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MDawg
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May 4th, 2021 at 9:27:04 PM permalink
All the plexiglass is gone. Tables are back at full capacity, but, luckily, high limit salons aren't exactly full.

Masks still mandatory.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 4th, 2021 at 9:28:14 PM permalink
Day 40 play

Lost the first marker, pulled a second larger one. It was pretty smooth sailing from there, all the way up to +5100 where I stopped. I played alone.

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 5th, 2021 at 1:36:04 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Let the record show MDawg has privately allowed me to view casino check(s) issued in the amount of approximately $131,000. with dates on the check(s) being the months of March and April 2021. A total of approximately $85,000. of the check(s) were marked on the instrument(s) as either "pit winnings" or "verified win."


The entire $131K represents winnings. Just, some casinos go to the trouble or marking their checks as winnings, some do not.

As an exclusively credit line player, any check issued to me represents a verified win.

I haven't converted all winning chips to check or cash yet, obviously. The trip is in progress.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 5th, 2021 at 1:41:20 AM permalink
I'm willing to present a side Challenge. If anyone doubts that any one, just any one of the Session reports I present during this trip is not entirely accurate, throw down a red flag! Put up a mere ten grand in cash, let's work out how to verify the Session to your satisfaction using the Wizard as the judge, and winner takes the twenty thousand.

I'll contribute five hundred from my end for the Wizard's time if the Challenger will do the same, so that's a net $19,000. to the winner of this side Challenge.

This Side Challenge remains good for the duration of this particular Vegas trip.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 5th, 2021 at 9:25:50 AM permalink
One by one the Strip casinos are all removing the plexiglass barriers, and returning to 100% capacity. Masks still mandatory. You'll want to confine your play to the higher limit tables to avoid people!
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 5th, 2021 at 9:27:39 AM permalink
When sources like this report it as well, must assume that it is true.

Palms in Las Vegas sold to California tribe for $650M

Luckily, I kept my six figure line there open, so it should be ready to go when Palms reopens in 2022. (When Palms closed they gave me the option of moving the line to another Station Casino or leaving it intact, and I chose to leave it as is.)
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 5th, 2021 at 10:18:32 PM permalink
Day 41 play

Interesting session. Played most of it with this other player who bet anywhere from 2000 - 20000, with most of his bets being 3000. As a result, I was not usually the high bettor (once I bet 7000, another time 5000) so this player had the option to open the cards pretty much at all times, although was willing to let me open too. Pretty easy going player.

This player did a couple of table max bets and luckily won them both. I believe this player was up pushing eighty grand at one point, but just kept playing.

I blew my first marker then pulled a bigger one, and eventually got to +1000 and quit. I just couldn't do my thing effectively with someone else at the table constantly handling the cards.

Before I left, two more players arrived who were doing some kind of Martingale on the Bank. They bet against me on a Player run and lost everything, then came up with another twenty grand and were doing all right with that, until I took a bathroom break, came back, and they had lost everything again to the point where they were scrounging paper money between them to pay off the commission.

When I quit at the +1000 point the other player, the one who had been at the table since the beginning with me, had given back about half of what was ahead, so was in the neighborhood of about forty grand ahead, but was still playing - hard - at least five thousand a hand.

There was an interesting blondie at a nearby table smoking a cigar. I asked her if she was from New York.

"No."

"I'm just trying to put it together, with the cigar, and everything."

"I'm a local."

"Vegas?"

"Yes, does that make sense now?" she smiled broadly.

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.



I'm willing to present a side Challenge. If anyone doubts that any one, just any one of the Session reports I present during this trip is not entirely accurate, throw down a red flag! Put up a mere ten grand in cash, let's work out how to verify the Session to your satisfaction using the Wizard as the judge, and winner takes the twenty thousand.

I'll contribute five hundred from my end for the Wizard's time if the Challenger will do the same, so that's a net $19,000. to the winner of this side Challenge.

This Side Challenge remains good for the duration of this particular Vegas trip.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
SOOPOO
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May 6th, 2021 at 5:18:06 AM permalink
41 days! Even in a luxurious suite with wifey in tow I don’t think I’d want to be in a hotel in Vegas for that long! Most of your trip reports have of course focused on the hour or two of gambling each day. Hike in Red Rock? Grand Canyon helicopter trip? Hoover Dam? Golf? Shows? Pool cabana?

I of course always had a job to return to so it was never feasible to be in Vegas for more than 9 days, but just don’t think I’d have wanted to.
MDawg
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May 6th, 2021 at 6:53:21 AM permalink
One of the first posts I made at this forum, a few years ago, I mentioned that - when I go to Vegas, I don't want to leave. This is for a variety of reasons, but mostly because I win consistently, everything is comp'ed and...I like it! It's like the Ultimate Challenge, me against the casinos. I get off on that.

Now, my wife, that's another story. It's not that she dislikes the lifestyle, and she takes advantage of the spa and salon, but over all...this is not her thing in that she doesn't play or even enter the casino at all. But, we get along perfectly including even in a somewhat small environment (even a couple thousand square feet is not exactly spacious compared to home).

The food is excellent though, and it's a pretty pampered lifestyle. Just have to be sure to eat a lot of salads and keep active, including hit the gym at least every other day.

Most of what I do I am able to do remotely, and I have two assistants at home who help with anything that needs to be done that I cannot handle virtually. Without getting into details, obviously the situation is such that I am able to be away for long periods with impunity.

You could do it too SooPoo. Aren't you retired? But...again...the winning is what is key. Without that, there is no point to being in Vegas.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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May 6th, 2021 at 7:04:26 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

One of the first posts I made at this forum, a few years ago, I mentioned that - when I go to Vegas, I don't want to leave. This is for a variety of reasons, but mostly because I win consistently, everything is comp'ed and...I like it! It's like the Ultimate Challenge, me against the casinos. I get off on that.

Now, my wife, that's another story. It's not that she dislikes the lifestyle, and she takes advantage of the spa and salon, but over all...this is not her thing in that she doesn't play or even enter the casino at all. But, we get along perfectly including even in a somewhat small environment (even a couple thousand square feet is not exactly spacious compared to home).

The food is excellent though, and it's a pretty pampered lifestyle. Just have to be sure to eat a lot of salads and keep active, including hit the gym at least every other day.

Most of what I do I am able to do remotely, and I have two assistants at home who help with anything that needs to be done that I cannot handle virtually. Without getting into details, obviously the situation is such that I am able to be away for long periods with impunity.

You could do it too SooPoo. Aren't you retired? But...again...the winning is what is key. Without that, there is no point to being in Vegas.



Alright now, winning 44 straight days comped I find reasonable.

Spending 44 days with your wife in the same room and she has nothing to do and she hasn't carved you a new smile or punched you in the gut yet is total fiction
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
MDawg
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May 6th, 2021 at 7:13:06 AM permalink
Well, I haven't heard the "I'm tired of Vegas." line yet, but I have heard, "I'm here for you." "This is your thing." and "I'd rather be in ______."

Over all though, All is well!

and I don't mean...like this:

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 6th, 2021 at 3:59:53 PM permalink
Day 42 play

I ended up about two thousand ahead on the first shoe, from the first marker. Didn't really hold, I gradually went downhill until I had to pull another marker and was actually -14K at one point. I put the entire 14K on Player and drew a 4, with Bank 5, which is a very unenviable position. I then declared that "I need a 2," and sure enough, BAM! SLAM! on the table, there it was. A 2.

No commission!

From there I wobbled up and down slightly until, by the end of the fourth shoe, I was up +4500 and stopped.

The player from a prior session arrived around the third shoe, and we won together for that entire shoe, but after I stopped and I was still hanging around in the high limit pit, I noticed that the player dumped everything. Not good. Actually, this player confirmed that the prior time we had played together the player had also dumped everything once I had stopped and left for the day.

"I usually lose much faster than when I play with you, so, that means you're pretty good at this."

Ouch. Losing slower equaling a good thing?

Anyway, +4500 for me.

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.



I'm willing to present a side Challenge. If anyone doubts that any one, just any one of the Session reports I present during this trip is not entirely accurate, throw down a red flag! Put up a mere ten grand in cash, let's work out how to verify the Session to your satisfaction using the Wizard as the judge, and winner takes the twenty thousand.

I'll contribute five hundred from my end for the Wizard's time if the Challenger will do the same, so that's a net $19,000. to the winner of this side Challenge.

This Side Challenge remains good for the duration of this particular Vegas trip.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 7th, 2021 at 6:00:50 AM permalink
During that Day 42 session pulling that 2 to win the Player $14K bet when I had a 4 versus Bank 5 was quite a pull, but for reasons that may not be discussed, I knew Player was heavily favored on that hand.

Afterwards one of the dealers commented, "You play almost every hand in the shoe, and you win consistently. This is really something amazing."
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 7th, 2021 at 6:27:18 AM permalink
When I was going into town earlier this week, an SUV pulled up and six skinny Instagram looking models piled out with this young long haired hippie kid I believe I recognized as a YouTube promoter. I woulda snapped a pic, but that's just not cool to take pictures of people, especially girls, without permission.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 7th, 2021 at 7:08:34 AM permalink
We watched LAY THE FAVORITE last night, had been avoiding it because it isn't so highly rated, but it is actually NOT BAD and worth watching...especially while in Vegas.

True story.
Lay the Favorite: A Story About Gamblers Paperback – November 20, 2012

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
darkoz
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May 7th, 2021 at 8:01:16 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

We watched LAY THE FAVORITE last night, had been avoiding it because it isn't so highly rated, but it is actually NOT BAD and worth watching...especially while in Vegas.

True story.
Lay the Favorite: A Story About Gamblers Paperback – November 20, 2012



Yes you should definitely read the book as well.

There are some divergent aspects to the book.

The ending is different. I won't give it away but it isn't the type of ending Hollywood would want imo
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
audionut
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May 7th, 2021 at 2:50:05 PM permalink
Mdawg I just wanted to give you a pat on the back. You seem to be the real deal. Appreciate the courage and savvy your using both at the casinos and here on this board!!

Kudos!
mwalz9
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May 7th, 2021 at 3:07:32 PM permalink
Quote: audionut

Mdawg I just wanted to give you a pat on the back. You seem to be the real deal. Appreciate the courage and savvy your using both at the casinos and here on this board!!

Kudos!



3 threads. 12 posts. Here to pat MDawg on the back.

Is this real life?
audionut
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May 7th, 2021 at 7:59:03 PM permalink
Quote: mwalz9

3 threads. 12 posts. Here to pat MDawg on the back.

Is this real life?



Wow...with 28 threads and 256 posts I can see you are WAAY superior. Is THIS real life? Somebody actually thinks the measure of their gambling knowledge and skill is how many posts they have on this board?? REALLY??? bwhahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

Was wondering how long before the negative comments would begin. Sure didn't take long.

Now the word police will step in, because surely someone with so FEW posts had the audacity to express an opinion, especially an opinion that would offend those that have far more posts, like 256. Oh the humanity.

This makes post 13. Maybe I've stepped up in the world, since this is how I measure my self worth. I'm now truly better then a newbie with just 4 posts. And that newbie better not say ONE THING that I disagree with.

Next I'll stamp my feet.
Last edited by: audionut on May 7, 2021
Wellbush
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May 8th, 2021 at 2:18:05 AM permalink
Quote: TomG

That is what MDawg does and it is why his strategy would be worth over eight to nine figures per year to anyone who wanted to maximize the profits from that type of betting. But that actually does very little to truly explain why MDawg (and the small minority) do win. We would need to establish how he can identify when to put more money on certain bets, and when to bet less. How does he know when the probability of certain bets has changed? It has been clear for a few years now that he will never answer that, which is why his adventure stories are repetitive and offer so little value to the reader. The stories have even served to take away value from the entire forum. They often make me think of five-year-olds watching Power Rangers. They like it because it is nearly the same exact story, with the same exact action every single time. It is only because of this type of side commentary that there is anything worthwhile.


Personally, anyone defying gravity by constantly beating the casinos, is very interesting to me, and it seems that way for a lot of posters here, too. Keep posting these 'history in the making' posts, MD.

Here's another one: apparently the mathematically endowed here and elsewhere, say that everything about gambling is explained by math. And that math says you can't win at gambling in the long-term.

But those same intelligent ones cannot explain the long-term winners, like MD and others. Just sayin' 🤷‍♂️

"Is he a phoney?" "No!"

"Is he a trickster?" "No!"

"HE'S A SUPER-GAMBLER!!!!"

In Physics they know they can't explain everything. Likewise in Health. Don't suggest this to mathematicians about gambling, though! You do that, you're seriously crossing the white line!
Last edited by: Wellbush on May 8, 2021
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
SOOPOO
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May 8th, 2021 at 3:38:21 AM permalink
Quote: Wellbush

And that math says you can't win at gambling in the long-term.



You don’t know a single thing about what this site is all about! This site lists dozens of examples how ‘the math’ shows how to win at gambling long term. BJ card counting. +EV video poker. Free play. Hole carding. Edge sorting. 1/2 point parlay cards. Arbitrage situations. Loss rebates. Bonus opportunities. Comp
Point multiplier days. Weak dealers. Slot/VP vulturing opportunities.

There have been members who knew as little as you who came with an open mind and chose to learn some or all of the above, and now do become long term winners. Some even make a living doing so. As the simplest example.... I now when I go to the casino start by scouring some slot/VP machines and on average win around $30-40 doing so. It is NOT difficult. By happenstance, I’m way ahead of that $30-40 figure because I got lucky on one of my trips and hit a multiplier royal flush. But ‘the math’ tells me what my average will be over the long term. I think you would benefit from an extra $30-40 a day if a casino is nearby?
Wellbush
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May 8th, 2021 at 5:02:17 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

You don’t know a single thing about what this site is all about! This site lists dozens of examples how ‘the math’ shows how to win at gambling long term. BJ card counting. +EV video poker. Free play. Hole carding. Edge sorting. 1/2 point parlay cards. Arbitrage situations. Loss rebates. Bonus opportunities. Comp
Point multiplier days. Weak dealers. Slot/VP vulturing opportunities.

There have been members who knew as little as you who came with an open mind and chose to learn some or all of the above, and now do become long term winners. Some even make a living doing so. As the simplest example.... I now when I go to the casino start by scouring some slot/VP machines and on average win around $30-40 doing so. It is NOT difficult. By happenstance, I’m way ahead of that $30-40 figure because I got lucky on one of my trips and hit a multiplier royal flush. But ‘the math’ tells me what my average will be over the long term. I think you would benefit from an extra $30-40 a day if a casino is nearby?



Thanks SP. I think I do know what this site is all about! It's been rammed down my throat by many! I'm obviously referring to long-term winners that don't just win via the methods you mentioned above. I am fully aware of those kind of methods.

It doesn't seem to me that MD is winning via those kind of methods, SP. And, from what I've heard, there are a small minority of others beating the casinos similarly. I.e. with legitimate methods other than those you mentioned above.
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
SOOPOO
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May 8th, 2021 at 5:56:36 AM permalink
Quote: Wellbush

Thanks SP. I think I do know what this site is all about! It's been rammed down my throat by many! I'm obviously referring to long-term winners that don't just win via the methods you mentioned above. I am fully aware of those kind of methods.

It doesn't seem to me that MD is winning via those kind of methods, SP. And, from what I've heard, there are a small minority of others beating the casinos similarly. I.e. with legitimate methods other than those you mentioned above.



I am not saying my list was ALL the ways the math will allow for a positive expectation. I am SURE there are others I haven’t learned or even thought of. DarkOz gave a great example. I have witnessed Axel do something that I never would have thought of but is actually quite simple. Perhaps MDawg is aware of something that turns the game positive that I have never thought of. Until edge sorting made the news I never conceived of it. In a recent post the Dawg mentioned he had a reason to know Player was the next result. Did he tip the dealer to show him the next card and it was a 9? Is there some way he knew the exact sequence of the next 4 cards? If so, then the Dawg was USING the math to win. Just he is not sharing the details with us, as it might result in him not being allowed to do it again!
sabre
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May 8th, 2021 at 6:04:02 AM permalink
Quote: Wellbush

Thanks SP. I think I do know what this site is all about! It's been rammed down my throat by many!



My guess is your school teachers also tried to "ram things down your throat".

Patient and trusting individuals have tried to teach you. You refuse to learn.
Wellbush
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May 8th, 2021 at 6:38:16 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I am not saying my list was ALL the ways the math will allow for a positive expectation. I am SURE there are others I haven’t learned or even thought of. DarkOz gave a great example. I have witnessed Axel do something that I never would have thought of but is actually quite simple. Perhaps MDawg is aware of something that turns the game positive that I have never thought of. Until edge sorting made the news I never conceived of it. In a recent post the Dawg mentioned he had a reason to know Player was the next result. Did he tip the dealer to show him the next card and it was a 9? Is there some way he knew the exact sequence of the next 4 cards? If so, then the Dawg was USING the math to win. Just he is not sharing the details with us, as it might result in him not being allowed to do it again!



Interesting. I don't think I would be bothered with all these sneaky plays. Seems like a tough grind. The Dawg seems not to use trickster methods but a legitimate way of knowing ebb and flow, combined with bet-size variation. That's the kind of play I'm interested in.

Look, here's Sarbe! He can't resist sticking the boots in. I wonder if he has a job? 😃

Ah! That's his job. Sticking the boots in! 😁
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 7:21:35 AM permalink
Quote: Wellbush

Interesting. I don't think I would be bothered with all these sneaky plays. Seems like a tough grind. The Dawg seems not to use trickster methods but a legitimate way of knowing ebb and flow, combined with bet-size variation. That's the kind of play I'm interested in.

Look, here's Sarbe! He can't resist sticking the boots in. I wonder if he has a job? 😃

Ah! That's his job. Sticking the boots in! 😁



There's no "ebb and flow, combined with bet-size variation" that works long-term.

It's mathematically impossible.

I don't care what you say.

You can only do it by lying, cheating, or using some sort of advantage play.

You don't luckily guess streaks and overcome them by a "betting system".

Sorry!
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 8:58:10 AM permalink
Day 43 play

This was a monster session. A monster losing session. I pulled marker after marker and couldn't win, at least not consistently. Something was shifted, worse, I wasn't aware that it was shifted until it was too late. Wasn't anything intentional on the part of the casino, just the way things were done during this session.

I actually had one shuffle where things were as usual and I was winning, then the next one was again not right, and everything went down again.

Anyway, that's -68K down the drain!

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.



I'm willing to present a side Challenge. If anyone doubts that any one, just any one of the Session reports I present during this trip is not entirely accurate, throw down a red flag! Put up a mere ten grand in cash, let's work out how to verify the Session to your satisfaction using the Wizard as the judge, and winner takes the twenty thousand.

I'll contribute five hundred from my end for the Wizard's time if the Challenger will do the same, so that's a net $19,000. to the winner of this side Challenge.

This Side Challenge remains good for the duration of this particular Vegas trip.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:06:39 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Day 43 play

This was a monster session. A monster losing session. I pulled marker after marker and couldn't win, at least not consistently. Something was shifted, worse, I wasn't aware that it was shifted until it was too late. Wasn't anything intentional on the part of the casino, just the way things were done during this session.

I actually had one shuffle where things were as usual and I was winning, then the next one was again not right, and everything went down again.

Anyway, that's -68K down the drain!

Note: Lately, for security reasons, session reports are not necessarily presented in real time corresponding directly to the day played.



I'm willing to present a side Challenge. If anyone doubts that any one, just any one of the Session reports I present during this trip is not entirely accurate, throw down a red flag! Put up a mere ten grand in cash, let's work out how to verify the Session to your satisfaction using the Wizard as the judge, and winner takes the twenty thousand.

I'll contribute five hundred from my end for the Wizard's time if the Challenger will do the same, so that's a net $19,000. to the winner of this side Challenge.

This Side Challenge remains good for the duration of this particular Vegas trip.



Best post I've seen in this thread in a long time.

I tell ya what wasn't right. The laws of math. It's called house edge. Play long enough and it happens!
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:44:09 AM permalink
House edge had little to do with it. One of the other players I know whom I ran into the day of this particular session said that he dumped $200,000. the night before. The house edge is miniscule and doesn't explain huge wins or losses in one session.

You could win or lose vast sums in one coin toss session, with no house edge, depending on how you varied your bet. If you bet ten bucks on eight coin tosses then decide to bet a million on the ninth, whether you wind up ahead or down has nothing to do with the lack of house edge, to give an extreme example, that isn't that far away from the action you see all the time at the Baccarat tables. Most of these people are not flat betting and go all in all the time, not based on any kind of Martingale or betting system either.

Anyway, I remained far head even after that particular session Day 43 play.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:52:22 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

House edge had little to do with it. One of the other players I know whom I ran into the day of this particular session said that he dumped $200,000. the night before. The house edge is miniscule and doesn't explain huge wins or losses in one session.

You could win or lose vast sums in one coin toss session, with no house edge, depending on how you varied your bet. If you bet ten bucks on eight coin tosses then decide to bet a million on the ninth, whether you wind up ahead or down has nothing to do with the lack of house edge, to give an extreme example, that isn't that far away from the action you see all the time at the Baccarat tables.

Anyway, I remained far head even after that particular session Day 43 play.



I'm not sure you understand how "house edge" works.
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:55:06 AM permalink
You know nothing about what I am doing. Or why I am winning. Or why I didn't win that particular session. Leave it at that.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:56:50 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Something was shifted, worse, I wasn't aware that it was shifted until it was too late. Wasn't anything intentional on the part of the casino, just the way things were done during this session.

Somewhat enigmatic.
Still, in spite of you losing (bad luck, by the way) At least you know it was nothing to do with your secret skill going wrong. Onwards and upwards
I wonder what took you so long and so much bankroll to notice. I mean if it was a missing reflective cufflink of the dealer, or a lack of smudged back to the cards, I'd imagine you'd walk very quickly.

So I reckon it was more a case of the cards coming out 'More random' than you are used to.

C'mon MDawg..... I'm itching to be convinced that you have some actual foresight. So far, I'm not getting that vibe.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:58:16 AM permalink
C'mon OD. Not like I am going to say in public.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 9:59:11 AM permalink
Anyway all the markers from Day 43 session were already paid off. With their money.

After all, I am paying you with your money.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:01:24 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

C'mon OD. Not like I am going to say in public.

So.... Why do you seem to think the casino are NOT onto your little secret?
You make it sound like you were stymied by random procedural change. But maybe the game is up?
Heck, maybe you are about to get 86'd for beating Baccarat. That would be a badge of honour :o)
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:05:44 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

You know nothing about what I am doing. Or why I am winning. Or why I didn't win that particular session. Leave it at that.



I do know this...

Unless you are cheating or lying, you were a victim to the house edge.

I don't care how rich you are, what you think you know, how good you are at guessing what cards are next, what streaks you think are happening or not happening, you play long enough, you WILL fall victim to the math!

Sure some days you will win big. Some days you will lose big. Some days you will win small. Some days you will lose small. Some days you will break even.

Play long enough, you'll see you are down approx. the house edge.

Leave it at that!
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:06:05 AM permalink
OnceDear (I'm done talking to this Walz character):
Well, during that session, the dealer kept saying "Today is not your day" but I am sure was just saying that in general. I don't think dealer knew anything. I don't think the gig is up. I think just they changed their procedures slightly, and it's just one casino, and maybe it was just on that one table or shift. I am upset that I played so long before realizing what was going on, but, otherwise, it was just another day. An upsetting day for sure.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:09:45 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

OnceDear (I'm done talking to this Walz character):
Well, during that session, the dealer kept saying "Today is not your day" but I am sure was just saying that in general. I don't think the gig is up. I think just they changed their procedures slightly, and it's just one casino, and maybe it was just on that one table or shift. I am upset that I played so long before realizing what was going on, but, otherwise, it was just another day. An upsetting day for sure.



Hard to argue against the truth, huh?

The math is ALWAYS the truth.

Math is everywhere. Math is always right. It's never wrong!

You have to be way too smart and logically thinking to not see what I'm saying. No way you are as successful as you say you are in life if you aren't a smart logical thinker.

Again, unless you are cheating or using an AP play...the math doesn't lie!
OnceDear
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:11:15 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

OnceDear (I'm done talking to this Walz character):
Well, during that session, the dealer kept saying "Today is not your day" but I am sure was just saying that in general. I don't think he knew anything. I don't think the gig is up. I think just they changed their procedures slightly, and it's just one casino, and maybe it was just on that one table or shift. I am upset that I played so long before realizing what was going on, but, otherwise, it was just another day. An upsetting day for sure.

Damn!. All this time you've been playing tables where they don't shuffle the cards... But this time they accidentally or incidentally did $:o)
Pre-shuffled cards from a source with a wicked sense of mischief. Now that would make a great article.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:13:47 AM permalink
I also don't understand why a millionaire high rolling gambler feels the need to feed his ego and brag on a math forum to a bunch of people who do math for fun and a living trying to convince them he has the math beat.

I'm just a red/green chip gambler who plays low house edge games for fun knowing the house edge is my cost of "entertainment expense". I'm a finance director for a multi rooftop organization. I made a 36 on the math portion of my ACTs 20+ years ago.

What do I know?
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:13:49 AM permalink
OD: Put it this way. It's not that I know everything throughout the shoe. It's just that, I know something less than everything and something more than nothing on certain hands, due to certain things. And I didn't realize that they had altered _____ to make my advantage go exactly in the other direction, until too late. It's comical when you think about it. I was actually betting big into a reverse player advantage on the hands that counted. That might be going too far: Or, at best, I was blind, with no advantage on the hands that counted.

Maybe I made too big of a deal about the huge hands from the sessions where I "knew" what card was coming and even declared it before it came. Not like I was running around telling every dealer and pit boss who would listen about those sorts of things, but I did crow about it a little.

I dunno, maybe I need to think about this more. I am going with the theory that it was inadvertent on their part. If it was calculated, that would be a huge problem.

I think I've already discussed this too much. Out.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
OnceDear
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May 8th, 2021 at 10:42:07 AM permalink
Quote: MDawg

OD: Put it this way. It's not that I know everything throughout the shoe. It's just that, I know something less than everything and something more than nothing on certain hands, due to certain things. And I didn't realize that they had altered _____ to make my advantage go exactly in the other direction, until too late. It's comical when you think about it. I was actually betting big into a reverse player advantage on the hands that counted. That might be going too far: Or, at best, I was blind, with no advantage on the hands that counted.

Maybe I made too big of a deal about the huge hands from the sessions where I "knew" what card was coming and even declared it before it came. Not like I was running around telling every dealer and pit boss who would listen about those sorts of things, but I did crow about it a little.

I dunno, maybe I need to think about this more. I am going with the theory that it was inadvertent on their part. If it was calculated, that would be a huge problem.

I think I've already discussed this too much. Out.

You strongly imply a procedural flaw where you get pre-knowledge of some cards, either by some sort of hole carding, or prearranged 'random' decks. Surely you don't actually cheat. However, if you did have this sort of edge, you've hardly been subtle in exploiting it.

I'm going to continue to believe you didn't really have that edge.
If you get a trip in handcuffs (wrongful arrest?) , I do hope you'll post about it.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
darkoz
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May 8th, 2021 at 11:06:27 AM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

You strongly imply a procedural flaw where you get pre-knowledge of some cards, either by some sort of hole carding, or prearranged 'random' decks. Surely you don't actually cheat. However, if you did have this sort of edge, you've hardly been subtle in exploiting it.

I'm going to continue to believe you didn't really have that edge.
If you get a trip in handcuffs (wrongful arrest?) , I do hope you'll post about it.



Everything he has said above points to a shuffle situation.

Shuffle tracking clumps.

Pre-shuffled decks is a possibility but seems a casino would figure that one out faster

Weak dealer shuffling such that shoes wind up with repeat sequencing or close to it seems a likely possibility and one that might easily escape MDawg if they had switched up
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
SOOPOO
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May 8th, 2021 at 12:43:31 PM permalink
Quote: Wellbush



Look, here's Sarbe! He can't resist sticking the boots in. I wonder if he has a job? 😃

Ah! That's his job. Sticking the boots in! 😁



This is what is defined as a personal insult. But from someone who has ADMITTED he has no job and can’t come up with $2k to use a fool proof gambling system it is an unusual choice of insult!

We shall see if you are able to add anything worthwhile to the forum after your next suspension.
OnceDear
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May 8th, 2021 at 12:48:10 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Everything he has said above points to a shuffle situation.

Shuffle tracking clumps.

Pre-shuffled decks is a possibility but seems a casino would figure that one out faster

Weak dealer shuffling such that shoes wind up with repeat sequencing or close to it seems a likely possibility and one that might easily escape MDawg if they had switched up

Taking everything he says with a very big pinch of salt, or maybe it's sensible misdirection, it does rather sound like that. He has strenuously denied dealer collusion, or anything illegal. Correct me if I'm wrong but shuffle tracking and even getting a quick peek at the cards is not illegal unless there's 'equipment' or collusion involved.

Should it be fairly easy for a vegas resident: Maybe the Wizard, or another, to find the answer to the simple questions... After figuring which casinos, are the cards pre-shuffled from the box, hand shuffled in view, or machine shuffled?

If, and it's a big IF he is truly winning as much and as often as he says, then I suggest that he really should have resisted the urge to brag, here, there and everywhere. He might also have been a lot less greedy.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
coachbelly
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May 8th, 2021 at 1:04:52 PM permalink
Quote: darkoz

Weak dealer shuffling such that shoes wind up
with repeat sequencing or close to it seems a likely possibility
and one that might easily escape MDawg if they had switched up



My understanding that if the players touch the cards,
then those cards are used only once,
they are not re-shuffled and put back into play.

If you have seen baccarat played with players touching the cards,
then the reason is obvious...the players bend and sometimes even
mangle the cards.
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 1:40:17 PM permalink
Quote: heatmap

This is not me but ... well the best gambling videos ive seen to this date

they have money and are willing to lose it - and play it all and play it big



1) That video actually made me feel a lot better. I'm still UP.

2) Maybe this guy's thing as far as Baccarat was betting on Player only. Every bet I saw he was chunking it out on Player, and LOSING.

3) Perhaps the real point of the video is to somehow recoup what he lost via YouTube revenues.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
MDawg
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May 8th, 2021 at 1:46:40 PM permalink
Quote: heatmap

This is not me but ... well the best gambling videos ive seen to this date


People like to see videos about losing? I dump -68K one session and ZOOM! The Adv of MDawg pop to the #1 spot again?

Why? Why, why, God?

I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
mwalz9
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May 8th, 2021 at 1:55:10 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

People like to see videos about losing? I dump -68K one session and ZOOM! The Adv of MDawg pop to the #1 spot again?

Why? Why, why, God?



It's called "tall poppy syndrome", an example of Schadenfreude.

Nothing to be proud of.
darkoz
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May 8th, 2021 at 2:00:48 PM permalink
Quote: coachbelly

My understanding that if the players touch the cards,
then those cards are used only once,
they are not re-shuffled and put back into play.

If you have seen baccarat played with players touching the cards,
then the reason is obvious...the players bend and sometimes even
mangle the cards.



Why do you believe MDawg touches the cards?

Simply being a high roller does not mean you automatically touch the cards.

Case in point:. Phil Ivey entire play was to go through a deck, rotate cards, then have the exact same deck used. He was betting much higher than MDawg.

So your theory to protect MDawg holds zero weight
For Whom the bus tolls; The bus tolls for thee
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