February 20th, 2020 at 8:24:32 AM
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Planning a Bonanza style bingo fundraiser (sort-of), but need statistics -- please help!
- I have 3000 1on cards (given to me for free) and I want to use them to raise money
- I plan on pre-drawing 20 to 25 bingo numbers (depending on your advice) and selling the cards after the numbers are drawn
- I plan on using them at an event that annually brings approx. 400 people (but I know not everyone will buy a card)
What I need to figure out is;
- How many cards do I need to sell at & what price to make a profit for my non-profit organization
- How many bingo numbers I should pre-draw (20-25?)
- How many cards will get a straight line bingo in how many cards sold, which will indicate how much I should offer as a prize.
I know that there are A LOT of variables in this question, so I know that the answer will not be precise... I just don't want to loose money over-all.
Any info you can give would be greatly appreciated!!!
- I have 3000 1on cards (given to me for free) and I want to use them to raise money
- I plan on pre-drawing 20 to 25 bingo numbers (depending on your advice) and selling the cards after the numbers are drawn
- I plan on using them at an event that annually brings approx. 400 people (but I know not everyone will buy a card)
What I need to figure out is;
- How many cards do I need to sell at & what price to make a profit for my non-profit organization
- How many bingo numbers I should pre-draw (20-25?)
- How many cards will get a straight line bingo in how many cards sold, which will indicate how much I should offer as a prize.
I know that there are A LOT of variables in this question, so I know that the answer will not be precise... I just don't want to loose money over-all.
Any info you can give would be greatly appreciated!!!
February 20th, 2020 at 9:25:35 AM
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Maybe somebody with more time on his hands will help, but I think this is the kind of thing you should be paying to get an answer for.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
February 20th, 2020 at 5:14:56 PM
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These numbers seem a bit low, but I ran 20 million games on a single card to see how many balls it would take for that card to get a 5-in-line (with center space free) Bingo:
Note that each number is for that many balls or fewer
Also remember that this is for just one card
| Balls | Bingo Prob |
|---|---|
| 10 | 1 / 1232.058 |
| 11 | 1 / 767.165 |
| 12 | 1 / 502.361 |
| 13 | 1 / 340.038 |
| 14 | 1 / 237.02 |
| 15 | 1 / 170.478 |
| 16 | 1 / 125.404 |
| 17 | 1 / 93.93 |
| 18 | 1 / 71.62 |
| 19 | 1 / 55.525 |
| 20 | 1 / 43.718 |
| 21 | 1 / 34.82 |
| 22 | 1 / 28.081 |
| 23 | 1 / 22.87 |
| 24 | 1 / 18.823 |
| 25 | 1 / 15.632 |
Note that each number is for that many balls or fewer
Also remember that this is for just one card
February 21st, 2020 at 7:37:42 AM
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That's awesome!!!! So if I understand; if I called 21 numbers then 1 in every 35 cards would get a bingo?
February 21st, 2020 at 3:44:15 PM
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Quote: JuanitaKelly214That's awesome!!!! So if I understand; if I called 21 numbers then 1 in every 35 cards would get a bingo?
Well, sort of - but you have to remember that it's "1 in 35 cards" if you call 21 numbers even if somebody has a bingo in 20 or fewer.
I assume that, if there is a tie, any prize is split, or there's some sort of drawing for it, so you're only really interested in whether or not anybdy gets a bingo - not necessarily how many.
If there are 100 cards in a game, the probability that nobody gets a bingo in 21 numbers is (1 - 1/34.82)100 = about 1 / 18.43.
February 24th, 2020 at 7:40:05 AM
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Actually I plan to use the bingo cards as a sort of form of lottery. The numbers on their card are the numbers they are playing in the lottery.... the numbers I pre-call are the actual lottery numbers... the player has to be able to cover 5 numbers in a row (or 4 with the free space) in order to win a prize, so I need to know how many of those cards will win a prize so I can determine how much I need to charge for each card in order to make money for my non-profit. SO if I know that 1 in every 35 cards will statistically get a bingo, then I know that I need to make the cost per card more than the payout for 3 in every 100 cards. At least that's what I'm guessing.

