Poll

1 vote (10%)
3 votes (30%)
2 votes (20%)
No votes (0%)
4 votes (40%)
1 vote (10%)

10 members have voted

Wizard
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January 26th, 2025 at 7:16:11 PM permalink
I'm writing this just after the AFC championship game. No lines have been posted yet. That said, I make Phily a 3-point favorite. I set the over/under at 43.5. Let's see how close I come.

The question for the poll is who do you think and want to win?
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DRich
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January 26th, 2025 at 7:22:01 PM permalink
Just posted this in Sports Betting thread before I saw this.

Superbowl Line from Hard Rock:

Eagles (+2) -110

Chiefs (-2) -110

Total 49.5


Chiefs seem to be a team of destiny this year but I am sure rooting for the Eagles. If the line goes to three I will probably be betting the Eagles.
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SOOPOO
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January 26th, 2025 at 7:24:22 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I'm writing this just after the AFC championship game. No lines have been posted yet. That said, I make Phily a 3-point favorite. I set the over/under at 43.5. Let's see how close I come.

The question for the poll is who do you think and want to win?
link to original post



You think Philly will be favored over KC??

The Mahomes factor is worth A LOT.

KC 2.5?

Edit. I see it’s 2.

I just like the over on mahomes rush yards. And Hurts rush yards. And I don’t know what the number is yet!
Wizard
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January 26th, 2025 at 7:47:41 PM permalink
Very early line is KC -1.5, ov/un 49.5. That said, I like Phily and the under. My lines have never been this off before. Usually I'm within a point of both.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
EvenBob
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January 26th, 2025 at 8:05:35 PM permalink
I remember the very first Super Bowl, I was in high school. It wasn't that big a deal, just another added game at the end of the season. It obviously grew in popularity over the years. Those are the Joe Namath years when he led the New York Jets to beat Baltimore in 1969 in Super Bowl 3. Now that was a big deal. Joe Namath was a superhero, he was in movies and in TV commercials. Broadway Joe is still around, he's 81 years old.

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AutomaticMonkey
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January 26th, 2025 at 9:04:58 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

I remember the very first Super Bowl, I was in high school. It wasn't that big a deal, just another added game at the end of the season.



It was a big deal to me, because it also happened to be my first birthday!

Who is that girl Namath is with? I don't think anything became of her.
billryan
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January 27th, 2025 at 7:20:46 AM permalink
The AFL made a big deal out of it, while Green Bay took it as another paycheck. It was broadcast on both CBS and NBC. One of the networks was in a commercial during the kickoff, and the game officials wanted to redo it. Vince Lombardi refused to allow it.
It was thought that the broadcasts had been lost, but a primitive tape of one of the broadcast was found.a few years ago.

I'd have thought KC would be favored, and I'll be making a small wager on them, as well as there being a safety, and a two point conversion.
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Wizard
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January 27th, 2025 at 10:43:31 AM permalink
Just to follow the money, here are the going lines as Jan 27, the day after the conference championships:

Point spread: KC -1.5
Money line: KC -125, Phily +105
Ov/Un: 49.5

Source
Last edited by: Wizard on Jan 27, 2025
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odiousgambit
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Wizard
January 27th, 2025 at 11:14:21 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Just to follow the money, here are the going lines as Jan 27, the day after the conference championships:

Point spread: KC -1.5
Money line: KC -125, KC +105
Ov/Un: 49.5

Source
link to original post

you mean
KC-125, Phi +105
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ams288
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January 27th, 2025 at 11:32:06 AM permalink
I want them both to lose somehow.

But I voted Think KC, Want Philly.
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DJTeddyBear
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January 27th, 2025 at 2:38:27 PM permalink
Don’t really care who wins.
Frankly I didn’t / don’t care who plays!

All I care about is, will the Wizard’s betting window be open, and when do the prop sheets come out? 😁
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DRich
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January 27th, 2025 at 3:42:19 PM permalink
Quote: DJTeddyBear

Don’t really care who wins.
Frankly I didn’t / don’t care who plays!

All I care about is, will the Wizard’s betting window be open, and when do the prop sheets come out? 😁
link to original post



Vegas prop sheets usually start coming out Wednesday or Thursday. Props will continue to be added for a week or so.
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Wizard
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January 27th, 2025 at 7:29:00 PM permalink
Quote: DJTeddyBear

All I care about is, will the Wizard’s betting window be open, and when do the prop sheets come out? 😁
link to original post



The props should be out this weekend. However, I'm willing to accept the same lines as last year if you are.
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AutomaticMonkey
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January 27th, 2025 at 10:06:53 PM permalink
What's the O/U on Taylor Swift camera appearances?
SOOPOO
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January 28th, 2025 at 12:22:09 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

What's the O/U on Taylor Swift camera appearances?
link to original post



It depends. If you only count during the actual game, from kickoff til last play, it’s 5.5. If you include the pre game TV broadcast it’s 6.5.
TomG
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January 28th, 2025 at 2:24:43 PM permalink
Unfortunately the places in Las Vegas don't really take bets anymore and I have a lot of other work always available, so I don't see myself betting this Super Bowl like past ones.

Probably be spending the week betting on Eagles props, then decide how much to buy off on the Chiefs on game day. Mostly just appreciating the few days it will give cover for betting basketball.

Rampart opened no 2-point conversion at -250 and was there for a full day. It was a good bet, but there will be -220 or so somewhere at sometime. . .
Wizard
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January 28th, 2025 at 6:51:37 PM permalink
Quote: TomG

Rampart opened no 2-point conversion at -250 and was there for a full day. It was a good bet, but there will be -220 or so somewhere at sometime. . .
link to original post



I didn't know the props were out already. I'll have to stop by there.
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TomG
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January 29th, 2025 at 5:27:24 AM permalink
first turnover an interception at even money also looks good. League wide a fair price should be close to -150. I'll let you all decide if you think Hurts and Mahomes are that special or not.
Wizard
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January 29th, 2025 at 6:22:17 AM permalink
Let the record show that billryan bet $25 against me on a safety at +700.
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billryan
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January 29th, 2025 at 6:29:07 AM permalink
The longest stretch between safeties is 16 games, while the shortest was just 16 seconds of gameplay between them.
Oddly, there has never been a safety in the third quarter of a Super Bowl. The LA Rams did three safeties in the third quarter against the Giants in the 1980s.
Last edited by: billryan on Jan 29, 2025
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TomG
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January 29th, 2025 at 10:52:43 AM permalink
Right next to Rampart is Suncoast with no overtime at -1000.
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