EvenBob
• Posts: 28865
Joined: Jul 18, 2010
November 23rd, 2011 at 6:28:17 PM permalink
A new Mythbusters tonight tested the Monty Hall paradox.
Did anybody notice how flawed the final test was? Jamie
should have gotten 33 right, picking 1 out of 3 doors from
100, and he only got 11 right. Obviously the sample was far too small
and it made switching doors look more successful than
it really is.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
MarieBicurie
• Posts: 140
Joined: Sep 17, 2010
November 23rd, 2011 at 9:57:02 PM permalink
Mythbusters screw up a test? Say it ain't so.
victorimmature
• Posts: 68
Joined: Aug 29, 2011
November 23rd, 2011 at 11:18:22 PM permalink
It wouldn't have happened if Cary Grant had been given the task.

Face
• Posts: 4448
Joined: Dec 27, 2010
November 24th, 2011 at 12:10:31 AM permalink
Carrie Byron. They only use her for physical stuff like swords hacking and things blowing up. Which is good, since my intelligence shuts off when she's on.
The opinions of this moderator are for entertainment purposes only.
EvenBob
• Posts: 28865
Joined: Jul 18, 2010
November 24th, 2011 at 12:37:02 AM permalink
Carrie looks good, she lost some weight.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AZDuffman
• Posts: 14070
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
November 24th, 2011 at 5:02:34 AM permalink
If they want to test "LMAD" probabilities make it hard. See what the probability of successw would be if Monty offered \$500 for anyone who could show him an ounce of self-respect.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
cardcounter
• Posts: 56
Joined: Oct 15, 2011
November 29th, 2011 at 2:41:13 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

A new Mythbusters tonight tested the Monty Hall paradox.
Did anybody notice how flawed the final test was? Jamie
should have gotten 33 right, picking 1 out of 3 doors from
100, and he only got 11 right. Obviously the sample was far too small
and it made switching doors look more successful than
it really is.

Switching doors is far more successful stragedy than staying with your original choice in the long run. If you have a 33% chance of winning just because you play a 100 times does not mean that you will win 33 times there is variance in a sample of a 100. What they should have done is caculate the standard deviation of the results to show how likely or unlikey that scenerio was.
waltomeal
• Posts: 140
Joined: May 26, 2010
November 29th, 2011 at 4:43:35 PM permalink
Quote: Face

Carrie Byron. They only use her for physical stuff like swords hacking and things blowing up. Which is good, since my intelligence shuts off when she's on.

Carrie is very attractive, but I was always more excited by Scottie. I'm disappointed that she hasn't been on the show for a while.
Old enough to repaint. Young enough to sell.
AZDuffman