June 11th, 2012 at 10:22:29 PM
permalink
I am trying to figure out the odds of shooting 5 points in a row, or 10, 20, or n number of points.
How would this be figured out, what is the formula to figure this out.
How would this be figured out, what is the formula to figure this out.
June 11th, 2012 at 11:00:32 PM
permalink
For any points
(201/495)^5 would be 5 in a row
(201/495)^N would be N in a row
More can be found in this thread
average-number-of-points-hit
The more trials, the higher the probability of a streak of any length
added:
From 7Craps collection
At about 20 points established per hour, we see by the table about a 10% chance of at least 1 run of length 5 point wins
At about 60 points established, we see by the table about a 32% chance of at least 1 run of length 5
At about 100 points established, we see by the table about a 48% chance of at least 1 run of length 5
and about a 13% chance of at least 2 runs of length 5
for more info and links to threads to do the math yourself see:
Streak Calculator
for the average number of trials to see a streak of 5 wins in a row
150.8
On average, how many trials will it take to see a streak of...?
Enjoy
(201/495)^5 would be 5 in a row
(201/495)^N would be N in a row
More can be found in this thread
average-number-of-points-hit
The more trials, the higher the probability of a streak of any length
added:
From 7Craps collection
At about 20 points established per hour, we see by the table about a 10% chance of at least 1 run of length 5 point wins
At about 60 points established, we see by the table about a 32% chance of at least 1 run of length 5
At about 100 points established, we see by the table about a 48% chance of at least 1 run of length 5
and about a 13% chance of at least 2 runs of length 5
for more info and links to threads to do the math yourself see:
Streak Calculator
for the average number of trials to see a streak of 5 wins in a row
150.8
On average, how many trials will it take to see a streak of...?
Enjoy