5 card draw poker question
October 14th, 2014 at 11:58:07 PM
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What are the odds:
3 people playing 5 card draw, on three successive hands, one player draws 2 pair, but get beat each time:
first by a full house, second by a straight, third by another full house.
(I'd love to see how you figure this if it's not too complex)
Thank you!
3 people playing 5 card draw, on three successive hands, one player draws 2 pair, but get beat each time:
first by a full house, second by a straight, third by another full house.
(I'd love to see how you figure this if it's not too complex)
Thank you!
October 22nd, 2014 at 3:00:52 PM
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Could you make your question more precise?
Did the player get 2Pair each successive time? What pairs?
On the whole, though, don't bother. It is meaningless to compute odds AFTER the fact, since you single out a situation. It is practically impossible to correctly define the context.
Did the player get 2Pair each successive time? What pairs?
On the whole, though, don't bother. It is meaningless to compute odds AFTER the fact, since you single out a situation. It is practically impossible to correctly define the context.
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October 22nd, 2014 at 3:47:34 PM
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it sounds like he thinks some cheating going on. So after the fact odds might give him a reason to lean towards a probable answer.Quote: kubikulannCould you make your question more precise?
Did the player get 2Pair each successive time? What pairs?
On the whole, though, don't bother. It is meaningless to compute odds AFTER the fact, since you single out a situation. It is practically impossible to correctly define the context.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
October 23rd, 2014 at 5:00:18 PM
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Indeed. It often crops up here, these kind of questions. I understand the goal, I just say you can never have a satisfactory answer.Quote: AxelWolfit sounds like he thinks some cheating going on. So after the fact odds might give him a reason to lean towards a probable answer.
To put a simple example: imagine someone called to justify a big amount of money say they won the lottery. You suspect some cheating. How to "lean toward a probable answer" ?
Computing the odds will tel you "1 in several million". Is this meaningful to your problem?
Each week there is some winner. The odds of "somebody winning the lottery" is close to certainty. No help either.
Chance happens. Shit happens. Statistical testing can only be done in well-defined before-the-fact protocols, and repetition (aka sample size).
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