tringlomane
tringlomane
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:06:52 AM permalink
Quote: RS

I'll run the $5k FSP for 10% :)


But seriously, just run it on video BJ. Rather take 96% with little variance than 99.54% with high variance. At least, I assume most would. And you already know BJ!



They might have better electronic BJ units than that...don't those BJ machines with the pretty electronic dealers take FSP? If he can find a 3 to 2 unit...then that would be a good call.

As for myself, I would definitely have to grind some of it off playing 3 play 8/6 Bonus Deluxe w/Double Super Times Pay for quarters (98.99%) max. Love Super Times Pay. Strategy is basically like JoB for that game too.

I definitely don't recommend something like the $5000 slot. The EV may be okay, but I recommend low variance for situations like this. Unless you're really okay getting nothing from the freeplay (I wouldn't be).

Congrats on the big prize to turn it around!
1BB
1BB
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:14:29 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I will likely wait until next trip so I can study VP and obtain a strategy card



I would play it now. A $5 machine with five credits a hand will only be 200 hands. Most of these will be common sense. The one or two that you aren't sure of could still win no matter how they are played. Is it really worth waiting for a one time very small sample?
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
Venthus
Venthus
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:41:09 AM permalink
I just pull up the WoO site on my phone and refer to it for any non-obvious hands. (Admittedly, I prefer Deuces Wild, which an experienced player could probably manage perfectly while blackout drunk...)

How do you even manage super-denom slots? Go to the cage, deposit, and ask them to print a ticket? The image of having to feed 50 hundreds in per pull is rather amusing though.
tringlomane
tringlomane
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:46:18 AM permalink
Quote: Venthus

I just pull up the WoO site on my phone and refer to it for any non-obvious hands. (Admittedly, I prefer Deuces Wild, which an experienced player could probably manage perfectly while blackout drunk...)



JoB is still a bit easier to me...and I like to play VP drunk...lol But I have a soft spot for Deuces, why I'm not sure...I have never hit deuces on that game for quarters or higher... :-\
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
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January 18th, 2015 at 4:57:10 AM permalink
Quote: tringlomane

I definitely don't recommend something like the $5000 slot. The EV may be okay, but I recommend low variance for situations like this. Unless you're really okay getting nothing from the freeplay (I wouldn't be).



It seems to me with all -EV games, that you have your best chances of winning by "one spin" or only a few, but also your best chances of losing it all. That latter chance has to be taken into consideration, math be damned!
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
DRich
DRich
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January 18th, 2015 at 7:59:33 AM permalink
Ace, I live in Vegas and will pay you $4000 cash for it.
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:49:36 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Ace, I live in Vegas and will pay you $4000 cash for it.



PM
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:49:56 AM permalink
Good morning forum - where will the day lead today...?
terapined
terapined
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:52:21 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Good morning forum - where will the day lead today...?



More BJ?
Just a wild guess :-)
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:57:38 AM permalink
Quote: terapined

More BJ?
Just a wild guess :-)




Haha sounds about right
EvenBob
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:02:45 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Ace, I live in Vegas and will pay you $4000 cash for it.



That's what I'd do, sell it to somebody
who can get max ev out of it.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
terapined
terapined
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:10:15 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Haha sounds about right



How about the old EL
Would love to hear some stories from there.
I'm not a BJ player per se , but due to reading your reports, played a ton of BJ at the El last month just for fun.
Would like to hear your impressions.
You get Limo service, take a ride to the Ol El :-)
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
sc15
sc15
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:49:10 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

That's what I'd do, sell it to somebody
who can get max ev out of it.



Getting paid 80% for it is a terrible deal though. You'd get more than that by running it thru a terrible reel slot machine.
RS
RS
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:50:53 AM permalink
Quote: sc15

Getting paid 80% for it is a terrible deal though. You'd get more than that by running it thru a terrible reel slot machine.



In EV, sure. But variance can be a funny thing. Plus, it's easy.
sc15
sc15
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:56:02 AM permalink
Quote: RS

In EV, sure. But variance can be a funny thing. Plus, it's easy.



Yeah, but this is a guy who's playing up to $500 / hand on blackjack.

Even if he plays poorly on a good VP machine, or plays a poor paying VBJ, he can get > 95%.
Throwing away $750 in EV is way too much to save an hour of time.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 1:26:46 PM permalink
Just lost every hand in 3 shuffles of double deck with one other player at table
EvenBob
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:44:33 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Just lost every hand in 3 shuffles of double deck with one other player at table



Where are you at now, this was 2 hours ago.
You were down 6K last night, you have to be
down at least 8K if you lost all these hands
too.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:51:48 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Where are you at now, this was 2 hours ago.
You were down 6K last night, you have to be
down at least 8K if you lost all these hands
too.




Sat and played double deck for quite a while...could not catch a run...could not win with 20
The ridiculous number of hands where the dealer didn't bust are too many to list here

I was down 9k


I decided to sit at a shoe game and won 1k back very quickly

I am now taking a break to drink some water

Trip is now -8k
(Still have 5kFSP)
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 3:53:33 PM permalink
Clapping
RS
RS
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January 18th, 2015 at 4:05:39 PM permalink
Have you sold that $5K in FP? If not I'll be interested in making an offer.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 4:10:51 PM permalink
Whistling
JohnnyQ
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January 18th, 2015 at 5:35:55 PM permalink
Wow, very cool !

I would advise a little caution. I assume the casino has some fine print some where preventing the 5K-FSP from being bought and sold. So I would suggest:

a) contacting the Wizard and have him meet you to help with perfect play on VP ! Surely he would consult, if available, for $ 250 per hour ( ? ).

b) just print out his simplified strategy for 9/J JoB and follow that closely.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 5:37:04 PM permalink
Quote: JohnnyQ

Wow, very cool !

I would advise a little caution. I assume the casino has some fine print some where preventing the 5K-FSP from being bought and sold. So I would suggest:

a) contacting the Wizard and have him meet you to help with perfect play on VP ! Surely he would consult, if available, for $ 250 per hour ( ? ).

b) just print out his simplified strategy for 9/J JoB and follow that closely.




Of course
terapined
terapined
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January 18th, 2015 at 5:45:20 PM permalink
According to VPFREE2
Aria 9/6 JOB 99.54 with perfect strategy , three 1 play Slants in the high limit room. $25, $50, $100

Gamble,100 x 5 for 500 a hand or
milk it 25 x5 for 125 a hand.
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
JohnnyQ
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:01:09 PM permalink
Good luck and it will be fun hearing what you decided to play, why, and how you did on the EV !
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
sc15
sc15
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:03:57 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

But EV is not a guarantee



How can you say that and still gamble?

By definition what you're doing in vegas is not a guarantee.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:08:00 PM permalink
Quote: sc15

How can you say that and still gamble?

By definition what you're doing in vegas is not a guarantee.




Very good point - I meant as far as slots or video poker with which I have nary any experience
terapined
terapined
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:20:10 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Very good point - I meant as far as slots or video poker with which I have nary any experience



Ask your host to print out a JOB 9/6 simple strategy from the wiz's odds site.
Or, if they have a business center, do it yourself.
When somebody doesn't believe me, I could care less. Some get totally bent out of shape when not believed. Weird. I believe very little on all forums
sc15
sc15
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:28:16 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Very good point - I meant as far as slots or video poker with which I have nary any experience



Yeah, but people here have already told you how to cash it out and what kind of %s you can expect :)

I'm strictly a tables APer but I still cash out my own slot play without losing more than 5% in value. (And that's with minimal studying. It's rare I get slot play so being 1 or 2% under optimal is fine w/ me)
RS
RS
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:29:45 PM permalink
Quote: terapined

Ask your host to print out a JOB 9/6 simple strategy from the wiz's odds site.
Or, if they have a business center, do it yourself.



I asked my host at the El Cortez to print out the illustrious 18 onto an index card for me.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 6:33:27 PM permalink
I was going to bet 1k on the Patriots if the line was 6.5
It was at 7 so I didn't bet it

Ace strikes again!
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 8:59:16 PM permalink
Pete Rose and his wife playing a 6D main floor game at Aria
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:29:55 PM permalink
Are you up, down, what's the score. You
leave tomorrow.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 10:33:57 PM permalink
Just played a session - lost 1k really quick
It then took about an hour to get it back plus another 250


Trip is -6250
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:03:10 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Head to the high limit slots and play it
down and when the 5K is gone cash
out the profit. Do NOT continue to
play once it's gone. You could walk
away with a couple grand.

LOL SERIOUSLY?

it's worth far more than 2 grand without getting lucky, I would guarantee I would have above $4100 or more.

Ace I missed this.

I'm not going to start a bidding war or cut down anyone and kill the value for fellow APs, however I'm willing to participate with RS and Drich in the purchase at $4100.

It might be worth more, however there's time involved also a small risk the casino could get upset and disqualify the FP.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:07:42 PM permalink
Not selling sorry
tringlomane
tringlomane
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:14:49 PM permalink
Quote: RS

I asked my host at the El Cortez to print out the illustrious 18 onto an index card for me.



LOL

Hope the freeplay grind goes well for you Ace!
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:31:30 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

Not selling sorry



Absolutely not selling. Good move..
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 18th, 2015 at 11:57:56 PM permalink
Just played a mini-session and picked up a little bit towards the "getting back to even fund"

Trip is -5500
Baccaratfrom79
Baccaratfrom79
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January 19th, 2015 at 3:19:40 AM permalink
Good luck on the road back! My old host of many years is over there, Johnny F. He used to be at The Bellagio since the 'B' opened and he continually jokes with me about the aura and luck of the players there versus the Bellagio. Everyone I know that went to The Aria found it extremely difficult to stay positive. Maybe they just didn't go enough or the place changed the way they played? I am referring to the HL tables games only. Strange? Anyway stay positive thinking good luck!
Bac79=Hazardous Material and Chemical person correcting other's mistakes. Non AP'er, I can't count cards, low intelligence. Sprinkles magical dust on the cards. Has a lucky monkey. Baby also has a green one. Sum it up: "It's okay just blame me, it's all my fault"! ( No one believes me--so I chose to stop posting)
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 19th, 2015 at 10:51:48 AM permalink
Just played first session of the day -- just a mini-session of two shuffles of 2D

The first shuffle took 700 from me
Had a crazy hand of:

3,3 v dealer 7
Split 3 dealt another 3
Split 3 dealt another 3
First hand: 3, dealt 8 doubled got 8 for 19
Second hand: 3, dealt 7 doubled got 6 for 17
Third hand: 3, dealt 10 hit for a 5 for 18
Fourth hand: 3, dealt 10 hit for a Jack - busted
Dealer had 7, turned over and Ace for 18


Second shuffle went much better and I won 4 double downs

Trip is now -4750
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 19th, 2015 at 10:56:06 AM permalink
When does your plane leave?
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 19th, 2015 at 10:59:41 AM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

When does your plane leave?



I have some time -- are you seeking more schaden
EvenBob
EvenBob
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January 19th, 2015 at 11:23:55 AM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I have some time -- are you seeking more schaden



With your slot win you have broken even,
no schaden there. The best part of visiting
Vegas is leaving Vegas.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
Romes
Romes
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January 19th, 2015 at 11:27:55 AM permalink
Nice hit on the FSP, Ace. If you don't want to share, then no worries... Otherwise, do you mind sharing your plan for it? I would assume it's simple: Find out what the best machine to play on is, and learn BS for that machine.

Good variance to any final day action!
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
aceofspades
aceofspades
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January 19th, 2015 at 11:49:44 AM permalink
Quote: Romes

Nice hit on the FSP, Ace. If you don't want to share, then no worries... Otherwise, do you mind sharing your plan for it? I would assume it's simple: Find out what the best machine to play on is, and learn BS for that machine.

Good variance to any final day action!



I'm trying to decide whether or not to shoot for the moon and attempt to go home even
I did get all room and food for "free" in Vegas for a week so that should count for something lol
Romes
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January 19th, 2015 at 12:01:13 PM permalink
Quote: aceofspades

I'm trying to decide whether or not to shoot for the moon and attempt to go home even
I did get all room and food for "free" in Vegas for a week so that should count for something lol


Well that's always nice =). If you're still looking for input, my two cents would be to find the best payout JoB machine in the high limit slot area and plug away 5 coin per go (someone suggested the $5 machine as you could burn the $5k in about 200 hands). All you'd have to do is play the 200 hands using the basic strategy and mathematically you should have just about $5k when you finish =P. That being said, if you do hit something for a big win I would assume you could instantly cash out the winnings and continue to play the free play as a free roll!

When does your plane leave? Did you double check the FSP won't expire within any time fame, etc? I worry for you Ace! lol
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
OnceDear
OnceDear
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January 19th, 2015 at 12:03:10 PM permalink
Thanks Ace. Great to read your Trip reports.
Great too, that you don't give us any BS about incredible counting prowess and that you seem to really enjoy it, win or lose.

What I would like to know is how you record or recall your hands so well. I saw once that you mentioned using your phone. How do you do that discretely? Maybe PM me if it's something you don't want to reveal to all. I'd keep shtum :o)

Good luck with that shot at the moon.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
aceofspades
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January 19th, 2015 at 12:06:55 PM permalink
Quote: Romes

Well that's always nice =). If you're still looking for input, my two cents would be to find the best payout JoB machine in the high limit slot area and plug away 5 coin per go (someone suggested the $5 machine as you could burn the $5k in about 200 hands). All you'd have to do is play the 200 hands using the basic strategy and mathematically you should have just about $5k when you finish =P. That being said, if you do hit something for a big win I would assume you could instantly cash out the winnings and continue to play the free play as a free roll!

When does your plane leave? Did you double check the FSP won't expire within any time fame, etc? I worry for you Ace! lol




FSP expires in May of 2016

Leaving town in a few hours - awwwwww Vegas I will miss thee
aceofspades
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January 19th, 2015 at 12:08:13 PM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

Thanks Ace. Great to read your Trip reports.
Great too, that you don't give us any BS about incredible counting prowess and that you seem to really enjoy it, win or lose.

What I would like to know is how you record or recall your hands so well. I saw once that you mentioned using your phone. How do you do that discretely? Maybe PM me if it's something you don't want to reveal to all. I'd keep shtum :o)

Good luck with that shot at the moon.




The casinos have only stopped me from using phone if I am makin a phone call. Otherwise, when each shuffle is over, I make a note of the high/low-lights of that shuffle and, since I am mostly playing 2D, it is not much to remember :-)
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