Odds of no tie baccarat
July 21st, 2012 at 9:57:34 PM
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Looking to see what the longest streak is with out a tie in baccarat. Earlier I had a 34 hand streak with out a tie. Does it get any worse then this?
July 21st, 2012 at 10:26:33 PM
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Of course it can.
I have seen a shoe not have a Tie win only one time.
In an 8 deck shoe, about 1 in 3200 shoes has NO tie winner, on average.
That would be about 80 hands right there.
a quick 1 million shoe sim shows this
315 shoes did have no ties
In 21,784 hands (about 260 shoes - 8 deck again) one has about a 50/50 chance of seeing at least one "80 No tie winners" in a row.
In 73,000 hands (about 880 shoes - 8 deck again) one has about a 90.252060546019% chance of seeing at least one "80 No tie winners" in a row.
Enjoy
I have seen a shoe not have a Tie win only one time.
In an 8 deck shoe, about 1 in 3200 shoes has NO tie winner, on average.
That would be about 80 hands right there.
a quick 1 million shoe sim shows this
315 shoes did have no ties
group middle freq freq/100
----------------------------------------------
-0.50 <= x < 0.50 0.00 315 0.03%
0.50 <= x < 1.50 1.00 2091 0.21%
1.50 <= x < 2.50 2.00 10484 1.05%
2.50 <= x < 3.50 3.00 29731 2.97%
3.50 <= x < 4.50 4.00 60970 6.10%
4.50 <= x < 5.50 5.00 95895 9.59%
5.50 <= x < 6.50 6.00 130451 13.05%
6.50 <= x < 7.50 7.00 150601 15.06%
7.50 <= x < 8.50 8.00 148516 14.85%
8.50 <= x < 9.50 9.00 124933 12.49%
9.50 <= x < 10.50 10.00 94018 9.40%
10.50 <= x < 11.50 11.00 66064 6.61%
11.50 <= x < 12.50 12.00 40392 4.04%
12.50 <= x < 13.50 13.00 23890 2.39%
13.50 <= x < 14.50 14.00 12005 1.20%
14.50 <= x < 15.50 15.00 5762 0.58%
15.50 <= x < 16.50 16.00 2371 0.24%
16.50 <= x < 17.50 17.00 927 0.09%
17.50 <= x < 18.50 18.00 276 0.03%
18.50 <= x < 19.50 19.00 193 0.02%
19.50 <= x < 20.50 20.00 77 0.01%
20.50 <= x < 21.50 21.00 0
21.50 <= x < 22.50 22.00 38 0.00%
In 73,000 hands (about 880 shoes - 8 deck again) one has about a 90.252060546019% chance of seeing at least one "80 No tie winners" in a row.
Enjoy
July 22nd, 2012 at 12:38:48 AM
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Thanks a million! This is the exact data I needed right here. Extremely Helpful! Much love, appreciate your hard work in helping me out.
