches?
Quote: MDawg
Looks like blondie has more victims out there.
Woman accused of stealing watches from men on Strip arrested again
She looks a little worse for wear in her latest booking photo (or maybe this is just another of the first).
but she's cracking a smile...maybe hoping she'll get off because they apparently have no tangible evidence and she hasn't admitted to the crime yet. Still, 3 independent victims all claiming their watches were stolen should be enough for a jury, if it gets to that point and she doesn't plead out.
Nowadays selling a stolen watch isn't as easy as it might have been years ago. I wonder where those three high end timepieces are?
Seriously!?
I can't believe she's only 23. When I saw the first picture of her, I thought, "Man, this forty-year old hooker really went overboard on the lip injections."
This is what I want to know---and I want to assume that these are fairly unattractive guys making time with her---in what world would you even want to engage in sexual congress with this person? I'm not really good at drawing, but if I were, and you asked me to draw a cheap whore, the result would be something very close to exactly what she looks like.
We've got either bad lip injections or ten pounds worth of lipstick, we've got the fake eyelashes, we've got the bad dye job on the hair with the roots showing...and also that doesn't match her eyebrows. We've got one half-closed eye that makes her looks like she just got punched in the head a few days ago, and maybe she did.
Do you ever hit the pawn shops looking for deals on your high-end watches? Maybe you have come into possession of one of them! I'm kidding, but I imagine it's technically possible if you buy any secondhand.
I can't even imagine the bath that a person would take having to fence an expensive watch like that. There's no way that a person could get what the rightful owner could get at a pawn shop or jewelry store that also buys...and I expect that's kind of a rip-off. Not only that, but most people (no offense) don't wear watches because they are totally pointless. My phone tells the time----and does a bunch of other stuff.
I also can't help but wonder how many of these idiots that think that this woman actually wants to have sex with them she has to go through before she finds one who fails to protect his valuables. It seems to me that some guys would only take a few hundred in cash and just leave the rest in the safe, along with perhaps other valuables in the safe. Even if I had interest in watches, I wouldn't be wearing a $45,000, "Timepiece," around in Vegas...I can protect myself, but not so well against a gun. I'd figure I'm just inviting people to mug me.
Why do some people call it a, "Timepiece," anyway? Is that to take away from the fact that it's a pointless item to even own? We'll just call it something fancy-sounding?
Anyway, seems like for the time investment and the number of desperate guys in Vegas, she could just polish one off and move on to the next...probably making about the same amount of money. STD's more likely, prison, less likely.
EDIT: Also, if she's even or as many as three points below you...I'd say it's about 50/50 that she's still a hooker.
Quote: MDawgQuote: MDawgThese gentlemen should have stuck to brunettes....
Woman accused of stealing watches valued at $82K from men on Strip
I mentioned this incident I read about in the LV Review Journal to my wife.
“Well, she must have let them have their way with her first, before she robbed them.”
“What makes you think that?”
“Well, they had fun, they were relaxed, they went to sleep, and she went to work.”
Hmm.
In any case, if you haven’t had a hooker steal or try to steal your Rolex, then you haven’t truly high rolled in Vegas.
Looks like blondie has more victims out there.
Woman accused of stealing watches from men on Strip arrested again
She looks a little worse for wear in her latest booking photo (or maybe this is just another of the first).
but she's cracking a smile...maybe hoping she'll get off because they apparently have no tangible evidence and she hasn't admitted to the crime yet. Still, 3 independent victims all claiming their watches were stolen should be enough for a jury, if it gets to that point and she doesn't plead out.
Nowadays selling a stolen watch isn't as easy as it might have been years ago. I wonder where those three high end timepieces are?
Obviously not in her vagina.
Corrections officers find stolen Rolex watches in suspect’s vagina
Which, actually, that one got off when the victim declined to press charges....
Florida woman who hid stolen Rolexes in vagina beats charge. What happens to the watches?
The first pics were when she met the men. The second was after she sneaked outta bed. Notice the second more satisfied look.
Nowadays, married and stable, I don't have those problems. Besides my wife, my entourage is limited to maybe one person who stays in a next door room, who is there as much for security as anything else.
Inside a Vegas casino is about as safe as may be. If you don't feel safe inside a casino, you might as well lock yourself up at home and never leave. Now - stepping outside, on the Strip, while wearing an expensive timepiece or jewelry, yes, that's not smart, but still, it's a far cry from North East Vegas where you'd be marked just for being other than black. And if I were out and about for any length of time outside my casino I'd be accompanied by someone who would deter any miscreants or panhandlers.
I am sure that anyone who steals high end items ends up disappointed in how few cents on the dollar he gets. Pawn shops - I have bought a couple of timepieces and some jewelry from pawn shops, including in Vegas, before, but that was years ago. I got some great deals on items that are worth a lot more today. Nowadays it seems that pawn shops are trying to sell for more than anyone else, so I don't even bother to look inside them any longer.
And by the way, pawn shops are not going to buy any stolen items, at least not knowingly (unless they are crooked and operating under the law).
I recall once I was about to enter a Vegas pawn shop to see if they had anything of interest and some guy outside accosted me and showed me some items he wanted me to buy. I told him to come inside with me, and whatever the pawn shop offered I would pay a little more. We went inside and the pawn shop looked the stuff over, and it was real gold, a couple of rings as I recall, and barely offered him forty dollars as I recall. I don't remember if I bothered to give him more, or just let it go.
Wall Street...I'd say all those brokers are wearing expensive timepieces.
Lawyers, to a certain extent too, tempered a bit in terms of flash in front of the judge and jury.
Celebrities, professional athletes and rap stars, almost all wearing expensive watches.
6 Celebs and their Patek Philippe Nautilus Watches
Successful businessmen.
Powerful hand: Top 7 watches spotted in Forbes: Luxury watches worn by powerful businessmen and showbiz billionaires
As far as that only older people wear watches,
Quote: MDawgHow old is Ed Sheehan? How old is Drake?
That makes it real, much more so than just sticking it in the bank, and somehow tends to lead to the desired positive result.
Quote: MDawg"Working" girls might end up in a high roller's suite for any number of reasons...including that a guy's friends might bring them up. It's not smart, and they're not wanted, but the larger the entourage, the harder it is to control what all your buddies are up to.
I guess it's a good thing for me that I tend to travel as a party of one. My buddies sure wouldn't be my buddies for very long, that's for sure.
Quote:Nowadays, married and stable, I don't have those problems. Besides my wife, my entourage is limited to maybe one person who stays in a next door room, who is there as much for security as anything else.
That's the way to do it!
Quote:Inside a Vegas casino is about as safe as may be. If you don't feel safe inside a casino, you might as well lock yourself up at home and never leave. Now - stepping outside, on the Strip, while wearing an expensive timepiece or jewelry, yes, that's not smart, but still, it's a far cry from North East Vegas where you'd be marked just for being other than black. And if I were out and about for any length of time outside my casino I'd be accompanied by someone who would deter any miscreants or panhandlers.
I agree with your first sentence, the article to which you linked made it sound like they went to a few different places. I'll also say good thinking as to the rest of what you said. I was up at Cannery once staying there and I didn't feel concerned about going out and about...it probably helps that I look more like the mugger than the mark.
I did get into some verbal back-and-forth on Boulder Highway with a forum member from here accompanying me once, but I think we'd have handled those guys.
Quote:I am sure that anyone who steals high end items ends up disappointed in how few cents on the dollar he gets. Pawn shops - I have bought a couple of timepieces and some jewelry from pawn shops, including in Vegas, before, but that was years ago. I got some great deals on items that are worth a lot more today. Nowadays it seems that pawn shops are trying to sell for more than anyone else, so I don't even bother to look inside them any longer.
That's the funny thing about pawn shops; it's very rare that I talk to anyone who is there to buy. Before having a car with the various tech ports, I'd sometimes go into pawn shops for $1-$2 CD's for the car, but that was about it. I think I gave them all away by the time I got a car with the ports---or maybe I just gave them to Goodwill; don't remember.
Quote:And by the way, pawn shops are not going to buy any stolen items, at least not knowingly (unless they are crooked and operating under the law).
I recall once I was about to enter a Vegas pawn shop to see if they had anything of interest and some guy outside accosted me and showed me some items he wanted me to buy. I told him to come inside with me, and whatever the pawn shop offered I would pay a little more. We went inside and the pawn shop looked the stuff over, and it was real gold, a couple of rings as I recall, and barely offered him forty dollars as I recall. I don't remember if I bothered to give him more, or just let it go.
That's why I was thinking that they'd have to have been fenced, which would be even less money. Don't most high-end watches have unique identification numbers that can not only be traced back to the owners, but also can be given from the owner to the cops and put in a database in the event that it is stolen?
I'll only wear a wedding ring when I'm married again. I'm just not really into jewelry, other than two earrings in my left ear. That's mainly just because my left ear has been pierced since I was 12, or something, and I almost feel like I wouldn't look like myself without them, at this point. Even with that, I tend to only own the two earrings at a time. Anytime I buy a new pair, I sterilize the old pair and donate them to Goodwill, or something along those lines.
Quote: MDawgAs far as who wears watches and who doesn't...that depends on what circles you run in. Certainly if you hang out at the high limit salons you will see millions of dollars in timepieces pass through there weekly.
Wall Street...I'd say all those brokers are wearing expensive timepieces.
Lawyers, to a certain extent too, tempered a bit in terms of flash in front of the judge and jury.
Celebrities, professional athletes and rap stars, almost all wearing expensive watches.
6 Celebs and their Patek Philippe Nautilus Watches
Successful businessmen.
Powerful hand: Top 7 watches spotted in Forbes: Luxury watches worn by powerful businessmen and showbiz billionaires
As far as that only older people wear watches,
I neither run nor circle. Off-Forum, I can count the number of people I talk to in a month who I am not related to or de facto related to on one hand.
Anyway, I guess wasting money becomes fashionable when there is money to waste, again, no offense. Just sounds like a show-off competition for who can waste the most money, to me. It also seems like an endless cycle of creating additional demand for an otherwise useless product and, thereby, raising the prices of said useless products for yourselves.
Have to keep up with those Joneses, I suppose, if that's the game.
Me? I don't know how much money you have, but if I had that amount, I'd look just as bummy as ever.
Quote: MDawgAnother thing I like to do, when I'm working towards a goal, in terms of making money, whether it's something small like a win in Vegas, or a big "win," such as via a business deal, is picture what I will do with the money, to the minutest detail, whether it's buying a watch, a car, a house, an office building, or whatever. Not just in general, but specifically, right down to the exact acquisition and all its particulars.
That makes it real, much more so than just sticking it in the bank, and somehow tends to lead to the desired positive result.
That's probably smart. My lack of motivation, in general, largely stems from there being nothing that I want.
But my wife spends a good amount on high technology health related devices that would normally be found only in salons or laboratories so there is an example of money spent on something purported to be useful.
Quote: MDawgWell, people like different things. Doesn't mean that the things people like necessarily have any practical use as in aren't edible or don't improve health.
But my wife spends a good amount on high technology health related devices that would normally be found only in salons or laboratories so there is an example of money spent on something purported to be useful.
There's no real practical use to improving one's health, other than aesthetics. We'll all be equally dead in the end, anyway. I see no reason to go out of my way to speed up the process, but nor do I find any great motivation to slow it down.
Quote: Mission146There's no real practical use to improving one's health, other than aesthetics. We'll all be equally dead in the end, anyway. I see no reason to go out of my way to speed up the process, but nor do I find any great motivation to slow it down.
Mission, looks like you’ve been hacked by DRich.
Quote: Mission146First of all, I want to congratulate you on producing the single most erroneous and nonsensical post that I have ever read on this site in my entire life. There are no superlatives strong enough to overstate how immeasurably impressed I am with the torrent of unmitigated nonsense that I have quoted above.
Honestly, this probably doesn't even rise to the level of deserving a response, but I am going to respond anyway because I am clearly a demented self-loathing masochist.
Do you not see the word, "Negative," in, "Negative Progression?" Do you know what else is negative? The Expected Value of most casino games (including Baccarat) in most situations.
Betting systems do not change results and they do not change expected results. The only thing that a negative progression betting systems does is create a set of parameters by which small wins and huge losses become more likely.
Why big losses? Consider a five-step Martingale: If you lose all five attempts, then you'll have lost more than would have even been possible had you been flat-betting the base bet.
Anyway, the math explains all of this---you know, that whole math thing that you seem to be contesting does not apply.
Casino chips represent dollars, money goes either one way on a bet...goes the other way...or, on bets that can push, nothing changes. If you look at that incredibly simple concept, then you'll understand EVERYTHING about gambling relates directly back to math. Math answers the question, "In this situation, by expectation, how much money goes from either the player to the casino or the casino to the player."
In the incredibly unlikely event that you cannot grasp that money changing hands is math and only math, then my suggestion to you is to do yourself a favor and never gamble. I'd probably also avoid the stock market, as well.
It's incredible that, from a technical standpoint, this is reasonably well-written, and yet, conveys an idea almost impossibly dumb. If I didn't know better, I'd think that you were messing with me, and everyone else here, but I have no doubt whatsoever that you are being 100% genuine and posting earnestly while engaging in a legitimate back-and-forth in which you are absolutely NOT advancing arguments that you consider disingenuous.
So, since you are so clearly making this statement in good faith, I will address it.
1.) If the player believes what you said is true, then he should take a break of the remainder of his life before he ever gambles again.
2.) You seem to think that the player taking this break has some impact on changing the probabilities or expected value for the next hand he plays. If you're talking about Wonging-Out of a bad shoe at Blackjack, then you would be right, but if you believe this as some sort of general rule then, once again, I encourage you not to ever gamble for as long as you live. Either that, or learn how the math applies, but not gambling at all would be much easier.
3.) The long losing streak has not been broken. Imagine that the Milwaukee Bucks lose five games in a row, but then the NBA All-Star break comes up, so they don't play anymore games for a week...is their record from the last five games not still 0-5?
1.) Math is not a theory when it comes to gambling and math doesn't, "Hope," for anything. Math just exists and is applied to specific situations. Do you presume math is a sentient entity that wants you to lose at gambling?
Hell, if nothing else, math (if it were sentient) wants you to win. Why? Because if you learn the math as relates gambling, then you will be able to differentiate scenarios in which you are expected to win from those in which you are expected to lose.
Judging from what you have said in your post, I could only conclude that you do not believe what I have just said. My advice to you is to absolutely NOT gamble until you do believe it.
2.) Math can account for everything that you just said because no, "Breaks," that you take are going to change the situation. I guess they do in Baccarat since a concept called Effect-of-Removal changes the house edge slightly based on the remaining composition of the shoe. Judging from your post, I don't expect you to know that. Anyway, the player can leave after a particular number of losses and return to start a different shoe, but the house edge is going to just be based on whatever the composition of that shoe is----or the base house edge, if the shoe hasn't had any hands come out yet.
The only thing that you're explaining is how a person could produce barely comprehensible nonsense if they felt like it.
Your post is not only nonsensical, your post is also irresponsible. I'd like to believe that there's nobody that understands so little about gambling that they would read your wall of unadulterated gobbledygook and somehow come away from doing so, not only without a severe migraine, but also thinking they learned something---I have been proven wrong before, though.
If the player, "Knew anything in advance," then the player would not experience many losing streaks at all and would have only winning streaks. There are things that you can know in advance, with certain tactics, but what you are saying is not one of them.
The tactics by which a person might gain information that would change the probabilities that would otherwise be assumed is also mathematically calculable, just so you know. For example, if I know or have reason to strongly suspect that the first card out is going to be a face, then that has an impact on the House Edge that is calculable. I can use that information to my advantage. The math still applies.
Anyway, that's all. I close with my advice that I suggest that you never gamble if you truly believe that five paragraphs of ill-conceived quackery that you posted. Or, if you really must gamble, learn something about math.
Even if the equivalent of a large order of McDonald's fries, large strawberry milkshake and two Double Quarter Pounders with cheese that your post has binged and then violently purged upon us had even the tiniest shred of logic to it, which it doesn't, it would STILL be able to have math applied to it.
I have started debunking everything in this post by M146, over on this thread:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/35751-beat-the-house-at-blackjack/20/#post804048
I will answer all queries relating to this post, over there.
Quote: unJonMission, looks like you’ve been hacked by DRich.
DRich and I are in lockstep on more than you might think.
Quote: Wellbush
I have started debunking everything in this post by M146, over on this thread:
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/35751-beat-the-house-at-blackjack/20/#post804048
I will answer all queries relating to this post, over there.
Mission leads at the turn. I'd better slow down, or I might start to sweat.
EDIT: Wait, sorry, I wasn't supposed to do that...I forgot the rules.
Quote: Mission146Mission leads at the turn. I'd better slow down, or I might start to sweat.
EDIT: Wait, sorry, I wasn't supposed to do that...I forgot the rules.
I see you're 4th on the top contributor's list. Closing in on 3rd. How long you been on this site 146?
Quote: WellbushI see you're 4th on the top contributor's list. Closing in on 3rd. How long you been on this site 146?
See the, "Joined Date," in this, and every, post.
I'm letting you see one of the cards in my hand ahead of time as a courtesy.
Quote: Mission146By the way, either the next segment or the segment after that in our thread is going to relate to physical v. metaphysical and how math simply describes the physical, or, at least, what could happen in the physical realm.
I'm letting you see one of the cards in my hand ahead of time as a courtesy.
You should be posting this in the other thread
Quote: Mission146There's no real practical use to improving one's health, other than aesthetics. We'll all be equally dead in the end, anyway. I see no reason to go out of my way to speed up the process, but nor do I find any great motivation to slow it down.
You are a wise man. I am thinking of starting a cult, you are welcome to join and I will waive the admittance fee. I will not be serving the Kool-Aid, but feel free to bring your own. You can head up the compound security if you like,
Hello, charting.
Greetings, regression.
Good to see ya, 3 in a row, time to go.
Quote: DRichI will not be serving the Kool-Aid,
Then what's the point. Geez..
Quote: Mission146There's no real practical use to improving one's health, other than aesthetics. We'll all be equally dead in the end, anyway. I see no reason to go out of my way to speed up the process, but nor do I find any great motivation to slow it down.
That's ridiculous. Besides living longer, the quality of life all along the way is far superior. Whether you choose to go in for all the new technology or not, at a minimum, eat right and exercise regularly.
I played a number of shoes, but kept moving around. Pulled a 12K marker, played some at one shoe then two players joined me. One I didn't mind so much because he simply followed me and bet what I bet, albeit flat betting only 200, but the other one would jump around, as usual with mixed results, but over all just slowed the game down.
I left another shoe, free handed a few hands, and then fell into a 16 Bank run. I might have missed the first hand but got every one after that, pressing all the way (not enough, but I did press). A small crowd gathered around watching but not one of them even bet. And that's the problem with most Baccarat players - given the opportunity do something, they keep fearing that a run / streak / pattern will stop, so they just stare at it, and do nothing like deer frozen in headlights. How I knew, or know, that something is more likely than not to happen is immaterial, but why someone would bet ridiculously heavily on some random hand and not follow a streak is beyond me.
After it was over one of the pit bosses I knew commented that "you should be a millionaire by now." Well, sadly, I won only about twenty grand on that run. The shoe started to fall apart, I gave back a couple grand, and then I went to another table, won a few grand, and then left, +21000.
Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
Earlier, we noticed that all the pools were closed.
The table was pretty full. A white guy was on third base, and to his left a black guy who was with him, clearly the two were together. I stood there maybe five seconds, looked down, and there it was, a five hundred dollar chip. I am not sure what directed the black guy to look down at close to the same moment, but he saw it too. I put my foot on the chip, leaned down and picked it up.
"Is this yours?"
"Yes."
"You swear?"
"Yes."
"All right, well, if I had lost that I'd want someone to return it to me." and I handed him the chip.
At that moment, I was leaving the floor with over thirty times that in winnings in my pocket, so I wasn't in any kind of chip hungry mood. I suppose what compelled me to give the guy the chip, was that I knew it wasn't mine, and no matter what, there was more of a chance that it belonged to him than to me. It just didn't occur to me to be sneaky about it and keep my foot over it and try to get it.
I went over the amusing incident with my wife, and we debated over whether the chip really belonged to him.
"Anyway, one thing it proves," she said finally, "is that you have a sixth sense for money. You said that you never have stopped by that table before, and you had no reason to be there, and yet there you were."
Quote: MDawgDay 32 play...
I left another shoe, free handed a few hands, and then fell into a 16 Bank run. I might have missed the first hand but got every one after that, pressing all the way (not enough, but I did press).
...
I went to another table, won a few grand, and then left, +21000.
Well, it's not just MDawg that can see into the future.
Recently, Myself and Mission joked privately about our joint prediction that MDawg would soon be announcing a losing session. Which he duly did.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/456/#post802748
I was a bit premature when I sent a PM that said ...
Quote: OnceDear in a PMAs predicted he has presented that losing session. It's almost like a soap opera script. So predictable. Watch for the next installment where he has a golden session. I'm predicting he turns an 8k marker into $20k with no effort at all....
Got the wrong day, though we can't be sure of that 'cos he no longer reports real-time. And it was a $12k marker to +$21k rather than an $8k marker to $20k (or +$12k)
I think the claim of hitting 15 of a 16 hand banker streak fits the 'with no effort at all' part.
(1 / 0.4585) ^ 15 = 120201
Just sayin'
I've mentioned this before: in one of my trips in the distant past I took home mid six figures. Once I got over a hundred and twenty five grand, I kept trying to get a hundred thousand dollar chip, both at the cage and at the tables. No one would give me one. It came down to that I wasn't willing to bet it in one hand (which I couldn't anyway - at that time the limit was 15,000), and for whatever reason the tables wouldn't color up past the 25K chips.
So if you'd asked me a few months ago, the answer would have been - $25,000. which, I've held those chips (called melons, or pumpkins, at most casinos) many many times. And $25K was the highest I had held.
Until now.
$100,000.
Up well over that this trip, I finally got my hands on one. The way I got it this trip is that there was a Reserved table that had stacks of them, and when they released it for general play, the chips remained. I stepped up with my bagful of winning chips from the hotel safe that I had been accumulating, colored up, and there you go. When I get a chance I'll put it side by side with a $25K and see if the $100K is any larger, but in any case, as Donnie Brasco said about the shining bright diamonds he was holding, "That's a beautiful thing."
And that $100K chip I'm holding ain't no fugazzi.
Quote: MDawgThat's ridiculous. Besides living longer, the quality of life all along the way is far superior. Whether you choose to go in for all the new technology or not, at a minimum, eat right and exercise regularly.
That’s correct MD. When I did my unit in Developmental Psychology, it said the same thing. If one stays healthy, the latter years are much better. If unhealthy, more pain over a longer period, and an earlier death. Healthy - less pain over a shorter period, later death.
Quote: OnceDearWell, it's not just MDawg that can see into the future.
From the Wizard corroborated Session Report:
Quote: MDawgMy highest bet in this run, which I lost, was 3500, although I kept this up winning each hand prior to the final 3500 one, on an 8 player run, all the way down the line. While in the salon prior to playing I had mentioned to Wizard that I always always caught runs or patterns and always pressed into them. As this Player run was happening, just a few hands into it, I pointed out that this is exactly what I was doing now, and that it was not as hard as it sounded to detect a run and press into that.
I didn’t just catch some of the winning hands in that 8 Player run – I caught every single one, losing only on the 9th bet, when it switched to Bank. I do this all the time, catch runs, and press into them.
Anyway, knock yourself out with your commentary. I'm the one holding a $100,000. chip in the winner's bag, not you. And that makes perfect sense.
Quote: MDawgFrom the Wizard corroborated Session Report:
Anyway, knock yourself out with your commentary. I'm the one holding a $100,000. chip in the winner's bag, not you. And that makes perfect sense.
I think MD has a sound argument that should be given much more respect from OD
Enjoy it. Far more tangible than our Bitcoin hodlings.Quote: MDawgFrom the Wizard corroborated Session Report:
Anyway, knock yourself out with your misguided, irrelevant, and inaccurate commentary. I'm the one holding a $100,000. chip in the winner's bag, not you. And that makes perfect sense.
https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin
I'm very pleased to hear that MDawg is ( apparently ) the high roller that he claims to be. I reserve the right to give no respect to his 'argument' whatever that is.Quote: WellbushI think MD has a sound argument that should be given much more respect from OD
In the scheme of things a year ago we would have been roaring with happiness over BTC's hitting 50K, so why not just look at things along them lines?
And “no,” I’m not in cahoots with MD. Just a lone poster making observations, without an underlying mathematical bias to protect.
It's a lot of work, but it must become and remain fait accompli.
And I hope I don't fall over from patting myself too hard on the back.
Quote: MDawgTrue, the value of this 100K chip will not go down. And assuming I don't backslide, it, plus all other winning chips, will be converted to a casino check at the end of the trip.
In the scheme of things a year ago we would have been roaring with happiness over BTC's hitting 50K, so why not just look at things along them lines?
You’ll have to get your wife to take photos of it in your hand, and keep the photos for posterity.
A year ago, I would have posted its pic right here, but today, if I were to do that then everyone would know where I am today (or recently), and that's no longer something that I care to disclose.
It is actually hard to get a 100K chip. It's not just about winning over 100K - it's about getting your hands on the chip. In general, they do not release them to other than special limit players, partly just because at most casinos generally only special limit (reserved) tables are stocked with them.
Quote: OnceDearI'm very pleased to hear that MDawg is ( apparently ) the high roller that he claims to be. I reserve the right to give no respect to his 'argument' whatever that is.
Cue Coachbelly
To me, the odds a certain cohort of math theory defending posters here are in fantasy land, rather than the other way around, are becoming more likely. But we shall see.
Quote: MDawgIf someone wants to send the Wizard $100. for looking at it (hint) I could send him a picture privately, with me holding it, next to the Vitamin Bar no less, and then he could corroborate! For another $100., at the end of the trip Wizard could corroborate the conversion of the chip to a "pit winnings" winner's check. Yes, they actually write or print that in the memo section of the casino's check at some casinos, "pit winnings."
Now MD this is getting dangerous! I think the naysayers know you’re real, but then they have to try and defend mathematical theory.
Go easy on them.
I (and the Wizard) simply report that I win.
"I win, therefore, I win."
Quote: MDawgMath theory remains valid.
I (and the Wizard) simply report that I win.
"I win, therefore, I win."
Yeah, but I think many are trying to defend a certain part of math theory. The losing part but not the winning part.
One poster recently used a swathe of incredible mathematical vocabulary within long posts, to debunk me and my strategy.
So I decided to go through his posts and nearly every one of them was flawed. There was one that wasn’t flawed, and I simply agreed with it. He then asked me to explain my strategy! So on what basis was this poster debunking my strategy in such a colourful way, when he needed me to explain my strategy that he was debunking?
I didn’t explain my strategy. There’s enough of that in some threads that some are too lazy to read. I then see him filling up my thread again! Poor devil
Maybe he’s trying to defend himself? Do you think I care? He can say all he likes, but where’s the substance and advancement in knowledge?
Quote: MDawg. How I knew, or know, that something is more likely than not to happen is immaterial, .
Quite the opposite! For the majority of posters on this forum, that is EXACTLY what interests them. How you could not have realized THAT is astounding!
Of course, it is totally reasonable that you would want to keep that technique a secret.
Keep up the good work.
