zeldastrike321
Joined: Apr 10, 2018
• Posts: 18
April 26th, 2018 at 8:08:50 AM permalink
You sit down at a roulette table and start tracking numbers. As soon as the first number you see repeat within a cycle of 36 spins you start betting on that number and increase your bet by 1 each time until a win. If it repeats again you make a substantial profit. Example:
You see 3 12 29 3 . . . You start betting on 3 . . . After 9 losses it hits the tenth time . . . You get 350 minus the 45 you wagered . . . Total profit 305 chips. ???
MrV
Joined: Feb 13, 2010
• Posts: 6775
April 26th, 2018 at 8:17:50 AM permalink
Quote: zeldastrike321

???

!!!
"What, me worry?"
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
• Posts: 5490
April 26th, 2018 at 8:30:10 AM permalink
Quote: zeldastrike321

You sit down at a roulette table and start tracking numbers. As soon as the first number you see repeat within a cycle of 36 spins you start betting on that number and increase your bet by 1 each time until a win. If it repeats again you make a substantial profit. Example:
You see 3 12 29 3 . . . You start betting on 3 . . . After 9 losses it hits the tenth time . . . You get 350 minus the 45 you wagered . . . Total profit 305 chips. ???

To be blunt, this is a pretty awful plan. The one most key factor here is that roulette spins are independent trials. Thus, the ball has no memory. Basing a system on the memory of the ball is completely pointless.

All you're doing is upping your Avg Bet at the game, and taking each spin as it is, with a 5.26% house edge. Thus, the more you bet, the more you will lose in the long run. To counter your example, let's say 3 doesn't hit for another 50 spins, which is fairly likely considering the 3 to land is already a 1/38. How much are you down now?
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
standbymyman
Joined: Feb 13, 2015
• Posts: 182
April 26th, 2018 at 8:43:56 AM permalink
not an amazing strategy either
zeldastrike321
Joined: Apr 10, 2018
• Posts: 18
April 26th, 2018 at 8:47:54 AM permalink
The plan is based on the idea that the number is a hot number due to repeat more sooner than other number due to either wheel bias or dealer signature but let's say it hits at 50 spins then you wagered 1202 and won 1750 ... profit is still 448 . . . But it should hit before you get to this point.
TigerWu
Joined: May 23, 2016
• Posts: 4022
April 26th, 2018 at 8:59:31 AM permalink
No. There is no "winning" strategy for roulette. You will always lose in the long run.

The best strategy for roulette is only play with the amount you are comfortable losing, and only play to have fun.

The second best strategy for roulette is hope you get lucky early on and win a little bit, then never play roulette again for the rest of your life.
Romes
Joined: Jul 22, 2014
• Posts: 5490
April 26th, 2018 at 9:03:48 AM permalink
Quote: zeldastrike321

The plan is based on the idea that the number is a hot number due to repeat more sooner than other number due to either wheel bias or dealer signature but let's say it hits at 50 spins then you wagered 1202 and won 1750 ... profit is still 448 . . . But it should hit before you get to this point.

You're missing the point. Say it doesn't hit for 200 spins. Also, what are your actual betting units. Even at a \$5 table the max is usually like \$500 inside on a number or something. That's only 100 units, which you can't go over.

Also, to blindly assume a bias of some sort because a number happen to come up 2 times within the length of the screen is just wow of an assumption. That's not even getting in to no bias and you just think the number is "hot" (which it's not - it's completely independent from every other spin).
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
zeldastrike321
Joined: Apr 10, 2018
• Posts: 18
April 26th, 2018 at 10:07:45 AM permalink
It would be a maximum of 70 spins before you break even which assuming there is no bias or dealer signature would give you about 84.5% To hit by the 70th spin. But we are hoping for better odds because we often see some numbers repeating over and over as opposed to other numbers.
SiegfriedRoy
Joined: Sep 23, 2014
• Posts: 421
April 26th, 2018 at 10:11:21 AM permalink
zeldastrike321,

No offense, but you have a totally failed logic on this. You will definitely lose money in the longrun. You will most likely lose money in the shortrun as well unless you're super lucky. You're better off learning basic strategy and playing at a really bad 6/5 bj table than using your strategy in roulette. Go play at a \$10 baccarat at Circus circus. If you REALLY want to try it, go to Jokers Wild. They are advertising \$0.25 a chip roulette. Hopefully you won't lose much. I really hate seeing players lose money (especially uninformed gamblers).
gordonm888
Joined: Feb 18, 2015