TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 13th, 2015 at 6:51:14 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

Hole card strategy is way more powerful than count strategy. Unless there were nothing but tens and aces left, you just stand on A,9 vs 3,3.


Interesting statement, and it begs a question.
A,9 vs 3, or 3,3 if flashed hole card.
I not genius, I would play as A,9 vs dealer 6, and double both hands...
Would have won here maybe, but I'm not sure about all the implications over the long run.
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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December 13th, 2015 at 7:29:27 PM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Interesting statement, and it begs a question.
A,9 vs 3, or 3,3 if flashed hole card.
I not genius, I would play as A,9 vs dealer 6, and double both hands...
Would have won here maybe, but I'm not sure about all the implications over the long run.


A dealer 6 up is not the same as a 3 up 3 in the hole.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 13th, 2015 at 7:54:47 PM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

A dealer 6 up is not the same as a 3 up 3 in the hole.


I didn't say I was stupid......
I didn't say I was smart......
I would think, just gut thought, that dealer 3,3 would be better for player than dealer 3, hole card unknown.
Wouldn't really double two hands of 9,A either way.
Not unless I was playing in such a fashion that I have never admitted anywhere, and then it would depend on some other....data...
Am I wrong? No count, just 9,A vs dealer 3, or Dealer 3,3 knowing hole card. Which is better for player?
Over my pay grade...
Honest question.
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 13th, 2015 at 10:32:27 PM permalink
Just played a long 3-hour session -- hit and run stopped working as I ran into ridiculously negative variance - especially when it came to losing double downs -- which were at a premium -- having formerly retrieved 3500 of my losses, the first 2 hrs. 50 mins. of this most recent session saw that 3500 dwindle down to 500 - until, finally, I went on a tear, including being dealt 3 BJ's and winning 4 double downs -- I retrieved 3200 of the 3500 and the trip now stands at -9300
EvenBob
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2015 at 12:17:36 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

and the trip now stands at -9300



Hooray? Better than 12.5 down? At a loss
for words.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 14th, 2015 at 12:27:00 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Hooray? Better than 12.5 down? At a loss
for words.



At a loss for words because you wish I was losing even more Bob?
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2015 at 12:52:11 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

At a loss for words because you wish I was losing even more Bob?



You've worn me out, too much of a roller
coaster ride this trip. I'm exhausted.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
DMSCR
DMSCR
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December 14th, 2015 at 7:20:10 AM permalink
Talk about chip stack volatility. Wow. Well if you can stomach it ace. Hopefully this is just your play money and you do not need to live on it. If you are done with the trip then I feel bad if not I hope you can soldier on at least come back in some way.

Jeez talk about variance.
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2015 at 1:24:28 PM permalink
So what's the final tally, Ace. Not what you
were expecting a week ago today.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 14th, 2015 at 1:35:10 PM permalink
back to the hit and run style today and picked up 1600 - making my total regained thus far 4800 out of 12500 down

Not leaving until tonight though so let's see where this train leaves us!

Trip is -7700
DMSCR
DMSCR
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December 14th, 2015 at 5:09:06 PM permalink
ace,

Do you have a set time where you are staying in Vegas? Looks like you are staying in Vegas on a day to day basis where you leave when you want to leave.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 14th, 2015 at 5:38:49 PM permalink
Quote: DMSCR

ace,

Do you have a set time where you are staying in Vegas? Looks like you are staying in Vegas on a day to day basis where you leave when you want to leave.



Oh yeah always a set time - it's just that time has yet to arrive :)

Still playing some hit and run

currently have 4500 of 12500 back
Asswhoopermcdaddy
Asswhoopermcdaddy
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December 14th, 2015 at 5:50:16 PM permalink
Come on Ace you can do it! All this bj variance is hurting my eyes reading these posts. One big baccarat, craps and roulette bet please!
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2015 at 7:40:40 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Oh yeah always a set time - it's just that time has yet to arrive :)

Still playing some hit and run

currently have 4500 of 12500 back



So you're down 8K again?
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 14th, 2015 at 7:56:21 PM permalink
The trip is finished and the grand total loss was 8k
that makes my YTD -27k

If I want to go further back - to about 5 years ago when I first began reading about blackjack and going to casinos, I am virtually even

while a small consolation, it does help lessen the sting
EvenBob
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December 14th, 2015 at 8:08:14 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades



If I want to go further back - to about 5 years ago when I first began reading about blackjack and going to casinos, I am virtually even



Are you including the thousands in
comps you got in your calculation?
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
GWAE
GWAE
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December 14th, 2015 at 8:17:11 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Are you including the thousands in
comps you got in your calculation?



Don't forget the entertainment value.

In all seriousness, on these week long trips, if he wasn't in vegas or AC he may be in caubo sp? Spending mone instead of breaking even.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 14th, 2015 at 8:41:59 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Are you including the thousands in
comps you got in your calculation?



I never count comps as, I would not need the hotel rooms/meals/show tickets/etc. were I not at the casino to gamble
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 14th, 2015 at 10:39:12 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I never count comps as, I would not need the hotel rooms/meals/show tickets/etc. were I not at the casino to gamble


It is of value though. If you did not use the funds for gambling, what would you do with the time and money instead? That would be the true measure of the "cost". Also, recall that you were able to share some of your RFB with your family. Their entertainment should be factored in too.

It's too bad this trip didn't run positive BR wise, but it sounds like you had some exciting times, and didn't tilt into a huge hole (relatively). I enjoy reading and seeing your adventures, good and bad. Thanks for sharing. Next time, hopefully, will be your turn to catch the BJ's right out of the shuffle.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
EvenBob
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December 15th, 2015 at 12:30:30 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I never count comps as, I would not need the hotel rooms/meals/show tickets/etc. were I not at the casino to gamble



But you still got them and they are positive
EV. You are thousands ahead, well over 10
thousand, probably. If you are really even,
you did all of it with no out of pocket expense.
Or very little, anyway.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AxelWolf
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December 15th, 2015 at 12:47:08 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I never count comps as, I would not need the hotel rooms/meals/show tickets/etc. were I not at the casino to gamble

Is that including the 5k free play you won?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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December 15th, 2015 at 12:55:20 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

But you still got them and they are positive
EV. You are thousands ahead, well over 10
thousand, probably. If you are really even,
you did all of it with no out of pocket expense.
Or very little, anyway.

Bob did you really just say comps were positive EV?

I never though I would ever hear you say that.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
EvenBob
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December 15th, 2015 at 12:57:33 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Bob did you really just say comps were positive EV?

I never though I would ever hear you say that.



For me they are not, but for Ace, hell yes. I never
play long enough to get rated.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 15th, 2015 at 2:50:16 AM permalink
The "virtually even" calculation tallies blackjack wins/losses and certain free play I earned. Otherwise, no comps or the like were included.
aceofspades
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December 15th, 2015 at 2:51:33 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

It is of value though. If you did not use the funds for gambling, what would you do with the time and money instead? That would be the true measure of the "cost". Also, recall that you were able to share some of your RFB with your family. Their entertainment should be factored in too.

It's too bad this trip didn't run positive BR wise, but it sounds like you had some exciting times, and didn't tilt into a huge hole (relatively). I enjoy reading and seeing your adventures, good and bad. Thanks for sharing. Next time, hopefully, will be your turn to catch the BJ's right out of the shuffle.



Thank you Aye -- I hope to run nicely out of the gate on one (or more) of these trips (for a change)
AxelWolf
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December 15th, 2015 at 3:04:54 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

The "virtually even" calculation tallies blackjack wins/losses and certain free play I earned. Otherwise, no comps or the like were included.

Ok so the 5k drawing FP (or what ever it was) was an anomaly, so if you exclude that from your BJ play you are actually losing on BJ.

My point is......

SPEED COUNT SUCKS BIG DONKEY BALLS
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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December 15th, 2015 at 3:19:38 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

For me they are not, but for Ace, hell yes. I never
play long enough to get rated.

You don't have to play long on roulette. They tend to rate roulette very well even short sessions(They may even keep you logged in longer than you deserve, hell you can probably sit out a bunch of spins(I assume you jump in and out of betting depending what comes up and whatever pattern you are looking for) and get rated. They rate roulette good because its what they/we call a suckers game. Unless of course you are just red chipping it. In that case I agree. Why bother? However if I had a fool proof roulette system I wouldn't be red chipping it. Again why bother?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
RS
RS
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December 15th, 2015 at 3:24:17 AM permalink
Quote: Ibeatyouraces

A dealer 6 up is not the same as a 3 up 3 in the hole.



If you know the HC is a 3 (and a 3 is up), then they are the same....unless you're talking about EOR (two 3's are removed, instead of one 6). I know some hands are different, for example, a 6 up with 4 in the hole is treated differently than a T up with unkn in the hole (since dealer can pop an Ace for a 21 with 6,4 ... but cannot have an Ace in the hole when there's a T up [in US]). How is 6,X different than 3,3?
Wizardofnothing
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December 15th, 2015 at 4:22:41 AM permalink
Axel roulette can be beaten not sure why you are so down on it
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
RS
RS
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December 15th, 2015 at 4:30:24 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

Axel roulette can be beaten not sure why you are so down on it



Not the way EB says.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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December 15th, 2015 at 4:34:51 AM permalink
What does axel know anyway he still thinks you should tbhrow away the extra card when you get dealt quads instead of standing just to see the machine malfunction
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
RS
RS
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December 15th, 2015 at 4:43:01 AM permalink
Quote: Wizardofnothing

What does axel know anyway he still thinks you should tbhrow away the extra card when you get dealt quads instead of standing just to see the machine malfunction



What's wrong with wanting to see the machine malfunction?

Quote: AxelWolf

I was playing a Blackjack machine where 6 cards without busting is an automatic winner. I had a 6 card soft 21 (A3A222) so I couldn't lose no matter what I did next. I got cute and hit my 21, oops apparently it didn't know what to do because as soon as I pushed the hit button the machine locked up and malfunctioned. It went to a green screen and said call attendant.

It erased everything. Luckily the casino did pay me all my credits after explaining the situation.

They said they had to shut it down and call both gaming and the game manufacturer.

Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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December 15th, 2015 at 4:57:55 AM permalink
It's like thinking you can make money gambling
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
aceofspades
aceofspades
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December 15th, 2015 at 9:51:39 PM permalink
Axel - thanks for the editorial on Speed Count - most enlightening lol

Slept most of the day (I have weird issues with jet lag that totally throw me off)
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:09:58 AM permalink
If you dial 911 from a pay phone and ask to speak to Vegas authorities because your favorite Ace of Spades is apparently missing, and you try to elaborate, at length......
Somewhere in there I missed the point where the phone went dead....
Maybe it just wanted another quarter?
I decided to swiftly leave the area.
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
RaleighCraps
RaleighCraps
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:23:38 AM permalink
What's a 'pay phone' ?
Always borrow money from a pessimist; They don't expect to get paid back ! Be yourself and speak your thoughts. Those who matter won't mind, and those that mind, don't matter!
Greasyjohn
Greasyjohn
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:28:50 AM permalink
Quote: RaleighCraps

What's a 'pay phone' ?



It's that thing Robert De Niro's character was standing in when he heard the news that Joe Pesci's character got whacked in the movie Goodfellas.
DMSCR
DMSCR
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:54:03 AM permalink
Quote: RaleighCraps

What's a 'pay phone' ?



Show N' Tell of the Day.

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=robert+de+niro+heat+payphone
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 17th, 2015 at 7:41:00 AM permalink
Quote: DMSCR

Show N' Tell of the Day.

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=robert+de+niro+heat+payphone


Bad link.
Try again.
I wanted to see....
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 17th, 2015 at 7:52:11 AM permalink
Tried that link again, went to even stranger places this time.
Exactly what meds are you on anyway? Joke, not insult, Ha-Ha and all that.....
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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December 17th, 2015 at 8:15:38 AM permalink
Quote: RaleighCraps

What's a 'pay phone' ?


There is actually still one of these in the circuit court building in my county.
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
DMSCR
DMSCR
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December 17th, 2015 at 8:37:37 AM permalink
Quote: TwoFeathersATL

Tried that link again, went to even stranger places this time.
Exactly what meds are you on anyway? Joke, not insult, Ha-Ha and all that.....



The Ganja ish soooo gwwoood.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sc5_UP8T7kw
TwoFeathersATL
TwoFeathersATL
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December 17th, 2015 at 10:11:06 AM permalink
Quote: RaleighCraps

What's a 'pay phone' ?

Actually, just a handful of years ago, there were a lot of advertisements about buying, owning, servicing, getting seriously (shush, don't tell everyone ), seriously rich with pay phones.

I was not a part of that play, I swear....
Youuuuuu MIGHT be a 'rascal' if.......(nevermind ;-)...2F
muleyvoice
muleyvoice
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December 17th, 2015 at 3:02:35 PM permalink
Late 1950's, at intersection a block from home. 4 corners , 4 outside payphones, 1 corner, a church, other corner 2 pay phones in lobby of apartment building, another corner, diner, 1 payphone inside, other corner, drug store, 2 pay phone booths inside.
Next year went from a nickel to a dime. SIGH
I could no longer get free dial tone by hitting coin return at right moment to also get nickle back.
GWAE
GWAE
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December 17th, 2015 at 5:41:56 PM permalink
Ah the good Ole days. I remember being a teen and never having money to call home so you would call the operator and the phone wasn't working and the OP would connect you.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
muleyvoice
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:01:55 PM permalink
Did you ever call home and ask for yourself on a person to person call, to let loved ones know you had a safe trip ? Listen in on a party line ? Walk in a room and have somebody say " SHHH. I am talking long distance LOL Of course that was an analog world. Now telecommunication is digital, travels on light waves, and now American telemarketing, answer centers, xray reading, etc is farmed out of USA.
GWAE
GWAE
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December 17th, 2015 at 6:33:47 PM permalink
Can't remember the exact mechanics but there were times when you would go over your time and when you hung up the phone would ring and it would be the operator asking for more money.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
WOVShepherdDon
WOVShepherdDon
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December 18th, 2015 at 4:02:27 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Can't remember the exact mechanics but there were times when you would go over your time and when you hung up the phone would ring and it would be the operator asking for more money.



You have it exactly correct.
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