fetz
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Joined: Oct 31, 2023
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October 31st, 2023 at 5:26:33 AM permalink
Has anyone else noticed on multi-play video poker machines, like Max Action or any triple play machine, that on the draw very often the cards have an eerie similarity if not downright the exact same card?
For example I was drawing 4 to a flush and the 5H came up three times. I'm aware that it's statistically possible but also that it is very improbable. On many other hands I'll get the exact same card in the exact same slot. Weird.
Of course I realize this could just be that trick of mind where it SEEMS that this happens way more often than it should by chance.
So I'm very curious if anyone else has had this same experience. Is it possible that there is some other algorithm other than random chance at work on the draw hands?
Thanks in advance for any input.
Cheers
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
October 31st, 2023 at 6:46:59 AM permalink
Quote: fetz

Has anyone else noticed on multi-play video poker machines, like Max Action or any triple play machine, that on the draw very often the cards have an eerie similarity if not downright the exact same card?
For example I was drawing 4 to a flush and the 5H came up three times. I'm aware that it's statistically possible but also that it is very improbable. On many other hands I'll get the exact same card in the exact same slot. Weird.
Of course I realize this could just be that trick of mind where it SEEMS that this happens way more often than it should by chance.
So I'm very curious if anyone else has had this same experience. Is it possible that there is some other algorithm other than random chance at work on the draw hands?
Thanks in advance for any input.
Cheers

Yes, but I think it's confirmation bias combined with an evolutionary component just to notice things that seem unusual. You'd have to track it over a significant number of hands in order to make any determinations that it's off.

It's also important to keep in mind that, in your 5H example, unless you're specifically calling for the five of hearts, then only two cards are really, 'The same.' The reason being that the first card must be something with 100% probability.

That being the case, you end up with:

(1/47) * (1/47) = 0.00045269352

Essentially, you would expect all three cards to be the same (for three-play) roughly one in 2,209 attempts.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
heatmap
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October 31st, 2023 at 3:31:21 PM permalink
Which video poker because i know of one algorithm and one video poker that uses that algorithm that may cause those effects to happen

Oh nm youve already stated that … unless you can provide a specific game name and jurisdiction
fetz
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November 1st, 2023 at 9:34:33 AM permalink
It seems to happen in Max Action and all the triple play video poker formats. The jurisdiction I guess is the M Resort and Sun Coast casinos in Vegas. Thanks
fetz
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Joined: Oct 31, 2023
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November 1st, 2023 at 9:37:11 AM permalink
You're right. It may just be confirmation bias. I'll try to make a more careful determination if that's true. The kicker here is that when the cards repeat they are almost always in the exact same slot and I think that adds an extra layer of improbability. Thanks
Mission146