who wants to do the math on this WSOP Hand to go to the final table
July 12th, 2018 at 2:43:46 PM
permalink
July 12th, 2018 at 3:00:45 PM
permalink
What do you mean? The picture in that link already has the math done. 98% for AA, 2% for KdKc, and 0% for KhKs.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
July 12th, 2018 at 3:11:02 PM
permalink
Since the article says "Aces or Kings show up in pairs once every 110 hands, so the odds of all three showing up in one hand are astronomical", perhaps the question is: What are the odds of 1 player getting dealt pocket aces and 2 players getting dealt pocket kings?
For that question I get 1 in 814,340,800 = 1 / (6 x 3 / 52! x 46!)
For that question I get 1 in 814,340,800 = 1 / (6 x 3 / 52! x 46!)
Last edited by: Ace2 on Jul 12, 2018
Its all about making that GTA
July 12th, 2018 at 3:57:33 PM
permalink
Quote: Ace2Since the article says "Aces or Kings show up in pairs once every 110 hands, so the odds of all three showing up in one hand are astronomical", perhaps the question is: What are the odds of 1 player getting dealt pocket aces and 2 players getting dealt pocket kings?
For that question I get 1 in 814,340,800 = 1 / (6 x 3 / 52! x 46!)
that is the question thanks
July 12th, 2018 at 4:18:02 PM
permalink
I have to edit my answer...
1 in 16,965,433.33 = 1 / (6 x 3 x 2 x 24 / 52! x 46!)
Since the Ace can be sorted 2! ways and the King can be sorted 4! ways. Combin (4,2) ways to choose the pair of Aces, 3 ways to place them among the players.
1 in 16,965,433.33 = 1 / (6 x 3 x 2 x 24 / 52! x 46!)
Since the Ace can be sorted 2! ways and the King can be sorted 4! ways. Combin (4,2) ways to choose the pair of Aces, 3 ways to place them among the players.
Last edited by: Ace2 on Jul 12, 2018
Its all about making that GTA
July 12th, 2018 at 4:30:04 PM
permalink
Quote: Ace2I have to edit my answer...also divide by 2 and 24 to get:
1 in 16,965,433.33
Since the Ace can be sorted 2! ways and the King can be sorted 4! ways.
That's what I get as well.
There are 52 x 51 x 50 x 49 x 48 x 47 ways to deal six cards in a particular order.
Of these, 4 x 3 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 are AAKKKK, 4 x 3 x 4 x 3 x 2 1 are KKAAKK, and 4 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 4 x 3 are KKKKAA,
so the probability is 864 / 14,658,134,400 = 1 / 16,965,433.33.
July 12th, 2018 at 5:06:13 PM
permalink
thanks for posting that. I didnt see that happen. Wasnt there a hand a few years ago with Helmuth where it was aa, aa, kk, qq?
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed.
I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
July 12th, 2018 at 7:40:21 PM
permalink
The odds you are calculating are for the next hand.
Since any of many dozens of hands couldve been the last hand before final table, and we had nearly 50 final tables in the history of the main event already, youre going to have to reduce that number by a factor of a few thousand, I think. Or many thousand, if you include other events and/or eliminate the condition of it being the final hand.
Of course, you can make the math much simpler by saying, shit happens.
Since any of many dozens of hands couldve been the last hand before final table, and we had nearly 50 final tables in the history of the main event already, youre going to have to reduce that number by a factor of a few thousand, I think. Or many thousand, if you include other events and/or eliminate the condition of it being the final hand.
Of course, you can make the math much simpler by saying, shit happens.
I invented a few casino games. Info:
http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/
Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
July 14th, 2018 at 5:23:59 AM
permalink
LOL. That is often the only solution available to me for any math problem.Quote: DJTeddyBearOf course, you can make the math much simpler by saying, shit happens.
July 14th, 2018 at 5:32:15 AM
permalink
So they showed this hand again last night on the live stream, and at the bottom it listed the odds as approximately 1 in 70,000. Then it gave the source of that calculation as JoeBlow/Wizard of Odds.
I can't remember the name but the last name was long and started with a G.
I can't remember the name but the last name was long and started with a G.
July 14th, 2018 at 8:12:23 AM
permalink
I thought that the WSOP broadcast showed the odds were about 1 in 729,000 for 2 KK pairs and one AA pair at a ten player table.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.
July 14th, 2018 at 9:19:39 AM
permalink
Quote: GWAEthanks for posting that. I didnt see that happen. Wasnt there a hand a few years ago with Helmuth where it was aa, aa, kk, qq?
I had a hand a few years ago at a 5/10 table. Had pocket 8' anyway 8 people to the flop with a $50 preflop raise.
Flop comes 3 8 2 rainbow. $150 raise 5 callers then a shove. I call along with 4 others (all stake over 1k)
3 sets 2 over pairs j and A turns a jack for a 4th set and rivers that sweet 8 for quads
Craziest hand I have seen in person or been involved with
