Wellbush
Wellbush
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 824
Joined: Mar 23, 2021
August 25th, 2021 at 11:35:16 AM permalink
What +EV score in BJ, would start being somewhat profitable for the everyday gambler? E.g. someone who goes to the casino with $300 and plays at a $15min table
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8114
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
August 25th, 2021 at 11:50:38 AM permalink
Wellbush, in Blackjack besides the things that don't come up all the time, such as shuffle tracking, hole carding including malfunctions with the card reader that reveal the hole card, and other not everyday occurrences, the positive count of the deck is what gives the player an edge. There is a second track that I do besides just the count but it ultimately gets back to at least the count.

Are you asking what level of positive count would justify a jump in bet? I think there are many threads here where such things are discussed in depth.
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
sabre
sabre
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 1172
Joined: Aug 16, 2010
August 25th, 2021 at 11:51:29 AM permalink
I don't know what a positive expected value score is. Nobody else does either.
Wellbush
Wellbush
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 824
Joined: Mar 23, 2021
August 25th, 2021 at 12:07:57 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Wellbush, in Blackjack besides the things that don't come up all the time, such as shuffle tracking, hole carding including malfunctions with the card reader that reveal the hole card, and other not everyday occurrences, the positive count of the deck is what gives the player an edge. There is a second track that I do besides just the count but it ultimately gets back to at least the count.

Are you asking what level of positive count would justify a jump in bet? I think there are many threads here where such things are discussed in depth.

here in Perth, Western Australia, we have one allowed casino. They use 6-deck shuffling machines that swallow the cards after every hand. As far as I'm aware, counting cannot be done in this scenario. There is no hole carding here, I don't think...the dealer keeps a face down card, no peeking, no surrendering.

the game just plays out for the table players. once that completes, the dealer then reveals his cards for all to see.

no, i wasn't asking about the count, but the EV.
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
MDawg
MDawg
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 8114
Joined: Sep 27, 2018
August 25th, 2021 at 12:14:20 PM permalink
Well, absent anything else, the house edge changes based on how well you play the game. Play it with perfect basic strategy, no counting, nothing else, and over time (perhaps - a very long time) you should get the house edge as reported at WOO or similar sites for your version of blackjack. But due to variance, you might win a lot more or less than expected.

I don't think I'd ever play any table game unless I felt that I had an edge, one demonstrated by consistent winning. I don't see the fun or point in consistent losing anyway!
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people. https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/betting-systems/33908-the-adventures-of-mdawg/
Wellbush
Wellbush
  • Threads: 11
  • Posts: 824
Joined: Mar 23, 2021
August 25th, 2021 at 12:26:14 PM permalink
Quote: MDawg

Well, absent anything else, the house edge changes based on how well you play the game. Play it with perfect basic strategy, no counting, nothing else, and over time (perhaps - a very long time) you should get the house edge as reported at WOO or similar sites for your version of blackjack. But due to variance, you might win a lot more or less than expected.

I don't think I'd ever play any table game unless I felt that I had an edge, one demonstrated by consistent winning. I don't see the fun or point in consistent losing anyway!

i have a similar mindset MD. i'm looking for an edge, otherwise i'm just looking.
All persons reading my posts gamble at their own risk, as I do. I don't ordinarily dispute math. I may dispute math I don't understand, or if I think it's faulty. I am not a conspiracy theorist.
Dieter
Administrator
Dieter
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 6105
Joined: Jul 23, 2014
August 25th, 2021 at 12:56:50 PM permalink
Quote: Wellbush

What +EV score in BJ, would start being somewhat profitable for the everyday gambler? E.g. someone who goes to the casino with $300 and plays at a $15min table



You can lose with +EV.
You can win with -EV.
This is variance.
Without variance, you're just getting change back from a vending machine.
May the cards fall in your favor.
  • Jump to: