Betting $5 8 times, then $10 8 times, then $20 8 times then $40 8 times = $600 bank roll
However, each win will win you from $5 to $40 helping to close the gap of losses on a losing streak. I have had two ties in a row, that's a $80 win.
Since a tie occurs about 9% or close to 1 in 11 hands, to lose $600 would be 32 hands in a row without a tie.
I have been practicing and never hit the 32 hands, though I have been in the $40 betting area but never busted starting out with a $600 bank.
If you have plenty of time, you can extend this to watch for no tie for 8 hands, then start betting, and the amount of hands needing to come in without a tie would now be 40. You will reduce the amount of times you win, but will decrease your chances of a losing streak.
I am sure the game has had 40 hands go without a tie. The luck on your part is that you are not betting when that occurs, and I would guess it doesn't occur that often.
"I would guess it doesn't occur that often" reminds me of the joke about the girl who was selling $500 glasses of lemonade. When told she wouldn't get many customers at that price, she replied, "True, but it only needs to happen once."
Quote: DRichI have found that if you bet the "Tie" after either a Banker win or a Player win it will hit 9.5% of the time. My system is free and only requires you to find a table that pays 11 to 1 for the Tie and you will get rich.
Also every time a new dealer comes in bet the tie.
Quote: DMSCRWhat happened to stay hydrated?
It goes without saying. Drink out of 8oz bottles for good luck.
Either there is a vast community out there so that naturally we pick a few up, or there are trolls who are competing to see who can pull off sincerity the best and keep everybody going, winning/losing bets in the process maybe.
Seems like it has to be one or the other.
Quote: AxelWolfI'm the best baccarat player in the world.
And Madonna is a virgin and Michael Phelps doesn't know how to swim.
Reality is a subjective entity, especially in the Bac World....Quote: HittemThis can't be real.....
So, I recalculated it so that I can have a winner in every Tie hand I could bet up to 40 times and still be under a $500 bet, with a $4000 bank roll. Not sure what the table max bet is on that bet. Has anyone ever seen it go that many times without a tie?
In my dozen shoes, the most I had it go was 34 times. and each shoe had 8-12 ties.
Most of the Ties happened 9 or more hands after the last tie, so if one would wait for 8 hands before betting, you could go 48 hands. obviously a big risk, but if the likelihood of it going 48 times is very rare (cant say non-existent because in theory it is) it could be worth a try.
Go ahead and play it on any simulator and see if you can have it go 40+ times without a TIE. Let me know your findings, keep track of the longest run you encounter.
Quote: jjcroccoSo, I recalculated it so that I can have a winner in every Tie hand I could bet up to 40 times and still be under a $500 bet, with a $4000 bank roll. Not sure what the table max bet is on that bet. Has anyone ever seen it go that many times without a tie?
Question: what is your betting increment strategy that lets you stay under a $500 bet even on your 40th bet, yet makes a profit since the last tie (or since when you started) when you do get a tie?
Also, "Has anyone ever seen it go that many times without a tie?" reminds me of my 100% Sure Fire Guaranteed Can't Miss Never Fails strategy:
1. Determine the number of consecutive results that "never" happens
2. Wait until that result happens that many times minus 1 (e.g. if "there are never 48 hands in a row without a tie," wait until there are 47)
3. Bet against the result
4. Profit!
If you lose that bet, don't blame me; you're the one that claimed that it "never" happens that many times in a row.
# bet total bets wins profit
1 5 5 40 35
2 5 10 40 30
3 5 15 40 25
4 5 20 40 20
5 5 25 40 15
6 5 30 40 10
7 5 35 40 5
8 6 41 48 7
9 6 47 48 1
10 7 54 56 2
11 8 62 64 2
12 9 71 72 1
13 11 82 88 6
14 12 94 96 2
15 14 108 112 4
16 16 124 128 4
17 18 142 144 2
18 21 163 168 5
19 24 187 192 5
20 27 214 216 2
21 31 245 248 3
22 35 280 280 0
23 40 320 320 0
24 46 366 368 2
25 53 419 424 5
26 60 479 480 1
27 69 548 552 4
28 79 627 632 5
29 90 717 720 3
30 103 820 824 4
31 118 938 944 6
32 135 1073 1080 7
33 154 1227 1232 5
34 176 1403 1408 5
35 201 1604 1608 4
36 230 1834 1840 6
37 263 2097 2104 7
38 300 2397 2400 3
39 343 2740 2744 4
40 392 3132 3136 4
Soo, has anyone ever seen it go that many times?
Here is one that achieves the result without losing so much money (click on the box):
Hand | Losses | Bet | Win | Profit |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 40 |
2 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 35 |
3 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 30 |
4 | 15 | 5 | 40 | 25 |
5 | 20 | 5 | 40 | 20 |
6 | 25 | 5 | 40 | 15 |
7 | 30 | 5 | 40 | 10 |
8 | 35 | 5 | 40 | 5 |
9 | 40 | 6 | 48 | 8 |
10 | 46 | 6 | 48 | 2 |
11 | 52 | 7 | 56 | 4 |
12 | 59 | 8 | 64 | 5 |
13 | 67 | 9 | 72 | 5 |
14 | 76 | 10 | 80 | 4 |
15 | 86 | 11 | 88 | 2 |
16 | 97 | 13 | 104 | 7 |
17 | 110 | 14 | 112 | 2 |
18 | 124 | 16 | 128 | 4 |
19 | 140 | 18 | 144 | 4 |
20 | 158 | 20 | 160 | 2 |
21 | 178 | 23 | 184 | 6 |
22 | 201 | 26 | 208 | 7 |
23 | 227 | 29 | 232 | 5 |
24 | 256 | 33 | 264 | 8 |
25 | 289 | 37 | 296 | 7 |
26 | 326 | 41 | 328 | 2 |
27 | 367 | 46 | 368 | 1 |
28 | 413 | 52 | 416 | 3 |
29 | 465 | 59 | 472 | 7 |
30 | 524 | 66 | 528 | 4 |
31 | 590 | 74 | 592 | 2 |
32 | 664 | 84 | 672 | 8 |
33 | 748 | 94 | 752 | 4 |
34 | 842 | 106 | 848 | 6 |
35 | 948 | 119 | 952 | 4 |
36 | 1067 | 134 | 1072 | 5 |
37 | 1201 | 151 | 1208 | 7 |
38 | 1352 | 170 | 1360 | 8 |
39 | 1522 | 191 | 1528 | 6 |
40 | 1713 | 215 | 1720 | 7 |
However, assuming the probability of a tie happening are 1/11 (9.09%), the probability of 40 hands in a row without a tie is only about 1/45, and you are effectively wagering 1713 + 215 = 1928 on a event that, 50% of the time, pays 8 or less.
There's an idea for a side bet: 40 hands in a row without a tie pays 40-1.
I think the GR8 might dispute that.Quote: AxelWolfI'm the best baccarat player in the world.
Wait for a new dealer - bet the dragon bonus and wait for him to pay you 30-1 on a natural 9 against a zero - walk away before they realize it
Quote: ThatDonGuyGood news....
There's an idea for a side bet: 40 hands in a row without a tie pays 40-1.
PGD has a bet like this on his EZ Paigow, FWIW. Pays on the dealer's Q-high hand (which is a push). There's an electronic counter on the table that tells you how long it's been. Though I don't think there's a particular number threshold to get paid; just the event.
Wow, the best I've seen was pushing on a "Natural 6 or 7 tie". Not a +EV though.Quote: WizardofnothingBetter system- which has actually happened to me- paigowdan will hate it but
Wait for a new dealer - bet the dragon bonus and wait for him to pay you 30-1 on a natural 9 against a zero - walk away before they realize it
I think I counted 79 Beach monkeys here.
If it enhances your enjoyment of the game, good on ya'Quote: coggerYes it seems. I have come up with my own progression for the 8:1 payouts. Practicing only it has been quite interesting. The math I wrote will allow you up to 40 bets with a 421 unit total loss. I suppose to could add to the math progression. I've gone 33 bets before resetting. Most bet progressions win under 20 bets. I stayed in the shoe at 33 realizing more ties where coming. Most shoes If I strike 4 or 5 ties under 40 hands then take the profit and run. If 2 ties come back to back early in the shoe I also leave.
Can't argue with that. Just remember that that is all your system will do. It won't beat the house edge and won't (of itself) make you rich.Quote: coggerYes admin TY. It kind of does because the game itself is like watching paint dry
Quote: ChumpChangeMy home game insisted on doing more than 60 Tie losses in a row twice when I started betting the Tie on the first night. These software games learn my play, give me some beginner's luck, then shut me down, hard.
The probability of 60 tie losses is 0.904844032^60 = 0.00247984 = apx. 1 in 403.
If you get to 140 tie losses in a row (probability 1 in 1,201,374), I'll be very interested to see evidence.
"Yup, one in a million!"
"Gimme that back!"
1) Be Asian. Not Asian? IWell, you only need one Asian kidney (functional or not) to qualify. I know a guy who can help you out.
2) Castrate a rhinoceros. Consume one testicle, raw. Place the other testicle on your ancestral altar, so that your forefathers can bring you luck from the afterworld.
3. LV=Lucky Variance, Never enter a casino without at least 1 Louis Vuitton item.
4. Consult an astrologist on what side to bet. Do what he says.
5. Make a donation to the monks at the local pagoda.
6. Profit tenfold.
It really is that easy.
Quote: gizzardsofgodsThere is only one system for beating baccarat, which I will share with you fortunate souls.
1) Be Asian. Not Asian? IWell, you only need one Asian kidney (functional or not) to qualify. I know a guy who can help you out.
2) Castrate a rhinoceros. Consume one testicle, raw. Place the other testicle on your ancestral altar, so that your forefathers can bring you luck from the afterworld.
3. LV=Lucky Variance, Never enter a casino without at least 1 Louis Vuitton item.
4. Consult an astrologist on what side to bet. Do what he says.
5. Make a donation to the monks at the local pagoda.
6. Profit tenfold.
It really is that easy.
link to original post
Hate speech. One month Two weeks*. Welcome to the forum.
* Adjusted down from one month, per moderator discussion.
Quote: jjcroccoOk, I have to see if others have had any success using the martingale system on the TIE bet in baccarat. Since it pays 8-1, you can bet 1 unit 8 times in a row and winning on the 8th hand you win 1 unit. If you lose then on the 9th-18th you bet 2 units and so on. On the 18th hand, you still win 1 unit, but if you win on the 9th hand you win 7 units. going to the next group of 8 and so on until you win.
Betting $5 8 times, then $10 8 times, then $20 8 times then $40 8 times = $600 bank roll
However, each win will win you from $5 to $40 helping to close the gap of losses on a losing streak. I have had two ties in a row, that's a $80 win.
Since a tie occurs about 9% or close to 1 in 11 hands, to lose $600 would be 32 hands in a row without a tie.
I have been practicing and never hit the 32 hands, though I have been in the $40 betting area but never busted starting out with a $600 bank.
If you have plenty of time, you can extend this to watch for no tie for 8 hands, then start betting, and the amount of hands needing to come in without a tie would now be 40. You will reduce the amount of times you win, but will decrease your chances of a losing streak.
I am sure the game has had 40 hands go without a tie. The luck on your part is that you are not betting when that occurs, and I would guess it doesn't occur that often.
link to original post
Your approach to the Martingale system on the Tie bet in baccarat is interesting. The 8-1 payout appears to be put to proper use as it is used to recover losses in this progressive betting strategy. One should also keep in mind time and table limits. This makes your experience and careful way of examining baccarat strategies interesting to learn. Best of luck!