Quote: dwVPpLr1998...What are the odds of getting no dealt fifth card being a deuce out of 50 hands?
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1.171%.
Quote: dwVPpLr1998A couple of hands later I was dealt 4 cards to a spade flush. upon hold those 4 cards I only received 7 flush payout hands with non of the dealt fifth card in the hand being a deuce. What are the odds of getting no dealt fifth card being a deuce out of 50 hands?
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(43/47)^50 = 1.17%
I get the probability of getting two or fewer Wild Royals out of 50 hands as the sum of:
P(none) = (42/47)^50 = 0.00361
P(one) = 50 x 5/47 x (42/47)^49 = 0.02149
P(two) = 1225 x (5/47)^2 x (42/47)^48 = 0.06268
The sum = 0.08778, or 8.778%, or about 1 in 11.4
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
Quote: calwatchMatt Bourie of the Jackpot Gents had possibly the worst bad beat ever recorded, hundred play TDB, dealt trips, no quads.
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
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1.232%. But I'm drunk, I could be wrong.
Quote: AutomaticMonkeyQuote: calwatchMatt Bourie of the Jackpot Gents had possibly the worst bad beat ever recorded, hundred play TDB, dealt trips, no quads.
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
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1.232%. But I'm drunk, I could be wrong.
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I get (46/47 x 45/46)^100 = (45/47)^100 = 1.2926%
Quote: calwatchMatt Bourie of the Jackpot Gents had possibly the worst bad beat ever recorded, hundred play TDB, dealt trips, no quads.
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
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That is not as improbable as you would think.
Quote: DRichQuote: calwatchMatt Bourie of the Jackpot Gents had possibly the worst bad beat ever recorded, hundred play TDB, dealt trips, no quads.
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
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That is not as improbable as you would think.
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The emotions land differently when one WINS something that had a 1% chance of hitting!
Quote: smoothgrhQuote: DRichQuote: calwatchMatt Bourie of the Jackpot Gents had possibly the worst bad beat ever recorded, hundred play TDB, dealt trips, no quads.
https://youtube.com/shorts/79xzthgfyPc?si=K3alqF0UCD8ybyIx
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That is not as improbable as you would think.
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The emotions land differently when one WINS something that had a 1% chance of hitting!
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There is about a 1.0314% of getting ten or more quads in that situation.