Kings or Aces :
Actual Hits ---- 3390
Actual % --- 0.098059
Expected Hits --- 4924.68
Expected % --- 0.142447
Worse than Kings+:
Actual Hits ---- 20871
Actual % ---- 0.603714
Expected Hits---- 19200.39
Expected % ---- 0.555374
5% of kings+ allocated to getting nothing seems like a bit much, or is sample size still too low to determine? all other stats 2 pair and above are close to expected
If it's after the draw, the strategy you are playing could account for a discrepancy of that size. The strategies for the different versions of Joker Poker are very different, and vary again by the specific paytable.
Sequential Royal Flush: Joker Poker (Kings)
Sequential Natural Royal Flush 20,000
Natural Royal Flush 4,000
Five of a Kind 750
Wild Royal Flush 400
Straight Flush 250
Four of a Kind 100
Full House 35
Flush 25
Straight 15
Three of a Kind 10
Two Pair 5
Kings or Better 5
All Other 0
strategy used is playing perfectly using this calculator: WIZARD OF ODDS DOT COM/games/video-poker/hand-analyzer/calculator/
the numbers used for expected results come from inputting the exact paytable so it should be accurate
Quote: blueman777yes, after the draw.... exact game:
Sequential Royal Flush: Joker Poker (Kings)
Sequential Natural Royal Flush 20,000
Natural Royal Flush 4,000
Five of a Kind 750
Wild Royal Flush 400
Straight Flush 250
Four of a Kind 100
Full House 35
Flush 25
Straight 15
Three of a Kind 10
Two Pair 5
Kings or Better 5
All Other 0
strategy used is playing perfectly using this calculator: WIZARD OF ODDS DOT COM/games/video-poker/hand-analyzer/calculator/
the numbers used for expected results come from inputting the exact paytable so it should be accurate
link to original post
OK now that Wizard link is a hand analyzer, not a game analyzer. Nor do I see any way to modify the strategy for a sequential royal on that page.
Where are you getting the data for the expected number of Kings or Better?
WIZARD OF ODDS DOT COM /games/video-poker-analyzer/calculator/
cant attach a screen shot here apparently
select sequential, joker kings, edit paytable, then boom shows all expected outcomes
Two more things you have to check before you can start thinking about a game being rigged:
Did you generate a playing strategy, for exactly that paytable?
Is the strategy as generated being implemented perfectly in your model?
i track every hand and every pay so thats where i get my exact info
Quote: blueman777
cant attach a screen shot here apparently
link to original post
It's not personal.
There are inviolable rules on the forum that preclude probationary (new) members from doing certain (potentially) spammy things.
Once you're no longer new, images and links start working.
Welcome to the forum.
Quote: blueman777yeah the strategy is use the calculator every single hand (online) so every hand is played perfectly yes. and yes i generated the correct strategy. the game is 20000/4000/750/400/250/100/35/25/15/10/5/5/0
i track every hand and every pay so thats where i get my exact info
link to original post
I understand what you are saying. It seems odd to me too. A 5% discrepancy seems a bit much for a common hand for that number of trials to me too. But if somebody was going to rig the game, why do it on the giveback hands that are easy to track? I would do it on the rare hands where you would need a lot more samples to say it is rigged.
Quote: blueman777ok so another question... ive played over 130k hands now and still no royal... expected every 42,000 hands. at what point is this too out of line?
link to original post
You are either spending cash and time to play this game, or just spending time. Either way, I do not see how this game is a profitable activity worth pursuing any further. Crooked or not.
What is -3 SD? How many hands without a Royal?
and even then, if i purely add 4 royals to the stats, its still -2 SD