Dealt a Royal with deuce on hot roll poker
March 31st, 2017 at 6:19:48 AM
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I was watching a youtube video of video poker play and the following situation came up on hot roll poker deuces wild...
Hot Roll Poker - $.25 machine 3 hands deuces wild. Player is betting 30 quarters per deal (max) and before hand is dealt a random roll comes up which lands on 6 so each winning hand will be multiplied by 6.
Player is dealt A, Q, J, 10 of clubs with a deuce for a royal with deuce = win of 600 quarters per hand (100 x 6 hot roll) x 3 hands for pat win of 1800 quarters or $450.00
If player drops the deuce and goes for royal he could win 4000 x 6 per hand = 24000 quarters or $6000 per hand.
He chose to keep the pat hand... What is the right play/odds breakdown?
Hot Roll Poker - $.25 machine 3 hands deuces wild. Player is betting 30 quarters per deal (max) and before hand is dealt a random roll comes up which lands on 6 so each winning hand will be multiplied by 6.
Player is dealt A, Q, J, 10 of clubs with a deuce for a royal with deuce = win of 600 quarters per hand (100 x 6 hot roll) x 3 hands for pat win of 1800 quarters or $450.00
If player drops the deuce and goes for royal he could win 4000 x 6 per hand = 24000 quarters or $6000 per hand.
He chose to keep the pat hand... What is the right play/odds breakdown?
March 31st, 2017 at 7:20:51 AM
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It may depend on the pay table.
In the deck are:
1 King of Clubs - Natural Royal
3 other Deuces - Wild Royal
7 other Clubs (3-9) - Flush
3 other Kings - Straight
33 losing cards
Based on your description, the machine appears to be paying 800 per credit for a natural royal and 20 for a wild royal
The ER per credit, if you assume 3 for a flush and 2 for a straight, is (800 + 3 x 20 + 7 x 3 + 3 x 2) / 47 = 18.87.
It is close, but keeping the deuce is the better play. It pretty much comes down to a 1/44 chance (since three of the 47 cards are, in effect, a push) of getting a 39-1 payout.
In the deck are:
1 King of Clubs - Natural Royal
3 other Deuces - Wild Royal
7 other Clubs (3-9) - Flush
3 other Kings - Straight
33 losing cards
Based on your description, the machine appears to be paying 800 per credit for a natural royal and 20 for a wild royal
The ER per credit, if you assume 3 for a flush and 2 for a straight, is (800 + 3 x 20 + 7 x 3 + 3 x 2) / 47 = 18.87.
It is close, but keeping the deuce is the better play. It pretty much comes down to a 1/44 chance (since three of the 47 cards are, in effect, a push) of getting a 39-1 payout.
March 31st, 2017 at 7:40:22 AM
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Keeping the wild royal is about a 6% better play.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
March 31st, 2017 at 10:12:43 AM
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If the Royal was a progressive, there may be times to chase the Natural, but almost always you should take the Wild.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
March 31st, 2017 at 11:40:22 AM
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Thanks for the replies! I would have struggled making this decision and probably would have let the allure of $6000 or more win out... Now I'll know how to play it WHEN it happens to me - lol Take care! :)
March 31st, 2017 at 3:16:14 PM
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I once broke up a Wild Royal that had three 2s in it to chase the 4th one. I lucked out and got it. That night I did the math and realized just how dumb a move that was.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
March 31st, 2017 at 3:33:01 PM
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Quote: billryanI once broke up a Wild Royal that had three 2s in it to chase the 4th one. I lucked out and got it. That night I did the math and realized just how dumb a move that was.
That was when I started paying attention to the math of the game.
Too many tempting moves in DW. The above and the aforementioned WR w/ one deuce.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
