Thread Rating:
January 5th, 2012 at 7:52:36 AM
permalink
Hello, wanted to check the odds of this happening. A friend recently lost his wife. They liked to play scrabble, and the first time playing with his daughter the tiles spelled her unique 1st name VYETTE, the other letter was a U. They are a deeply religious family and I like to believe this is some sort of miracle. There is also a picture of the board.
My friends daughter picked first, the picture shows she had a "L" "A" "W" "blank tile" "E" "R" , not sure of 7th tile.
My friend then picked "U" "V" "Y" "E" "T" "T" "E"
There are 100 tiles in the scrabble game.
12-E's
6- T's
4- U's
2- V's
2- Y's
WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY OF THIS HAPPENING ?
My friends daughter picked first, the picture shows she had a "L" "A" "W" "blank tile" "E" "R" , not sure of 7th tile.
My friend then picked "U" "V" "Y" "E" "T" "T" "E"
There are 100 tiles in the scrabble game.
12-E's
6- T's
4- U's
2- V's
2- Y's
WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY OF THIS HAPPENING ?
January 5th, 2012 at 8:43:32 AM
permalink
I get 1 in 48314.
This assumes that the 7th letter can be anything. Although unlikely, it is possible without divine intervention.
This assumes that the 7th letter can be anything. Although unlikely, it is possible without divine intervention.
I heart Crystal Math.
January 5th, 2012 at 8:59:42 AM
permalink
Thanks, this is what I calculated for all 7 letters, but I don't know how to calculate without knowing exactly what his daughter's 7th letter was, but assumed it was not one my friend picked.
With 7 tiles already picked already, there are 9,473,622,444 possible remaining combinations of tiles.
With a "E" already picked by his daughter. I came up with 13,200 ways to get UYVETTE.
So with "U" included, all 7 tiles picked I came up with 1 in 717,698.
Is this math correct?
With 7 tiles already picked already, there are 9,473,622,444 possible remaining combinations of tiles.
With a "E" already picked by his daughter. I came up with 13,200 ways to get UYVETTE.
So with "U" included, all 7 tiles picked I came up with 1 in 717,698.
Is this math correct?
January 5th, 2012 at 9:31:30 AM
permalink
Quote: ChiTownJoe
So with "U" included, all 7 tiles picked I came up with 1 in 717,698.
Is this math correct?
Yes.
If, however, the last letter can be anything and you know that the first player has picked an E, the probability is 1 in 37,122.
I heart Crystal Math.
January 5th, 2012 at 10:42:47 AM
permalink
Thanks