ShineyShine Joined: Feb 6, 2014
• Posts: 189
June 5th, 2022 at 5:16:22 PM permalink
What is Theoretical Win Calculation, and how do you calculate it?
camapl Joined: Jun 22, 2010
• Posts: 362
June 5th, 2022 at 7:14:46 PM permalink
Quote: ShineyShine

What is Theoretical Win Calculation, and how do you calculate it?

Based on the content in your prior threads, I assume you�re asking with respect to the house�

A Theoretical Win Calculation is the amount of money the house will win on average after a certain number of rounds (hands, spins, draws, resolved dice rolls, etc.) or within a certain timeframe. A positive number reflects a win, and a negative number reflects a loss.

The Theoretical Win for the house after N resolved bets,

Theo Win (N) = (1 - R) * B * N,

where R = theoretical return of the game
and B = average bet amount.

The Theoretical Win for the house during time, T,

Theo Win (T) = (1 - R) * B * H

where R = theoretical return of the game,
B = average bet amount,
and H = average number of resolved bets during T amount of time.

To calculate the same for the player, merely substitute (R - 1) for (1 - R) in either equation above.
* Actual results may vary.
ShineyShine Joined: Feb 6, 2014 