February 25th, 2013 at 11:15:42 AM permalink
A month ago, Lincoln was the favorite for best picture, at around -300, if I recall correctly. However, you could easily find Daniel Day Lewis for -300 and -500 all over the place, and -1000 was a cinch for Anne Hathaway. The only reason I mention it is because, while I agree with the Wiz about betting late in many cases (look at the steam Argo picked up in just the last few weeks), some bets are best placed early. Hathaway was as much of a lock in that field at -1000 as she was at -5000.