I still contend that there are event sequences where heads will be less than 50%.
I think the word you refer to is 'Troll'
I know forum rule one forbids 'All personal insults' and I've seen cases where the accusation 'Troll' has been deemed to be such a personal insult. I don't agree with that implied extension to the rule, but hey, I don't set the rules or their interpretation.
So, Like DD, I will not accuse the OP of being a troll. I will not attack the writer, I will attack the writing:-
Every link, chart, table and bit of narrative that I've seen from the OP has been absurdly wrong and unsupportable. He refuses to desist in posting abject stupidity.
So, I'm going to block the OP, so as to no longer see his posts.
I also block Trolls..
Watch yourself. This comes very close to crossing the line. The OP has at least been polite and seems to be honestly trying to debate this in a civil manner. I think an apology to the OP is in order.
It all adds up to around 40% as shown in charts linked below. Flip sequences have different odds than individual flip outcomes.
I like where you're heading Mike. This is where I was going to go too. Once a conversation reaches this point, it's time for practicality and put up or shut up in my opinion:Quote: Wizard
Unless it is a biased coin, you are wrong. This is not even worthy of debate. Coins simply don't have a memory. Since the departure of AlanMendelson, you will probably not find anyone to take your side here on that.
If you think you can get 60% right flipping a coin, why don't you prove us all wrong by making millions using the same strategy betting red and black in roulette.
Read the link below where a statistics professor explains this to a hedge fund guy who ultimately concedes the point. We're not talking about biased coins. This is a sampling issue and more similar to a Monty Hall type problem,