sodawater
sodawater
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February 7th, 2013 at 11:11:22 PM permalink
Playing against a dealer-banker who is using the Foxwoods house way, and you are playing optimally:

1. Which is the best hand you can hold that does not play a pair? Name the 4 tiles and the set.

2. Which is the worst hand you can hold that does play a pair? name the 4 tiles and the set.


Obviously I was playing around with the WoO super long hand ranking page, but no cheating!
JB
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JB
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February 8th, 2013 at 1:33:18 AM permalink
Before looking up the answers, here are my guesses:

1) I will assume that "does not play a pair" allows for situations where a pair gets split. If so, I will guess paired Teen, 9, and L8 to make Gong/Wong. If split pairs are not allowed, then I will guess Teen, Day, 9, and H8 to make Gong/Wong.

2) I will guess the pair of L4's with H6 and L6, since it reduces the chances of the dealer having a zero-point low hand.

Here is a trivia question in return:

3) What 9/9 hand has the lowest return?
sodawater
sodawater
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February 8th, 2013 at 1:50:05 AM permalink
Quote: JB

Before looking up the answers, here are my guesses:

1) I will assume that "does not play a pair" allows for situations where a pair gets split. If so, I will guess paired Teen, 9, and L8 to make Gong/Wong.



This is correct! I thought most people would guess wong/wong is the answer, but it's only sixth-best. Your answer of teen gong with low 8/teen wong is best, but also both day gong with low 8/teen wong and day gong with high 8/teen wong are better as well! I guess because it's harder for the dealer to have a pair. And then both teen-9 with low 7/ teen wong and teen 9 with high 7/ teen wong are better than wong/wong.

1. teen gong with low 8/teen wong -- 0.764344
2. day gong with low 8/teen wong -- 0.760117
2. day gong with high 8/teen wong -- 0.760117
4. teen 9 with low 7/teen wong -- 0.759768
4. teen 9 with high 7/teen wong -- 0.759768
6. wong/wong -- 0.759717

Quote: JB


2) I will guess the pair of L4's with H6 and L6, since it reduces the chances of the dealer having a zero-point low hand.



Incorrect! Your guess actually provides a positive return, even with commission! The worst hand that plays a pair is mixed 5s with 9 and 11. Return is a terrible -0.181245. My guess before looking it up was mixed 5s with l4 and l6, since l6 is a worse tile on its own than the 11 or 9 to use up so the dealer can't have it. But that hand is slightly better at -0.179438.

Quote: JB


Here is a trivia question in return:

3) What 9/9 hand has the lowest return?



Total guess in the dark here, but maybe low 4, 5, low 10, 9?
sodawater
sodawater
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February 8th, 2013 at 1:55:01 AM permalink
3) What 9/9 hand has the lowest return?



Looked up the answer... GJ, GJ, L6, H6, right?

My guess was way off... but I would have never guessed a double GJ hand was the lowest because that's such a powerful tile.
sodawater
sodawater
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February 8th, 2013 at 2:21:46 AM permalink
Another question I thought of, same parameters with the Foxwoods dealer-banker and playing optimally, is what is the worst hand you can have when you split a pair?

I can't even figure out how to look this up but the worst I have so far is either pair of 7s with low 10 and high 10 for -0.104889.
JB
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JB
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February 8th, 2013 at 3:21:32 AM permalink
Paired Gee Joon with 6-6 is correct for the worst 9/9 play.

Paired 7s with 10-10 is the worst pair-split situation, and paired 5s with 9-11 is the worst unsplit pair situation.
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