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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
  • Threads: 103
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Thanks for this post from:
AxelWolf
September 16th, 2019 at 4:40:29 PM permalink
I now fully understand what you are doing. It is a classic chase your losses system. You likely have a 30-40% chance of success, if we consider success doubling your initial bankroll. If there were 3 different posters doing the same thing, just picking different games, the most likely outcome is two will fail and one will succeed. It would be silly to say the one success proves anything about their "system". I would hope you are smart enough to know REGARDLESS of your results, your system is a failure, if we measure success and failure by what it's next application's likely result will be.

Of course, please feel free to continue to openly post your picks. But understand that the rational math based members know there is nothing about your system that makes it worth anything.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 133
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September 16th, 2019 at 5:10:20 PM permalink
I don't have the willingness to engage with a guy/gal betting $0.33 or whatever.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 137
September 16th, 2019 at 7:28:30 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

If there were 3 different posters doing the same thing, just picking different games, the most likely outcome is two will fail and one will succeed. It would be silly to say the one success proves anything about their "system".



Okay, so you say I have roughly a 1/3rd chance of doubling my bankroll. What happens if I do it three times? Am I just lucky hitting a 1/27 chance?
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 137
September 16th, 2019 at 7:31:14 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I don't have the willingness to engage with a guy/gal betting $0.33 or whatever.



I am betting $0.33 to test my system. I can scale to 3.30 or $33 or $330 or $660. The whole point is to verify it works.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 133
  • Posts: 17246
September 16th, 2019 at 7:52:36 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

I am betting $0.33 to test my system. I can scale to 3.30 or $33 or $330 or $660. The whole point is to verify it works.

Feel free to wake me when you scale it up, because undoubtedly that's when it will fail big time.

If I recall correctly, we just had some TouTubin sure thing sports system touter go down in flames with one of these Martingale type systems. I'm sure somebody can find in post up the links for you. Of course, YOU you and YOUR system is smarter and better than everyone else's since the conception of sports betting.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
es330td
es330td
Joined: Mar 19, 2019
  • Threads: 2
  • Posts: 137
September 16th, 2019 at 8:21:52 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Feel free to wake me when you scale it up, because undoubtedly that's when it will fail big time.



I will post every pick whether anybody reads or not.
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 133
  • Posts: 17246
September 16th, 2019 at 8:25:47 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

I will post every pick whether anybody reads or not.

that's what they all say 🥱
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
7craps
7craps
Joined: Jan 23, 2010
  • Threads: 18
  • Posts: 1932
September 16th, 2019 at 10:46:51 PM permalink
Quote: es330td

Sport: MLB
Game: KC @ Oakland 9/16/19
Pick: As - 277
Wager: $0.67

A's suck! they broke an 8 team parlay home team wins
datetypegameteam 2 winbet #$ wagertotal wageredoddsresultnettotal
9/6/2019MLBSF @ LADDodgers-26010.840.84-260Loss-0.84-0.84
9/7/2019MLBDetroit @ OaklandOakland-28222.823.66-282Win10.16
9/8/2019MLBDetroit @ OaklandOakland-28630.464.12-286Win0.160.32
9/9/2019NFLHouston @ New OrleansNO-28940.965.08-289Win0.340.66
9/12/2019MLBOakland @ HoustonHouston - 25950.895.97-259Loss-0.89-0.23
9/15/2019MLBPirates @ CubsCubs-25462.098.06-254Win0.820.59
9/16/2019MLBKC @ OaklandAs - 27770.678.73-277Loss-0.67-0.08
winsome johnny (not Win some johnny)
kubikulann
kubikulann
Joined: Jun 28, 2011
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 905
September 17th, 2019 at 2:03:36 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

I don't have the willingness to engage with a guy/gal betting $0.33 or whatever.

And yet you do.
Does it mean that you cannot avail yourself to follow your willingness?
Reperiet qui quaesiverit
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
  • Threads: 133
  • Posts: 17246
September 17th, 2019 at 2:20:56 AM permalink
Quote: kubikulann

And yet you do.
Does it mean that you cannot avail yourself to follow your willingness?

It means I change my mind and made a temporary exception and I reserve the right to do so in the future since either way it's not a big deal. I also don't have the willingness to do crack. I'll stick to my willingness when it comes to the things that really count.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪

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