astronomerBH
astronomerBH
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April 8th, 2016 at 2:14:45 PM permalink
So at a "just for fun" casino I've played at, a novelty bet is offered, where you triple your bet and take exactly 2 more cards. The casino uses 6 decks in a shoe, dealer stands on soft 17. The question is: when, if ever, should I triple down?
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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April 8th, 2016 at 3:31:01 PM permalink
Hmmm that's really interesting, is there surrender after you triple down, I'm not sure there would ever be a great opportunity to take two cards without counting and having an extremely low count against a six. Considering the average cars value of 6.5 , in theory anything hand about a 8 would be odds on to simply bust out your hand
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ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
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April 8th, 2016 at 4:37:25 PM permalink
My gut answer is no - the risk of a bust looks to be too great. Remember, drawing 10-10 always loses.

I did some quick number crunching, and at first glance, it looks like the closest you come to winning is tripling down on a soft 12 with the dealer showing a 6, but that's still something like a 4% edge for the house (and remember, you tripled your bet) - and you're breaking up a pair of aces to do it.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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April 8th, 2016 at 4:40:04 PM permalink
Checked with my black jack source- told me never triple down
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