August 3rd, 2020 at 3:17:36 AM
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I've been using the Wizard's counting system for the dragon (3 card 7) bet, and it occurred to me that if the count is favorable for a dragon bet, doesn't that make it (more) UNfavorable for a banker bet, given the higher likelihood of a push? And in that case, would a high negative count for the dragon ever result in a +EV banker bet?
I was hoping to find where someone had already analyzed this situation, but my search is failing me.
I was hoping to find where someone had already analyzed this situation, but my search is failing me.
August 3rd, 2020 at 7:25:05 AM
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You can just bet the DRAGON.
August 3rd, 2020 at 7:50:04 AM
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I did a simulation of 25 million shoes, and no counts between -37 and +37 were +EV for either player or bank.
August 3rd, 2020 at 10:25:47 AM
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Thanks for doing this; is there any way I could see the outcome of the sim by EV (-EV) per true count? Was it significantly affected at all?
August 3rd, 2020 at 2:54:30 PM
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Quote: GuyIncognitoThanks for doing this; is there any way I could see the outcome of the sim by EV (-EV) per true count? Was it significantly affected at all?
Nothing short of a true count of +/- 17 had any real effect.