I understand the idea why these hands should take the full 4-times bet, the game simply is a one-to-one match up with the dealer. However, I just can't take that chance on some starting hands without seeing the flop. I only choose to play the 4-times down with those hands with a 3-2 advantage or better. Wizard, how much additional advantage am I giving the house by playing this strategy?
I have seen people playing pretty close to the optimum strategy and get killed by the results (again, jack/10 doesn't hold up that often). If anyone has successes or horror stories by playing the "correct way", I would love to hear it.
Quote: 13Doc13I would like to start off saying that most people who view this site and the Wizard's original website are more inclined to understand the math behind many of the games which they choose to play. We are the ones who are ALWAYS ridiculed for not playing side bets, playing modest amounts and usually do far better than most other people at the tables. Simply put, we trust the math. However, this game REALLY scares me in this regard. I have played enough in the poker room and home games to see that jack/10 off suit or queen/8 simply do not get the job done!
I understand the idea why these hands should take the full 4-times bet, the game simply is a one-to-one match up with the dealer. However, I just can't take that chance on some starting hands without seeing the flop. I only choose to play the 4-times down with those hands with a 3-2 advantage or better. Wizard, how much additional advantage am I giving the house by playing this strategy?
I have seen people playing pretty close to the optimum strategy and get killed by the results (again, jack/10 doesn't hold up that often). If anyone has successes or horror stories by playing the "correct way", I would love to hear it.
I don't know the best strategy for the game, but here is my thought: If you want to deviate from the optimum, the time to do it is when you are in bad position. Stick with it in good position like 'last to speak and no one has opened yet'. Perhaps you've factored that already.
First of all, before you do anything else, check out http://www.discountgambling.net
Back? You probably understand things a lot more. To shorten things, let me just say that J-10o and Q-8o are negative e.v. starting hands. The reason you bet them 4x is because you lose less in the long run. Kinda like splitting 8's in blackjack. Mr. Discountgambling gives you some good collusion strategies for playing these types of hands, too.
Just have faith in the strategy, and you'll be fine. I put in a lot of hours at this game, and do quite well. In fact, I just played it today.
Quote: Lhornbk70And no, I never bet the trips anymore, especially since this casino only pays 4-1 on straight instead of 5-1.
Actually, the best paytable is 50-40-30-9-7-4(straight)-3
If you are lucky enough to find that table, play it hard. The only places I've seen this schedule was MGM Grand Detroit and Paris/Bally's Las Vegas (both of them offered it).
Why? It's still a 0.9% house edge. Great for a side bet, but still an overall loser. Also, I'm not sure, but I don't think MGM Detroit still offers it.Quote: TiltpoulActually, the best paytable is 50-40-30-9-7-4(straight)-3
If you are lucky enough to find that table, play it hard.
Quote: IbeatyouracesThis games gets quite funny when you are hole-carding it and raise 4x with 3/2 offsuit then get a "lucky" win with only a pair of 2's. You get some wierd looks when your cards are turned over and the others see this.
I understand if you don't want to reveal any of your "secrets" here, but I am curious: assuming you can see both dealer cards, is the correct strategy simply to go in 4x on any hand that beats the dealer right out of the box? For example to raise on 2/3 I have to assume that you knew the dealer had 2/7 or 2/8 offsuit.
(edit: silly me, I just realized you said you won with a pair of deuces...make that "you knew the dealer had 3/4 or 3/8 off suit." If that's the case, have you worked out your own strategy to use when you can see one or both of the dealer's cards?)
Quote: TiltpoulActually, the best paytable is 50-40-30-9-7-4(straight)-3
If you are lucky enough to find that table, play it hard. The only places I've seen this schedule was MGM Grand Detroit and Paris/Bally's Las Vegas (both of them offered it).
No, that is not the right paytable. I know 9-1 for a full house is not on it. This casino has no competition at all for at least a couple of hundred miles (and even once some of the others get opened in Kansas, it will probably still have a radius of at least 100 miles without competition) and so doesn't have to worry about drawing gamblers in with better paytables. The craps table only has 3X odds, and blackjack hits soft 17 and does NOT allow you to double down after a split (they do at least pay 3-2 instead of the 6-5 nonsense.) But, even with these disadvantages, it's still 100 times better than the nearest Indian casino in Oklahoma that I could drive to instead.
Quote: Lhornbk70No, that is not the right paytable. I know 9-1 for a full house is not on it. This casino has no competition at all for at least a couple of hundred miles (and even once some of the others get opened in Kansas, it will probably still have a radius of at least 100 miles without competition) and so doesn't have to worry about drawing gamblers in with better paytables. The craps table only has 3X odds, and blackjack hits soft 17 and does NOT allow you to double down after a split (they do at least pay 3-2 instead of the 6-5 nonsense.) But, even with these disadvantages, it's still 100 times better than the nearest Indian casino in Oklahoma that I could drive to instead.
I hear you on that. Dodge City is out in the middle of nowhere.
By the way, as a response to someone else who said it still is a .9% house advantage...
Considering that the game itself has a 2.1% house advantage on each dollar bet (yes I know the Element of Risk is lower), that Trips bet is still a decent bet. Furthermore, I'd be willing to guess that the amount of dollars actually at risk would make you look like a higher roller. Obviously, it is still a house bet, I understand that. So is nearly every game in the casino. But when a full house hits it's nice to get paid, especially if you get beat.
I'm probably going to try Ultimate Texas Hold-em one of these days. The advice the Wizard gives for best play is fairly complicated, although I think if you are familiar with poker most of the decisions are easy, and of course at the first decision if you are to play you just sit back for the rest of the hand.
In order to practice the game, the Wizard page links me to this site for a free game. Possibly using a different strategy, the game indicates the correct play by highlighting the bet to make. If nothing lights up, the correct play is not to raise [or "play"]. Unfortunately it seems to go by a different strategy slightly, sure wish the Wizard had his own practice game with training features [yep, I know about his calculator; not the same].
First question: I think this game has taken off pretty good, but is not that old? I can't seem to find it's history, anyone know it?
Main question: In the WoO strategies, the kicker value is often considered. At first I was thinking the kicker in your hole cards was what he means, but it would seem a shared kicker is not disqualified, but counts. Can that be confirmed?
Quote: odiousgambit
First question: I think this game has taken off pretty good, but is not that old? I can't seem to find it's history, anyone know it?
I don't know specifics, but the first place I saw this game offered was Rhythm City in Davenport, IA. That was probably 6 years ago now, and at that time, it was one of the first Hold Em games that mimicked actual Hold Em (THE Bonus being the other one, which I think got to market first). Since then, it's exploded, although its success is determined largely by the market.
Quote: odiousgambitMain question: In the WoO strategies, the kicker value is often considered. At first I was thinking the kicker in your hole cards was what he means, but it would seem a shared kicker is not disqualified, but counts. Can that be confirmed?
You have to consider all the kickers in play. For example, Board: 6-6-K-K-A, the board is going to play unless you hold a 6, K, A or higher pocket pair. However a board of 5-5-6-A-10, you count the A and hopefully both cards (K-J). If the kicker is below the 10, it's not worth playing.
(2) Story: two guys are Red Rock casino, Vegas, always play 4x on Play, every hand, before flop. (i.e., $25-trips, $15-$15-$60 every single hand). Each would buy in $500, when each was up $200, they quit and cashed out. The dealer commented "they do this all time and their win/loss reports are just like others". It's all in money management. If you hit a couple of full-houses and quit, you win. If you keep playing, you give the money back. The optimal strategy can not make big money for you, you either win small or lose small.
Quote: teddysWhy? It's still a 0.9% house edge. Great for a side bet, but still an overall loser. Also, I'm not sure, but I don't think MGM Detroit still offers it.
I just checked all the UTH tables at at MGM Detroit, and the trips payoffs are still the 0.9% variety. They never, however, go below a $10 minimum, unlike the other two Detroit casinos which will go $5 sometimes, especially during the day.