100xOdds
100xOdds
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
  • Threads: 490
  • Posts: 2766
February 12th, 2015 at 6:38:15 AM permalink
Caesar's casino has an ongoing promo: 75TC gets you $10 bounceback. you can play everyday.

75tc = $750 coin in at bad vp tables. ($3375 coin-in at 9/6 JoB)

I've been playing single line $1 DW (97.6%). I'm waaaaaaaaaaay up because I hit quad 2's (+$1000).

there's a $0.25 10-coin triple play 'Tap House' DDB:
http://wizardofodds.com/games/video-poker/tables/tap-house-poker/

depending the multiplier table, this game is between 98% to 98.3%.
regular 9/5 ddb = 97.9%.

expected loses:
$1 dw (97.6%) = $18
$1 9/6 JoB (99.5%) = 16.88
$0.25 ddb (98.3%) = 12.75

Variance:
$1 dw = $5 coin-in
$0.25 10-coin Triple play DDB = $7.50 coin-in


From an expected loses standpoint, I should play this 98.3% ddb.
What about from a variance standpoint? (I'm only going to be playing 150 spins.)

Also, is there anyway to tell which multiplier table this Tap House game has?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 61
  • Posts: 8380
February 12th, 2015 at 6:48:07 AM permalink
You should play none of them because, even after the $10 in FP, you're still at -EV.
# Свободный Натан
tringlomane
tringlomane
Joined: Aug 25, 2012
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 5910
February 12th, 2015 at 7:31:35 AM permalink
Quote: RS

You should play none of them because, even after the $10 in FP, you're still at -EV.



If his goal is to make money from playing these games, I agree.

As for the variance thing. 3-play quarter ddb is likely worse than $1 deuces after the gimmick bet.

And another thing I hate about this and a few other igt games. You can't tell the average multiplier without sampling. I don't think tap house tells you in the help screen. I'd assume it's the lowest unless proven otherwise.

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