Toss One 21

I saw Toss One 21 on my recent trip to Reno at the Atlantis. It is a simple blackjack-based game requiring no skill other than forming the best blackjack hand with three out of four cards. Please click the link for my full explanation and analysis.

As always, I welcome questions, comments, and especially corrections.

The question for the poll is which statements do you agree with?

Page looks good. I could see a new dealer pushing on a toss card tie on accident, which would be enough to give the player a small edge!

I don't think Trump is over 250 pounds. I think he's been wearing a bulky bulletproof vest under his clothes since early 2016, and had them tailored to try and hide it. Jmho.

It seems countable - did it use a CSM?

Since there is no doubling or splitting the variance flat-betting must be very low with the likelihood of a losing vs winning session very high. Meanwhile the HE is higher than you can usually find about anywhere with BJ.

How's that for buzzkill?

I'd be willing to give it a try.

Are you sure that two cards that total ten, along with an ace, isn't a BJ?

Not that I want to encourage it, but you might want to add a line indicating the HE if a BJ pays 6:5.

Also, your tables need titles.

Tough to see a game like this without any skill or decision making being successful in the BJ space. It has the illusion at first, but I assume after a hand or two the people will realize they're not doing anything.

Thanks for the comments. To respond:

As I recall, it used a continuous shuffler, like they have on Three Card Poker.

Yes, I'm sure about what counts as a blackjack. To quote the rule card, "A player can have a Blackjack by getting an Ace and two ten value cards. They [sic] will get paid 3 to 2 immediately."

BTW, this is one grammatical error that drives me crazy. "They" should refer to two or more people. I know the alternative brings up the he/she dilemma. Personally, when the gender is unknown or doesn't matter, I go with "he," and the feminists can put that in their pipes and smoke it. Sorry for the rant.

Regarding Trump's weight, this article says the doctor letter he submitted on the Dr. Oz show claimed 236. However, I think he has put on at least 14 pounds since then. Of course, the bulletproof vest theory could be true too.

Since the player and dealer each get four, and only four cards, why are there so many less permutations for a dealer bust than a player bust? I would assume the odds of getting a hand that cannot be manipulated into a total of 21 or less would be the same for both parties.

Quote: Ayecarumba

Since the player and dealer each get four, and only four cards, why are there so many less permutations for a dealer bust than a player bust? I would assume the odds of getting a hand that cannot be manipulated into a total of 21 or less would be the same for both parties.

Because if the player busts first, he loses. It doesn't matter what the dealer has in that situation.

Quote: Wizard

Because if the player busts first, he loses. It doesn't matter what the dealer has in that situation.

Would it be better to put the "Dealer Busts" permutations into "Player Beats Dealer", since a dealer bust means an automatic win for the player?

Quote: Wizard

BTW, this is one grammatical error that drives me crazy. "They" should refer to two or more people. I know the alternative brings up the he/she dilemma. Personally, when the gender is unknown or doesn't matter, I go with "he," and the feminists can put that in their pipes and smoke it. Sorry for the rant.

Can't pass by that tangent. I get why someone wouldn't like this usage of "they", but to call it a "grammatical error" seems to be stretching it. Both Oxford and Cambridge consider it correct:

Oxford Dictionary

Quote: Wikipedia

The Cambridge Grammar of the English Language discusses the prescriptivist argument that they is a plural pronoun and that the use of they with a singular "antecedent" therefore violates the rule of agreement between antecedent and pronoun, but takes the view that they, though primarily plural, can also be singular in a secondary extended sense, comparable to the purportedly extended sense of he to include female gender.

In fact, I could not find any source that labels this usage as a mistake, though there is some debate on stylistic considerations.

Quote: Canyonero

Oxford Dictionary

Ouch! Well, I was always taught that "they" refers to two or more people. I think that Oxford Dictionary has caved. Evidently, when an error is repeated enough times, it becomes acceptable or believed.

Here is the rack card.