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XXVV
XXVV
Joined: Nov 16, 2020
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November 16th, 2020 at 4:14:45 PM permalink
Greetings
I have a roulette bet that has been tested on 30 sessions of 100 spins and shows flat staking earnings of +0.723 units per spin over 3000 spins. This is on a single zero roulette that features 37 numbers.
Please advise what is the winning edge I have over the house casino playing live.
Cheers
R.
OnceDear
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OnceDear
Joined: Jun 1, 2014
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November 17th, 2020 at 3:16:28 AM permalink
Quote: XXVV

Greetings
I have a roulette bet that has been tested on 30 sessions of 100 spins and shows flat staking earnings of +0.723 units per spin over 3000 spins. This is on a single zero roulette that features 37 numbers.
Please advise what is the winning edge I have over the house casino playing live.
Cheers
R.

You don't.
The house has a winning edge of 1/37=2.7%
Take care out there. Spare a thought for the newly poor who were happy in their world just a few days ago, but whose whole way of life just collapsed..
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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November 17th, 2020 at 8:16:42 AM permalink
Quote: XXVV

3000 spins

this is a completely inadequate sample size
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
unJon
unJon 
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XXVV
November 17th, 2020 at 8:30:24 AM permalink
If I did this right, this would be a 25.9 standard deviation event betting even money or a 6.6 standard deviation event betting one number per spin.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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November 17th, 2020 at 12:05:23 PM permalink
Quote: XXVV

Greetings
I have a roulette bet that has been tested on 30 sessions of 100 spins and shows flat staking earnings of +0.723 units per spin over 3000 spins. This is on a single zero roulette that features 37 numbers.
Please advise what is the winning edge I have over the house casino playing live.



As already answered, your "winning edge" is -2.7% if all even-money bets lose the entire bet on a zero (or -1.35% if you lose only half).

Questions:

1. You say you earn 0.723 units per spin; how many units are you betting per spin?

2. You say "flat staking"; does this mean every bet is the same, or at least the total amount bet is the same (but possibly on different numbers), on every spin?
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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XXVV
November 17th, 2020 at 11:02:50 PM permalink
Where do I purchases the system?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ChumpChange
ChumpChange
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XXVV
November 17th, 2020 at 11:40:50 PM permalink
If you have a $10 bet per spin, and 100 spins per session, your bet total would be $1,000. With a +0.723 unit win per spin, you'll be up $723 per 100 spins. After 30 sessions, you'll be up $21,690 out of $30,000 bet.
$51,690/$30,000 = 172.3% payback
XXVV
XXVV
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November 21st, 2020 at 9:53:47 PM permalink
Thanks for reply..

1. 1 unit per spin per target bet
2. Yes every bet is the same on 9 numbers as targets (per set).
3. I play multiple sets of up to five featuring wheel sections for example or finales ( number ending) - always in 4 divisions.
XXVV
XXVV
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November 21st, 2020 at 9:55:44 PM permalink
Ha

You need me to prove this works by providing a set of outcomes you have witnessed and I will send my results to you - 100 spin sample.
XXVV
XXVV
Joined: Nov 16, 2020
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November 21st, 2020 at 10:07:18 PM permalink
Thank you for reply.

My data is based on no progression, just level/ flat staking.

I have 9 numbers to target on a French Wheel ( single zero) playing 1 set.

In professional play I often use 3 sets ad other overlapping techniques but I completed my study on 30 independent sets of 100 spins.

Whether I play one set or three the rate of earning is + 0.723 ( average) per spin per set.

The reason my bet wins is that I use 'Cluster Analysis' identifying clustering tendencies into 4 groups of 9 numbers ( with one number excluded).

I was trying to establish what is the 'edge' in my favor.

I guess your answer above states that.

My sample is 30 sessions of 100 spins and taking it session by session I had been advised 30 sessions was a suitable statistical sample.
27 of the sessions won, and two were small losses, one a little more- arrived at by testing 5 sets (ie 5x100 spins) x 30 sessions.

Thanks.

I am totally sincere.

I live in New Zealand.

Kind Regards
R.

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