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Wizard
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Wizard
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February 24th, 2015 at 9:39:29 AM permalink
This post concerns the following magic trick by David Blaine.



This trick may not have much magical integrity but it is worth the 1:47 of your time for the girl in the pink blouse.

The question for the forum is how do you think he does it? Let me elaborate on the choices a bit:

This trick is legitimate: Blaine could repeat this trick anywhere anytime.
Trial and error: He kept doing it until it worked, perhaps editing out some losing spins.
Audience plants: Those girls were actresses who made the "prediction" after the spins and they put the prediction first in the editing room.
Betting system: Blaine knows a winning betting system and for $99 I'll tell it to you too.
Other: He did it another way, which I shall explain.
I know the secret and won't tell: A good magician never reveals the secret.
I believe that Dennis Kucinich saw a UFO: Rep. Dennis Kucinich Acknowledges UFO Sighting.

The probability of this trick working by blind luck is (18/38)^5 = 2.38%, or 1 in 41.9.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
Mosca
Mosca
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February 24th, 2015 at 10:00:12 AM permalink
He kept doing it until it worked. Probably a couple dozen times he lost $100, big deal. The one time it works, "They have a great story," and he has his bit for his TV show.
NO KILL I
pew
pew
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February 24th, 2015 at 10:56:25 AM permalink
If it's trial and error wouldn't that be an awful lot of work in front of a LOT of people? Wouldn't do much for his rep.
vendman1
vendman1
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:20:53 AM permalink
Hmm I'm less interested in how he did it. Than in where/when/how it happened. I have a couple of issues. One you never see the ball spin or drop. The dealer just announces winners, there don't appear to be other players or any other action on the table they are filming. The whole thing could just be a nice piece of reality TV. In other words not much real about it.

Two, what casino just lets this guy and a couple of hotties into the casino and start filming an active roulette table in the middle of a busy casino? Not buying it. They would have needed, camera people, lights and sound, makeup etc. No way this just "happened". So the whole thing is just some set up. Like all magic. Who cares. Still it's fun to watch I guess. I feel sorry for the people who are now going to try this in the casino for real.

edit: Ok upon further review I see another girl at the end of the table who may or may not be placing a wager. Can't tell for sure. Still no one notices this is being filmed or seems to care? There is one other guy leaning against the post. But no other onlookers. I smell set-up.
Gabes22
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:29:57 AM permalink
Furthermore, if he could multiply his money by 32 on command with 5 quick spins of the roulette wheel, he might quit the whole magic thing and make that his profession
A flute with no holes is not a flute, a donut with no holes is a danish
EvenBob
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:45:53 AM permalink
Quote: vendman1

Hmm I'm less interested in how he did it. Than in where/when/how it happened. I have a couple of issues. One you never see the ball spin or drop. .



You also never see any numbers on the
tote board, it's flashing all the time. It's
a set up, it's not even magic. It's all
pretend for the camera.
"It's not enough to succeed, your friends must fail." Gore Vidal
Zcore13
Zcore13
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:45:56 AM permalink
Quote: pew

If it's trial and error wouldn't that be an awful lot of work in front of a LOT of people? Wouldn't do much for his rep.



He has a lower than average "rep" in the business. Many if not most of his street magic tricks are filmed over and over again with different people and only the ones that succeed are shown on tv. If you watch magicians like on the show "Fool Us" with Penn and Teller, these are talented sleight of hand and manipulating magicians. Blain is a tv magician and stunt guy.


ZCore13
I am an employee of a Casino. All the personal opinions I post are my own and do not represent the opinions of the Casino or Tribe that I work for.
Mosca
Mosca
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:49:01 AM permalink
Quote: Zcore13

He has a lower than average "rep" in the business. Many if not most of his street magic tricks are filmed over and over again with different people and only the ones that succeed are shown on tv. If you watch magicians like on the show "Fool Us" with Penn and Teller, these are talented sleight of hand and manipulating magicians. Blain is a tv magician and stunt guy.


ZCore13



Fool Us is an awesome show.
NO KILL I
EdCollins
EdCollins
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February 24th, 2015 at 11:51:46 AM permalink
Because the video isn't presented in one continuous cut, I vote for audience plants / video editing manipulation. This also would be faster and potentially much less expensive than trial and error.

I can't think of anything David Blaine has done that's impressed me, and this trick doesn't change that.
Doc
Doc
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February 24th, 2015 at 12:15:25 PM permalink
I suspect that putting up enough money is all that's required to get the casino to let you film in their establishment.

I also suspect that if Ahigh were to loan me the use of his craps table (I'm far too cheap to pay "enough" money to a casino), then I could make a video of someone rolling 18 yo-elevens in a row. And I could even make that happen on the very first 18 rolls that appear on my video. Would that make me a big-time magician?

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