Blackjack Cut Card Effect

For a casual BJ participant (a person unconcerned with penetration), does the placement/depth of the cut card have an effect on the house edge? One local casino cuts off 1 deck of a 6-deck shoe and another cuts off up to 3 decks, the legal maximum. Apart from considerable effects on DPH and the viability of advantage play, does this procedure change the math of the game? My limited understanding of the cut card effect is that it is binary; therefore, no.

Yes, the math of the game can change with the depth of penetration. That is why card counting can provide an advantage. But, if you don't count, you don't know: you are blissfully ignorant of any advantage or disadvantage.

There's no question that as a non-counter I will lose in the long run, and I will lose more the more hands I play. The question is whether over a set number of hands--which is an odd question because no one regulates their gambling this way, but rather on time played, shoes played, money won/lost, etc.--I should expect to lose more in the game that cuts off 3 decks than the game that cuts off 1 deck. I'm talking about a large number of hands and one that happens to coincide with the end of a shoe.

The variance will be higher for play towards the end of a deeply cut shoe, but over the long haul your results will regress to the mean.