The Adventures of MDawg

Quote: OnceDear

Interesting that MDawg is currently suspended, so I wonder to myself who complained.
I could only guess that it was someone who felt himself/herself to have been characterised as a 'minion' or 'hanger on'

https://www.wordnik.com/words/minion

From The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, 5th Edition.
noun An obsequious follower or dependent; a sycophant.
noun A subordinate official, especially a servile one.
noun One who is highly esteemed or favored; a darling.

Quote: OnceDear

Interesting that MDawg is currently suspended, so I wonder to myself who complained.

Quote: Marcusclark66

And in my opinion there is not a damn thing wrong with being an admirer, the same as there's not a damn thing wrong with not being an admirer of his.

Quote: mwalz9

Rule #6 violation?

I don't let my children say the "d" word?

Quote: coachbelly

Does MDawg's suspension prevent him from complaining to an administrator?

Quote: mwalz9

I guess I'm confused. Damn isn't profanity. Minion is an insult. House edge is fake. Betting systems work.

Did I die and go to some nasty form of the afterlife?

Quote: OnceDear

I did not say that 'damn' is not a profanity. I said that I would not impose a penalty on this occasion. I did not say 'minion' is an insult.

No. You voluntarily emerged in this thread, in this subforum for the mathematically challenged, where the normal rules of science, maths and nature do not apply.

Quote: Expectedvalue

Wonder why wizard is so complicit in allowing some random unknown person who claims to be a real person to use the wizards name in a sub forum about systems and put it in his tag line verified by the wizard
Not only that. That dawg guys new claims are better than that I of the best fiction writers in history. 1 - 5 million dollar house purchases. Private jets and non stop wins. Now he owns companies in California that have nothing to do with his law practice. And calls people suckahs. Real profiles soon we have here

Quote: Marcusclark66

...
Believing Mr. Wizard himself and his Verification of MDawg
Marcus Clark
Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66
Professional Casino Security Expert
Certified Company Firearms Instructor
Tic-Tac-Toe Expert & Mastering Chess
Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club

Quote: Expectedvalue

He isn’t anywhere close to the exact same as yourself. He always oreached math, until recently I held him extreme regard. Some recent events make me second guess some of that.
You make a lot of Claims aka real person. You also claim
Mdawg helped you make a few thousand . Which is almost a probability of zero happening

Quote: Wizard

Let the record show that MDawg allowed me to view privately a picture that included a picture of a 100K Vegas casino chip. The picture was verifiably taken yesterday. The chip comes from the same casino at which I viewed him play. Within this picture was also a picture of a 100 Grand candy bar, and also his platinum Day Date Rolex that I handled personally when I met with him.

Quote: OnceDear

You say Wizard has verified MDawg!

Personally I challenge that as a gross mischaracterization of what wizard has done. So I've flagged this for his comments.

Quote: Expectedvalue

That dawg guys new claims are better than that I of the best fiction writers in history. 1 - 5 million dollar house purchases. Private jets and non stop wins. Now he owns companies in California that have nothing to do with his law practice. And calls people suckahs. Real profiles soon we have here

Quote: OnceDear

Interesting that MDawg is currently suspended

Quote: TDVegas

LOL. He’s been suspended more times than the school bully. You begin to wonder when someone says “uncle”.

Quote: Marcusclark66

And sometimes, just sometimes the school bully is not always the one that's at fault. Sometime it's the other ones that gang up on the school bully pushing him and then pointing fingers and the teacher only sees so much. Has to act thou.

Quote: MDawg

The prescription version of Niacin flush is what you want.

Quote: Marcusclark66

And sometimes, just sometimes the school bully is not always the one that's at fault. Sometime it's the other ones that gang up on the school bully pushing him and then pointing fingers and the teacher only sees so much. Has to act thou.

A Loyal and Devoted Fan of MDawg
Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club

Quote: Wizard

Let the record show MDawg has privately shared with me an image of a casino cage check marked "Verified Win," dated very recently (late May 2021), that is low six figures.

Quote: Expectedvalue

He will claim that he is just stating what he saw, not claiming it can’t be manipulated. Just like he said he handled the Rolex but not that he verifies it’s authenticity either way it’s a bad look from the leader of this forum

Quote: lilredrooster

how do you explain a player who wins on every single trip; having posted about dozens of trips; and has indicated that his methods only include betting on streaks, not chasing losses, and quitting while he's ahead?

• The player has a very large bankroll compared to his winning goals and hasn't reached the "long term" yet.
• The player has been, what most people would call, "lucky." I would say his overall results have are well on the right side of the bell curve, thus far.
• The player is exaggerating.
• The player is not keeping accurate records.

Quote: Wizard

I'm strictly sworn to secrecy about how mdawg plays. So, I will make a general statement, as follows.

No betting system can beat baccarat. Unless it relies on card counting, a betting system cannot even dent the house edge in baccarat. If a player claims to consistently beat the game straight up, without some form of advantage play, then I would assume one of the following to be the case:

• The player has a very large bankroll compared to his winning goals and hasn't reached the "long term" yet.
• The player has been, what most people would call, "lucky." I would say his overall results have are well on the right side of the bell curve, thus far.
• The player is exaggerating.
• The player is not keeping accurate records.

I have known plenty of recreational gamblers who always seem to come back from a casino trip with stories of winning. Said stories seem to grow with time. I'm not necessarily filing mdawg in that group. To be honest, I don't really care. I don't see why so many are so hot and bothered with him.

Quote: Wizard

I'm strictly sworn to secrecy about how mdawg plays. So, I will make a general statement, as follows.

No betting system can beat baccarat. Unless it relies on card counting, a betting system cannot even dent the house edge in baccarat. If a player claims to consistently beat the game straight up, without some form of advantage play, then I would assume one of the following to be the case:

• The player has a very large bankroll compared to his winning goals and hasn't reached the "long term" yet.
• The player has been, what most people would call, "lucky." I would say his overall results have are well on the right side of the bell curve, thus far.
• The player is exaggerating.
• The player is not keeping accurate records.

I have known plenty of recreational gamblers who always seem to come back from a casino trip with stories of winning. Said stories seem to grow with time. I'm not necessarily filing mdawg in that group. To be honest, I don't really care. I don't see why so many are so hot and bothered with him.

Quote: Marcusclark66

Mastering Chess

Quote: MrV

Let's see ... the Wiz posits four possible scenarios, but I see no rational basis with any of them them for him to be muzzled and "strictly sworn to secrecy."

If he witnessed a large bankroll that's nothing new in sin city, and is in fact what the bettor claims to have, so no secrets there.

Similarly "luck happens:" variance is no secret.

Were he to conclude there was exaggeration or sloppy records there' woul be no need to be "strictly sworn to secrecy."

Does not compute.

Quote: darkoz

It computes perfectly.

The Wizard observed an explainable advantage play that MDawg was utilizing.

Very early on after the Wizard observed MDawg playing I questioned why there aren't more AP's trying to understand his advantage and the Wizard made a post that he also didn't understand why. That post would have been within a week or two of the conclusion of the challenge for anyone who wants to go verify.

If the Wizard is wondering why more AP:s aren't searching for the advantage and he hasn't come out and said MDawg's methods are not an AP play (what is to be kept secret about someone who can't beat the house edge) then the only conclusion that does compute is MDawg uses an Advantage Play.

Ultimately MDawg has either lied about his winning or has lied about not being an Advantage Player. He has presented proof of winning to the Wizard and presented observational play that the Wizard cannot divulge and which the Wizard absolutely claims doesn't change his opinion on denting the house edge.

I think people are just upset someone who brags a lot might actually have something to brag about. It's human nature.

I get flack for bragging about my AP and in some weird twilight zone I also get flack for discussion of my setbacks. Perhaps it's because to have major setbacks one must also have major success first, I don't know.

I am certain there is more to the MDawg story than he is letting on. And whatever it is isn't what his naysayers expect.

Quote: MDawg

I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them when I do, I usually win. 𝐎𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐬𝐞 𝐦𝐲 𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐢𝐞 𝐛𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝟏𝟎𝟎%, but I will hit the majority of my tie bets.

Quote: OnceDear

I did not say that 'damn' is not a profanity. I said that I would not impose a penalty on this occasion. I did not say 'minion' is an insult.

No. You voluntarily emerged in this thread, in this subforum for the mathematically challenged, where the normal rules of science, maths and nature do not apply.

Quote: mwalz9

Rule #6 violation?

I don't let my children say the "d" word?

Quote: Wizard

I'm strictly sworn to secrecy about how mdawg plays. So, I will make a general statement, as follows.

No betting system can beat baccarat. Unless it relies on card counting, a betting system cannot even dent the house edge in baccarat. If a player claims to consistently beat the game straight up, without some form of advantage play, then I would assume one of the following to be the case:

• The player has a very large bankroll compared to his winning goals and hasn't reached the "long term" yet.
• The player has been, what most people would call, "lucky." I would say his overall results have are well on the right side of the bell curve, thus far.
• The player is exaggerating.
• The player is not keeping accurate records.

I have known plenty of recreational gamblers who always seem to come back from a casino trip with stories of winning. Said stories seem to grow with time. I'm not necessarily filing mdawg in that group. To be honest, I don't really care. I don't see why so many are so hot and bothered with him.

Quote: Marcusclark66

Quote: Wizard

I'm strictly sworn to secrecy about how mdawg plays. So, I will make a general statement, as follows.

No betting system can beat baccarat. Unless it relies on card counting, a betting system cannot even dent the house edge in baccarat. If a player claims to consistently beat the game straight up, without some form of advantage play, then I would assume one of the following to be the case:

• The player has a very large bankroll compared to his winning goals and hasn't reached the "long term" yet.
• The player has been, what most people would call, "lucky." I would say his overall results have are well on the right side of the bell curve, thus far.
• The player is exaggerating.
• The player is not keeping accurate records.

I have known plenty of recreational gamblers who always seem to come back from a casino trip with stories of winning. Said stories seem to grow with time. I'm not necessarily filing mdawg in that group. To be honest, I don't really care. I don't see why so many are so hot and bothered with him.

Mr. Wizard, you are definitely a super person, straight up person, fantastic administrator and forum leader! Thank You. Huge handshake out to you.

I work in the casino industry as you well know from what you have read and what we have communicated, but I have almost no experience running table games and knowledge of the inside of the games either for the casino or for the player. I am considered an expert and my education and my training is to the financial end of it all, the regulatory end, the state and federal requirements and everything else to do with running the property, the safety of the patrons, regulatory standards as well as federal reporting in regards to the financial end of player transactions and everything else to do with that.

However I have talked to numerous upper-level Casino executives including players that have played their entire lives and during the last couple of years I have focused a lot of my conversations on player wins and player losses. It is very interesting what the bottom line is one can come away with. I'm talking with all of these kind of people from vast educational, financial and experienced backgrounds.

I will have to side with you and say the four ultimatums you have offered for an explanation into the special MDawg and his stories are spot-on, however myself, you and anyone else on this board does not know 100% how valid each and every story that is written by himself as well as any other member actually are. I personally detest assuming, assumption, guessing and forming opinions of others when that person was not observed in order to accurately discount his claim 'story', et cetera.

Once again, I do admire yourself and I am a huge fan of MDawg from many reasons!

Signed with Respect & Admiration of The Wizard and MDawg
Marcus Clark
Real Person; AKA MarcusClark66
Professional Casino Security Expert
Certified Company Firearms Instructor
Tic-Tac-Toe Expert & Mastering Chess
Honorary & Official #1 Fan of the MDawg Adventures Club

Quote: lilredrooster

..........................


constantly bragging on a gambling forum and then telling a couple of others that you have a secret that you won't reveal is not a good thing

gambling forums are all about sharing knowledge so everybody can learn which is what Mr. Wizard and others here do

what he is doing - if he has a winning secret - is causing distrust, disbelief and other bad feelings

if you have a reason to brag you need to share the method behind what you're bragging about or face a lot of negativity

if you asked a great football player how he became great he wouldn't tell you it's a secret - he would tell you he spent hours every day in the weight room and hours running wind sprints - or something else

the guy deserves all the negativity he receives and I don't believe he has a winning secret or anything else that he brags about

if Marcus Clark and Wellbush and a couple of others want to jump up and down about him like dizzy pre-teens at a Justin Bieber concert so be it

what a joke






and Dark Oz:


you're making cryptic remarks which are not helpful
you're implying or suggesting that you know what his "secret" is

if you have something to say you need to say it

otherwise your posts should be ignored



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Quote: MDawg

I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them when I do, I usually win. 𝐎𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐬𝐞 𝐦𝐲 𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐢𝐞 𝐛𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝟏𝟎𝟎%, but I will hit the majority of my tie bets.

Quote: lilredrooster

imagine that...............a frank admission that he doesn't hit ties 100% of the time - such modesty

statistically ties come about 9.5% of the time or a little bit less often than one in 10 times

how brain dead does a person have to be to believe that?

believe it or not there are a few here who believe it

Quote: Wizard

The Wizard casino pays 9 to 1 on ties and throws out the red carpet for Mdawg. Let's see if he will accept the challenge.

Quote: lilredrooster quoting mdawg

I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them when I do, I usually win. 𝐎𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐬𝐞 𝐦𝐲 𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐢𝐞 𝐛𝐞𝐭𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝟏𝟎𝟎%, but I will hit the majority of my tie bets.

Quote: mdawg

I have a system for predicting the ties. I bet them rarely, but when I do, I usually win. In my life I have bet a couple of $3000. tie bets (paying off $24,000.) and hit them both. 2/2. I have also bet a few $2000. and $1500. tie bets, and hit them all too. Of course, my average with smaller tie bets is not 100%, but when I am running hot (get me some antifreeze!), I will hit the majority of my tie bets.

Quote: lilredrooster

................


here is Eliot Jacobson's (who is a member here and who posts here) analysis of the potential edge on betting ties done by "computer perfect play" - in other words tracking every single card and every single probability from the cards remaining in the deck

it does not consider the possibility of getting an edge thru edge sorting or tracking a slug thru the dealout

because of the Phil Ivey thing casinos have probably eliminated entirely the possibility of edge sorting

tracking a slug thru the dealout is a high level skill never mentioned by or suggested by MDawg - so we would have to conclude that him doing either of those things is highly unlikely

so, anyway, as you can see - per Mr. Jacobson's analysis of the potential for getting an edge on the tie bet even with "computer perfect play" is nowhere remotely close to what MDawg suggested or implied that he could get

take a look:










https://www.888casino.com/blog/baccarat-tips/computer-perfect-play-against-the-baccarat-tie-bet






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Quote: MDawg

Some people (not successful Baccarat players) ask...how do you press into a run, or get on a run to begin with? How do you know it will keep up? I'd say, how do you not get on a run, whether it be a chop, run, or any sort of pattern that repeats itself more than three times? It's rare that I will miss a run of more than 3.

Quote: darkoz

Really???

I described a dead play on here and caused an exodus of AP players who weren't even aware of the move

And you believe MDawg should expose a live play?

According to some AP's on here not only is being cryptic smart but totally silent. On a gambling forum meant to share knowledge.

I personally agree with your sentiment which is why I have shared some of my secrets and it's always been heckled

Heckling for not sharing secrets as well?

You aren't making this easy!

EDIT: I don't know what MDawg does but I have my suspicion. I don't mind discussing that if you wish

Quote: lilredrooster

how brain dead does a person have to be to actually believe you can get an edge at a negative expectancy house game this way?

something like 70% of craps players press their bets up when they believe a run is coming

does anybody believe they're long term winners?

only a fool would believe beating a casino is so easy




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