100xOdds
100xOdds
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October 26th, 2025 at 4:06:13 AM permalink


It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
DRich
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October 26th, 2025 at 4:48:36 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post



It sounds like just bad luck to me. When I read the thread title I thought you lost $1000 playing quarters, that would have been more impressive
.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
ChumpChange
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October 26th, 2025 at 4:56:38 AM permalink
Well, how many rewards points did you accrue and how much money would that represent and how many spins would that represent. I lost $25 in 26 spins on the home game the other day so that's about a $1 loss per spin on $1.25/spin or an 80% loss rate.

If you lost $750 in 750 spins at $5/spin, you lost 20%. Seems a bit much. I would expect a typical 8% loss or a $300 loss. But these games have streaks. I could play for 2.5 hours without hitting a quad, or go 40 hands and hit 2 quads.
Last edited by: ChumpChange on Oct 26, 2025
Dieter
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October 26th, 2025 at 3:25:13 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post



It doesn't look like Class II to me.
May the cards fall in your favor.
KevinAA
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100xOddsHunterhillDRichRomes
October 26th, 2025 at 3:49:34 PM permalink
According to my calculations, one standard deviation for this game at $5 per hand for 750 hands is $732, so you lost only 1.36 sd.

750 hands in a game with a 40,000 hand "cycle" is basically nothing.

Definitely just bad luck.
AutomaticMonkey
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October 26th, 2025 at 4:13:42 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post




Seriously? I have gone over 2000 hands in VP without quads. And I have also hit quads twice in two hands.

It's luck. About half of it will be bad.
AxelWolf
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October 26th, 2025 at 11:28:10 PM permalink
Quote: Dieter

Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post



It doesn't look like Class II to me.
link to original post

Why not?

I have seen some normal-looking VP (looked like IGT to me) machines in Indian reservations that have good paytables recently in Washington state. There were no strange features on the game. They had an entire multi-game bank of them and various ones throughout the casino

If they are legit, then there's probably some good opportunities to be had( Mail, drawings, promotions, etc.)

I ran very poorly in the short time I played.

Perhaps I should revisit since there is unlikely to be any competition.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ChumpChange
ChumpChange 
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October 27th, 2025 at 12:17:44 AM permalink
I'm down $2,323.75 on a lifetime bet of $28,824.50 with total winnings of $26,075.75 in 20,729 spins on my Roku 4 Video Poker game. There's different denominations I've tried, but no Royals yet. So that's a payback of 90.46% or losing half a coin for every 5 bet before the Royal. I could win $1K, or $2K, or $4K with the different denominations here, so I could pull ahead depending on when the lucky hand hits. But with another 20K hands to go, I could be down $4K when it hits and only win $1K.
Dieter
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October 27th, 2025 at 12:52:22 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Dieter

Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post



It doesn't look like Class II to me.
link to original post

Why not?

I have seen some normal-looking VP (looked like IGT to me) machines in Indian reservations that have good paytables recently in Washington state. There were no strange features on the game. They had an entire multi-game bank of them and various ones throughout the casino

If they are legit, then there's probably some good opportunities to be had( Mail, drawings, promotions, etc.)

I ran very poorly in the short time I played.

Perhaps I should revisit since there is unlikely to be any competition.
link to original post



In Washington, you should know better. It's all TLS, right? (Read the compact!)

The Class II I see usually has a more enticing paytable displayed, and is a mandatory multiline with a novelty feature. There are also other indicators. (I'm in the wrong jurisdiction to capture field images for at least a week.)
May the cards fall in your favor.
AxelWolf
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October 27th, 2025 at 6:04:29 AM permalink
Quote: Dieter

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Dieter

Quote: 100xOdds



It's supposed to a quad every 500 hands, on avg.
So 750 hands is a little behind.

But does that explain 73% loss on a 99.1% machine???

Gafted machine?
Class 2?
Or... ?
link to original post



It doesn't look like Class II to me.
link to original post

Why not?

I have seen some normal-looking VP (looked like IGT to me) machines in Indian reservations that have good paytables recently in Washington state. There were no strange features on the game. They had an entire multi-game bank of them and various ones throughout the casino

If they are legit, then there's probably some good opportunities to be had( Mail, drawings, promotions, etc.)

I ran very poorly in the short time I played.

Perhaps I should revisit since there is unlikely to be any competition.
link to original post



In Washington, you should know better. It's all TLS, right? (Read the compact!)

The Class II I see usually has a more enticing paytable displayed, and is a mandatory multiline with a novelty feature. There are also other indicators. (I'm in the wrong jurisdiction to capture field images for at least a week.)
link to original post

As I said, the machines I came across do not have any novelty features, and the pay table is 9/6 jacks.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DRich
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October 27th, 2025 at 8:02:00 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf



I have seen some normal-looking VP (looked like IGT to me) machines in Indian reservations that have good paytables recently in Washington state. There were no strange features on the game. They had an entire multi-game bank of them and various ones throughout the casino



Those were probably Class III games. All 29 of Washington's recognized tribes hold Class III gaming compacts. I believe many are limited to XXX Class III games and they fill the rest of the casino with Class II.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
Dieter
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November 5th, 2025 at 7:39:14 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

As I said, the machines I came across do not have any novelty features, and the pay table is 9/6 jacks.
link to original post





This is explicitly Class II. Note the bingo display.
(I didn't have time this visit to dig into the rules screens.)

I haven't gone hands-on investigating TLS games. I believe someone told me they were Class III, despite not being Nevada style VP.
May the cards fall in your favor.
AxelWolf
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November 5th, 2025 at 10:51:04 AM permalink
Quote: Dieter

Quote: AxelWolf

As I said, the machines I came across do not have any novelty features, and the pay table is 9/6 jacks.
link to original post





This is explicitly Class II. Note the bingo display.
(I didn't have time this visit to dig into the rules screens.)

I haven't gone hands-on investigating TLS games. I believe someone told me they were Class III, despite not being Nevada style VP.
link to original post

Yes, I've seen Bingo displays and I realize what class they are; however, in Washington state, I see many games without Bingo cards and have been seeing them since the 90s. Of course, there were ones that were obviously not class 3 even though there was no bingo card; they had some type of Genie or whatever that popped up.

What I'm seeing is $1 9/6 jacks or better with auto hold(I don't remember if it was full-blown autohold or just when you were dealt a winning combination). I didn't spend a whole lot of time testing, but from what I could tell, the auto hold was fairly accurate. One could easily play two machines side by side and crank out a lot of coin in with minimal effort. The one particular place I'm talking about was a small to medium-sized Casino. I don't know what type of free play they might give out I'm sure with whatever free play and promotions they have going, you would have a plus EV situation if the machines were legit. I have no idea what the hourly might be I have to further investigate.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Dieter
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Dieter
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November 5th, 2025 at 12:36:34 PM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: Dieter

Quote: AxelWolf

As I said, the machines I came across do not have any novelty features, and the pay table is 9/6 jacks.
link to original post





This is explicitly Class II. Note the bingo display.
(I didn't have time this visit to dig into the rules screens.)

I haven't gone hands-on investigating TLS games. I believe someone told me they were Class III, despite not being Nevada style VP.
link to original post

Yes, I've seen Bingo displays and I realize what class they are; however, in Washington state, I see many games without Bingo cards and have been seeing them since the 90s. Of course, there were ones that were obviously not class 3 even though there was no bingo card; they had some type of Genie or whatever that popped up.

What I'm seeing is $1 9/6 jacks or better with auto hold(I don't remember if it was full-blown autohold or just when you were dealt a winning combination). I didn't spend a whole lot of time testing, but from what I could tell, the auto hold was fairly accurate. One could easily play two machines side by side and crank out a lot of coin in with minimal effort. The one particular place I'm talking about was a small to medium-sized Casino. I don't know what type of free play they might give out I'm sure with whatever free play and promotions they have going, you would have a plus EV situation if the machines were legit. I have no idea what the hourly might be I have to further investigate.
link to original post



Not to worry. Eventually, I'll be out that way again, and I'm sure I'll get a look at a few.

I really did (and probably still do) think it was all TLS, for some reason.
May the cards fall in your favor.
Sandybestdog
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November 5th, 2025 at 5:56:03 PM permalink
I was at one of the places in NYC once. They had single line IGT video poker like you’d see anywhere else. I played until I was dealt a high pair. I then threw it away. Amazingly on the redraw it dealt me another high pair. I recently went to a place in a different state. The slot machines had historical horse racing on it. I still don’t get how that translates to the line pays on the machine. They had the same video poker machines. I did the same test and the same thing happened. They usually have good pay tables like 9/6 DDB.It would be interesting if they had a promo or something and you just played the machine fast like a slot machine without holding anything if it would continue to act like this and what the return would be.
Hunterhill
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Dieter
November 6th, 2025 at 4:13:53 AM permalink
Quote: Sandybestdog

I was at one of the places in NYC once. They had single line IGT video poker like you’d see anywhere else. I played until I was dealt a high pair. I then threw it away. Amazingly on the redraw it dealt me another high pair. I recently went to a place in a different state. The slot machines had historical horse racing on it. I still don’t get how that translates to the line pays on the machine. They had the same video poker machines. I did the same test and the same thing happened. They usually have good pay tables like 9/6 DDB.It would be interesting if they had a promo or something and you just played the machine fast like a slot machine without holding anything if it would continue to act like this and what the return would be.
link to original post


From what I’ve been able to find out those hhr vp machines are returning around 89-90% even though the pay tables say 9/6
Happy days are here again
DRich
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November 6th, 2025 at 7:36:02 AM permalink
Quote: Sandybestdog

I was at one of the places in NYC once. They had single line IGT video poker like you’d see anywhere else. I played until I was dealt a high pair. I then threw it away. Amazingly on the redraw it dealt me another high pair. I recently went to a place in a different state. The slot machines had historical horse racing on it. I still don’t get how that translates to the line pays on the machine. They had the same video poker machines. I did the same test and the same thing happened. They usually have good pay tables like 9/6 DDB.It would be interesting if they had a promo or something and you just played the machine fast like a slot machine without holding anything if it would continue to act like this and what the return would be.
link to original post



I have developed lottery based video poker games that will force a particular win amount. The ones I worked on used a "Match card" to pay any discrepancies with the expected outcome and the actual outcome.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
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