Quote:It is also interesting to note that in land casinos cash back does not apply to double-up bets but at Playtech Internet casinos you get 0.1% cash on all bets, including the double-up.
so, if we get cashback for double up, than double up is +ev game, but how to count an average he for 1, 2, 3 and etc double up?
"probability for each combination" * 0.5 Is it correct for 1 double up?
"probability for each combination" * 0.5 * 0.5 Is it correct for 2 double up?
how much double ups need for breakeven point on standard JoB? how it change if we have 0.125 cashback?
probably never at a Playtech casino. You will be back in 1 months complaining its rigged. Save yourself the time and problemsQuote: turbostatso, if we get cashback for double up, than double up is +ev game, but how to count an average he for 1, 2, 3 and etc double up?
"probability for each combination" * 0.5 Is it correct for 1 double up?
"probability for each combination" * 0.5 * 0.5 Is it correct for 2 double up?
how much double ups need for breakeven point on standard JoB? how it change if we have 0.125 cashback?
Tell me that after a few months of solid playQuote: turbostatI played on playtech. I trust him.
If you are willing to double up the same number of times (n) on each win, the formula for EV with cashback seems to reduce down to (1 + cashback % * n) x Regular Perfect Play EV + cashback %. A general formula for the variance seems a bit more complicated.
Of course your question is rhetorical in that you can do anything that you want. Yes, this gets you lower variance, but when you work out the math there are some logical inconsistencies. The variance is now only a little more than 3 times as large (63.25). There is some hurt to the EV if you follow the scenario above. First the edge moves from the tiny 0.0421% to an even more miniscule 0.008%. And if you are not going to double up a 125 coin win on quads, you probably wouldn't want the 3rd double on a full house, which bets 180 to try for 360 coins, much less try for the 4th double. And if you are not going to do that, your edge fully evaporates. Even the 4th double up on trips risks 120 coins to get 240. A 5th double up on Two Pairs or a 6th double up on a high pair puts you in the same situation.Quote: RSCouldn't you just opt out of doubling up on any high variance play (4oaks or higher)? It doesn't hurt you, just means you aren't getting as much cash back.
Certainly there are innumerable options, but to get to (and beyond) a breakeven EV, you're going to need to risk some serious bet sizes on 50/50 wagers.
sorry, but i don't understand your formula
Quote:(1 + cashback % * n) x Regular Perfect Play EV + cashback %
for 4 double up is looks like (1+0.1*4)*(-0.5)+0.1 Where I make a mistake?