Super Bowl 54 Prop Bets
Quote: WizardYes.
This article mentions that the President is historically very quiet online during the Big Game. However, didn't his campaign buy some ad time this year? If so, he may try to draw attention to the ad, or comment on it afterwards. Will he be at the game?
Just based on past behavior, the under seems the best bet, but if there is controversy, or if the game is a blowout snoozer, he'll start tweeting. Maybe best to stay away from this one.
Quote: AyecarumbaJust based on past behavior, the under seems the best bet, but if there is controversy, or if the game is a blowout snoozer, he'll start tweeting. Maybe best to stay away from this one.
How about we split the difference and you give me +120 on at least one Tweet?
How far I have fallen, I barely gamble at all any longer, even on the Super Bowl.
Quote: Wizard
How far I have fallen, I barely gamble at all any longer, even on the Super Bowl.
I was wondering. So no big pronouncements or prop bet advice like you have in past on GWAE or here? LOL
I was looking forward to the read in advance of a trip to Vegas Superbowl Sunday.
Quote: MJGolfI was wondering. So no big pronouncements or prop bet advice like you have in past on GWAE or here? LOL
I was looking forward to the read in advance of a trip to Vegas Superbowl Sunday.
I made about a dozen bets today. I will post some prop suggestions tomorrow, barring some extenuating circumstances.
Quote: 2020 Superbowl 54: Best prop bets you can make
1. Which player will score a touchdown in the game? (Patrick Mahomes +370)
2. How many passing yards will Jimmy Garoppolo record? (Over 300.5 +330)
5. Winning margin (49ers by 1-6 +325; Chiefs by 1-6 +310)
I think it’s going to be a tight game either way, so these feel like easy bets to throws some cash on. — CC
6. Will an offensive lineman score a touchdown? (DraftKings; Yes +3300)
The odds are SO GOOD and I can just see one of these creative offensive teams going for it. — CC
9. Will Jimmy Garoppolo throw an interception? (Yes -135)
Garoppolo threw 13 picks during the regular season and defenders dropped another eight. He puts the ball in dangerous spots a lot, and the Chiefs have capitalized on opposing quarterbacks’ mistakes this season. — SR
10. What will be the result of the 1st drive of the game? (Any outcome other than a TD, FG or Safety +105)
11. First scoring play (Chiefs TD +150)
| Bet | Odds | Fair | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last score touchdown | -170 | -234 | William Hill |
| First score touchdown | -170 | -212 | William Hill |
| No KC touchdown in 4th qtr | 190 | 173 | William Hill |
| 49'ers first score TD | -160 | -196 | William Hill |
| Game never tied after 0-0 | 110 | -107 | William Hill |
| Team with more field goals -- 49'ers | 120 | 100 | William Hill |
| No safety | -800 | -1548 | Golden Nugget |
| No overtime | -1100 | -1614 | Golden Nugget |
| No 2-pt conversion | -270 | -485 | Circa |
I'm sure there are other things I could bet, but I haven't been out much this year looking.
Quote: WizardThis has been a lousy year for prop hunting for me. William Hill had some juicy bets, but the lines had all moved against me by the time I saw them. A few still had value. The following bets are all I have made so far:
Bet Odds Fair Location Last score touchdown -170 -234 William Hill First score touchdown -170 -212 William Hill No KC touchdown in 4th qtr 190 173 William Hill 49'ers first score TD -160 -196 William Hill Game never tied after 0-0 110 -107 William Hill Team with more field goals -- 49'ers 120 100 William Hill No safety -800 -1548 Golden Nugget No overtime -1100 -1614 Golden Nugget No 2-pt conversion -270 -485 Circa
I'm sure there are other things I could bet, but I haven't been out much this year looking.
Thanks for these Wizard. When the fair line on a prop is about double the line you find (e.g. "No safety"), do you double up on your wager, or do even higher multiples since it's so juicy?
Quote: AyecarumbaThanks for these Wizard. When the fair line on a prop is about double the line you find (e.g. "No safety"), do you double up on your wager, or do even higher multiples since it's so juicy?
You're welcome. I certainly bet more as the odds bet better. Roughly, in proportion to my advantage.
