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Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
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June 25th, 2019 at 5:12:28 PM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Will be interesting to see the handle. SH was about $500K for their test and day at the end of last month. Might put some of the runners out of a job.



Or they could give their regular clients a persistence break on the vig. 105 instead of 110? It's a free market, and there is some value in credit extension and anonymity.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
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June 28th, 2019 at 5:26:38 AM permalink
OK, PA Peeps, yet another one.

https://www.parxcasino.com/bensalem/sportsbetting

Free $10 bet to sign up
Same $250 match as the other two books.

Same deal as before, this is NOT an affiliate link. Do your homework to make sure you get the matches.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
sabre
sabre
Joined: Aug 16, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
onenickelmiracle
July 2nd, 2019 at 9:13:03 AM permalink
It is not the same $250 match as the other two books. It is an up to $250 free bet you receive if you lose your initial deposit in a single wager.

Lose a $50 wager, get a $50 free bet. Lose $250, get a $250 free bet.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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July 2nd, 2019 at 11:43:23 AM permalink
Quote: sabre

It is not the same $250 match as the other two books. It is an up to $250 free bet you receive if you lose your initial deposit in a single wager.

Lose a $50 wager, get a $50 free bet. Lose $250, get a $250 free bet.



still not bad for me. Wife and I take opposite sides. One of us doubles up and the other gets 250 free to turn the profit. Maybe not as easy as the match for a single person to do it.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
sabre
sabre
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Thanks for this post from:
odiousgambit
July 2nd, 2019 at 11:01:26 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

still not bad for me. Wife and I take opposite sides. One of us doubles up and the other gets 250 free to turn the profit. Maybe not as easy as the match for a single person to do it.



If you're happy to piss away hundreds in EV, then go nuts.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
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July 3rd, 2019 at 6:22:14 AM permalink
Quote: sabre

If you're happy to piss away hundreds in EV, then go nuts.



What other way to do it?

I am less than 50% correct life time doing bets so getting 50% seems ok to me.

One thing about ev is it has variance. With only limited amounts of bets within promo I could easily be way down. I prefer to lock in a guaranteed win.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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July 3rd, 2019 at 11:35:36 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

What other way to do it?

I am less than 50% correct life time doing bets so getting 50% seems ok to me.

One thing about ev is it has variance. With only limited amounts of bets within promo I could easily be way down. I prefer to lock in a guaranteed win.

There is nothing wrong with that. I like your style. Whats that saying about the best pie being free pie? Whatever it takes to pocket some guaranteed cash. It must be an amount that's significant to you, of course. You can't earn more money with EV, you actually need cash.

Sometimes people are motivated by free money, in turn they put in more hours and look for more opportunities. Variance is one of the biggest factors in AP's failing.

Obviously I don't advocate guaranteeing yourself a free $100 when you have thousands + in EV and can afford it.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
redietz
redietz
Joined: Jun 5, 2019
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July 3rd, 2019 at 12:04:41 PM permalink
Tennessee just legalized sports betting as of July 1st. Fanduel is the only current book, although they do not have exclusive rights, so anybody with 750K to plunk down may conceivably join the fray.

Fanduel is offering a $500 rebate on losing the first wager. One simply has to be in Tennessee, as the rules are currently worded. I imagine that could change.

I don't understand the criticism of two people taking both sides of the same game, especially if you can massage a half point here or there. Even the most arrogant dude in the world is not going to expect to win more than 58% long term, so "lost EV" would be minimal.
"You can't breathe dead hippo waking, sleeping, and eating, and at the same time keep your precarious grip on existence."
odiousgambit
odiousgambit
Joined: Nov 9, 2009
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July 3rd, 2019 at 1:15:59 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

What other way to do it?

it's really encouraging to know you don't read the other posts. The guy who is proud of himself for asking the questions but doesn't listen to the answers?
Quote:

... One thing about ev is it has variance. With only limited amounts of bets within promo I could easily be way down. I prefer to lock in a guaranteed win.

Now I do have to admit I understand this point of view completely. And yet again the advice is mixed from reasonable people.

The Wizard seems to have promised to address this in his next AMA at youtube or in an Ask-the-W. At least I am going to bug him till he does.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
AxelWolf
AxelWolf
Joined: Oct 10, 2012
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July 3rd, 2019 at 1:44:32 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit



The Wizard seems to have promised to address this in his next AMA at youtube or in an Ask-the-W. At least I am going to bug him till he does.

Yes, we must have it thoroughly explained to everyone including the casinos so they realize just how bad pf a mistake they are making and figure out something else.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪

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