100xOdds
100xOdds 
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February 29th, 2024 at 11:16:07 AM permalink
I'm playing 10play super times pay ddb

Google tells me the result for dealt aces with kicker. (1 in 217k)
I'm looking for the odds of being dealt any special quads with kicker.
ie: AAAA,2222,3333,4444 + kicker

Thx
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
ChesterDog
ChesterDog 
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100xOdds
February 29th, 2024 at 11:30:16 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

I'm playing 10play super times pay ddb

Google tells me the result for dealt aces with kicker. (1 in 217k)
I'm looking for the odds of being dealt any special quads with kicker.
ie: AAAA,2222,3333,4444 + kicker

Thx
link to original post



All those special hands are equally likely. So, the probability of being dealt any is about 1 in (217 / 4) k.

To be exact, the probability is 1 in 54,145.
Last edited by: ChesterDog on Feb 29, 2024
100xOdds
100xOdds 
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February 29th, 2024 at 12:36:00 PM permalink
Hmm.. the above 1 in 217k might be wrong?

odds of dealt Royal is 1 in 650k.
Quad aces with kicker has 12x more chances of getting the magical 5th card.
So 1 in 54k???

So any dealt special quad with kicker is 1 in 13.5k spins?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
ChesterDog
ChesterDog 
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100xOdds
February 29th, 2024 at 2:25:51 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Hmm.. the above 1 in 217k might be wrong?

odds of dealt Royal is 1 in 650k.
Quad aces with kicker has 12x more chances of getting the magical 5th card.
So 1 in 54k???

So any dealt special quad with kicker is 1 in 13.5k spins?
link to original post



Here are some exact probabilities.
Dealt royal: 1 in 649,740
Dealt AAAA with 2, 3, or 4: 1 in 216,580
Dealt AAAA, 2222, 3333, or 4444 with A, 2, 3, or 4: 1 in 54,145

That is interesting that those dealt special hands are 12 times as likely as a dealt royal. But it makes sense--there are 4 royals and there are 48 of those special quads.

A dealt special quad should happen once in 54,145 spins on average.
3for3
3for3
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February 29th, 2024 at 10:44:59 PM permalink
There are 4 ways to be dealt a royal: Clubs, Diamonds, etc.
There are 12 ways to be dealt AAAA with a kicker 2222,3333, etc.
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