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AZDuffman
AZDuffman
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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September 24th, 2021 at 4:38:28 AM permalink
Instead of new threads for stories that are interesting but do not warrant a thread. Inspired by "In the News Today" threads.

BetMGM bettor who missed on 16-team parlay still won big

I did not know Nevada prohibited buyouts. By the numbers it looks like the buyout was fair in relation to if he had tried to do a straight hedge. It is doubtful he could have gotten enough money down in time assuming he had the cash.

MGM will get their money out many times over in people making large parlay bets. Every penny they gave the guy will come back to them dressed up as a nickel.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
redietz
redietz
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September 24th, 2021 at 8:01:56 AM permalink
Here's a quick event last night. I had no opinion on Marshall at Appalachian State. App State was -7. One offshore was offering no juice at -7, so I took a stab at a -7 and +9 (-130). As mentioned elsewhere, I shop 'til I drop.

So when App State has the ball at their own 30 with under three minutes left, leading 31-30, a score wins both for me. App State breaks a run. At first I couldn't tell if guys were going to allow him to score, but a safety pushes the back out of bounds after a 40-yard run to the Marshall 30. After looking at the replay once, I decided they really weren't trying to let him score; it was just well-blocked. I could be wrong and the safety didn't get the message.

Marshall takes their final timeout. Under two minutes. App State runs a similar play. This time the Marshall guys are trying to let him score. The back breaks it from the Marshall 30, is in the clear with nobody around, and takes a sliding knee at the four-yard-line. LOL. Oh well.

I call it the "Penn State Rule." I am a PSU grad, and PSU blew the Indiana game last year when the back was told to not score from the two and halfway forgot to take a knee and defenders pulled him into the end zone for a TD with a minute left. Indiana then went the length of the field, scored a TD, and went on to win the game.

So no middle for me.

I guess I ain't MDawg. Go ahead, call it "trolling." I dare you.
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
billryan
billryan
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September 24th, 2021 at 8:12:19 AM permalink
In the first forty-five years that I watched football, I think saw one team intentionally allow the other team to score. In that case, it had nothing to do with the game score, but trying to get a running back a chance at 1,000 yards. and the coach was taken over the coals for it. Then it became an accepted practice and players are chastised for actually scoring. I can only imagine Dick Butkus, Alex Karras, or even Lawrence Taylor reaction to letting a team score.
The difference between fiction and reality is that fiction is supposed to make sense.
FastEddie
FastEddie
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Thanks for this post from:
ben771williams
September 24th, 2021 at 9:39:55 AM permalink
Dick Butkus said he never set out to deliberately hurt anyone, unless it was important. Like a regular season game or something.
redietz
redietz
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September 26th, 2021 at 8:25:53 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

In the first forty-five years that I watched football, I think saw one team intentionally allow the other team to score. In that case, it had nothing to do with the game score, but trying to get a running back a chance at 1,000 yards. and the coach was taken over the coals for it. Then it became an accepted practice and players are chastised for actually scoring. I can only imagine Dick Butkus, Alex Karras, or even Lawrence Taylor reaction to letting a team score.

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    You and I must be the same age or thereabouts. I remember that. Coach got hell for it. Announcers were taken aback, or so they said.

    I lost a college wager about 20 years ago when I had a +6 and the defending team was down one and allowed about a 20-yard gimme TD run with under a minute left and no timeouts, so they could get the ball back and try to tie it with a TD and two-point conversion. It was BYU and Air Force, and I don't remember which side I had or who got the run, but I lost, and it was a big wager for me.
    "You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
    moses
    moses
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    September 26th, 2021 at 8:46:17 AM permalink
    My 89 year young friend had won 5 out of 6 on a parlay. I think it was a Monday night game where they were driving for a TD late in the game. But the opponent was out of timeouts. So they took a knee 3 times to run out the clock. As a result, they won the game but didnt cover the points. The running back was running in for a TD and then dropped down.

    He was so excited. I give up quickly trying to explain to him he'd lost. Why should I be the bad guy?

    Man...was he whizzed off when they wouldn''t cash him out. 😔
    AZDuffman
    AZDuffman
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    September 26th, 2021 at 9:12:13 AM permalink
    Quote: moses

    My 89 year young friend had won 5 out of 6 on a parlay.



    If I ran a sportsbook I would consider "parlay insurance" where you could get 5/6 and get paid but a lesser payout. The math would need to work but the marketing I think would sell.
    All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
    moses
    moses
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    September 26th, 2021 at 9:20:19 AM permalink
    We tried to explain taking the other side to guarantee his profit. Still, I hope to be as sharp as him at 89. It seems he is often 4 out of 5 or 5 out of 6.
    TomG
    TomG
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    September 26th, 2021 at 12:35:30 PM permalink
    Quote: AZDuffman

    If I ran a sportsbook I would consider "parlay insurance" where you could get 5/6 and get paid but a lesser payout. The math would need to work but the marketing I think would sell.



    Isn't this already available almost everywhere? Just put six bets on a ticket and round robin them by 5s. Small payout if five winners and much bigger payout if there are six.
    AZDuffman
    AZDuffman
    Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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    September 26th, 2021 at 1:03:16 PM permalink
    Quote: TomG

    Isn't this already available almost everywhere? Just put six bets on a ticket and round robin them by 5s. Small payout if five winners and much bigger payout if there are six.

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    I do not know that play, can you explain, por favor?
    All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others

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